Monza vs Atalanta – Match preview
Monza-:-
AtalantaU-Power Stadium
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
67%
18%
MonzaDraw 15%Atalanta
Bookmaker implied
20%
58%
MonzaDraw 22%Atalanta
3.1 – 1.6
Expected score
85%
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
38%
36%
MonzaDraw 26%Atalanta
First Half Result
32%
26%
MonzaDraw 42%Atalanta
Team to Score First
54%
41%
MonzaNo goal 5%Atalanta
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Monza Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Monza Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Atalanta Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Monza Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Monza
33%3.37
model 3.06disputed
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
25%3.85
model 4.04-5%
Last 1015%3/20
Atalanta
43%2.03
model 2.35-14%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Monza
43%2.49
model 2.30disputed
Last 1047%8/17
Atalanta
57%1.50
model 1.77-15%
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Monza or draw
57%1.80
model 1.74+3%
Last 1055%11/20
Monza or Atalanta
75%1.27
model 1.33-4%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Atalanta
67%1.33
model 1.49-10%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
65%
Last 1075%15/20
Monza clean sheet
19%
model chance
Atalanta clean sheet
20%
model chance
Monza goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Atalanta goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Monza corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 12%
Atalanta corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Monza cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Atalanta cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026MonzaAtalanta
- 16
- League position
- 12
- LLLWL
- Last 5
- DDLWL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 12
- 3.09
- xG for (L5)
- 5.67
- 5.32
- xG against (L5)
- 3.61
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Monza wins
0
Draws
6
Atalanta wins
Last 6 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
04 May 2025
Last meeting
Monza in the last 5 meetings
LLLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Monza
No reported absences
Atalanta
- Odilon KossounouHamstring Injury
- Raoul BellanovaGroin Problems
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonMonza
Top scorer
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
9 goals
Most assists
Samuele Birindelli
2 assists
Best rated
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela
7.22
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuele BirindelliMidfielder | 10 (10) | 894 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Ricardo MangasMidfielder | 10 (10) | 804 | 1 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.70 | |
| Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa VarelaAttacker | 9 (9) | 760 | 9 | 1 | 1.67 | 7.22 | |
| Andrea CarboniDefender | 9 (8) | 707 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Eddy KouadioDefender | 9 (8) | 705 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Lorenzo LucchesiDefender | 9 (9) | 681 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
| Ebenezer AkinsanmiroMidfielder | 8 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Noel TörnqvistGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Foe OndoaMidfielder | 8 (6) | 525 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.55 | |
| Jay RobinsonAttacker | 8 (6) | 514 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.80 | – |
| Michael FolorunshoMidfielder | 7 (4) | 388 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Saba GoglichidzeDefender | 5 (4) | 369 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | |
| Dany MotaAttacker | 7 (4) | 360 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.07 | – |
| Andrea ColpaniMidfielder | 6 (3) | 310 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.79 | – |
| Adam BakouneDefender | 7 (2) | 277 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
Atalanta
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović
6 goals
Most assists
Charles De Ketelaere
3 assists
Best rated
Nikola Krstović
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco CarnesecchiGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 7.13 | – |
| ÉdersonMidfielder | 9 (9) | 777 | 2 | 0 | 1.36 | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Charles De KetelaereAttacker | 9 (8) | 672 | 1 | 3 | 0.98 | 7.06 | – |
| Giorgio ScalviniDefender | 7 (6) | 603 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Nikola KrstovićAttacker | 9 (5) | 537 | 6 | 2 | 1.66 | 7.27 | |
| Davide ZappacostaDefender | 7 (5) | 482 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Raoul BellanovaDefender | 7 (6) | 468 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Gianluca GaetanoMidfielder | 8 (5) | 452 | 1 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.75 | |
| Lorenzo BernasconiDefender | 7 (4) | 432 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.55 | – |
| Jonathan RoweAttacker | 6 (5) | 403 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 6.86 | – |
| Lazar SamardžićMidfielder | 8 (4) | 375 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Thomas KristensenDefender | 5 (5) | 364 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Odilon KossounouDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Eljif ElmasMidfielder | 7 (4) | 351 | 1 | 1 | 0.93 | 6.83 | |
| Mario PašalićMidfielder | 7 (3) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.98 | 1.80 |
| MansionBet | 1.82 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 1.54 |
| MelBet | 2.48 | 1.54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.82 | 2.04 |
| Sbo | 1.82 | 2.08 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
More on Monza vs Atalanta
- Monza stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Atalanta stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture