Parma vs Bologna – Match preview
-:-
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
11%
59%
ParmaDraw 30%Bologna
Bookmaker implied
27%
46%
ParmaDraw 27%Bologna
0.4 – 1.3
Expected score
22%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
26%
45%
ParmaDraw 29%Bologna
First Half Result
27%
29%
ParmaDraw 44%Bologna
Team to Score First
44%
45%
ParmaNo goal 11%Bologna
Probability
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
Parma Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Parma Over 1.5 Goals
23%
Bologna Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Parma Over 0.5 Goals
57%
Match Result
Parma
33%–
model 3.04–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.53–
Last 1020%4/20
Bologna
39%–
model 2.58–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Parma
46%–
model 2.18–
Last 1031%5/16
Bologna
54%–
model 1.85–
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Parma or draw
61%–
model 1.63–
Last 1045%9/20
Parma or Bologna
72%–
model 1.40–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Bologna
67%–
model 1.49–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%
Last 1050%10/20
Parma clean sheet
21%
model chance
Bologna clean sheet
31%
model chance
Parma goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Bologna goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Parma corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Bologna corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Parma cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Bologna cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026ParmaBologna
- 19
- League position
- 11
- DLLLW
- Last 5
- WWLWD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 1.96
- xG for (L5)
- 2.79
- 3.51
- xG against (L5)
- 1.73
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Parma wins
1
Draws
4
Bologna wins
Last 7 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Parma in the last 5 meetings
WLLWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Parma
- Nesta ElphegeAppendectomy
Bologna
- Emil HolmHamstring Muscle Injury
- Lorenzo De SilvestriThigh Problems
- Roberto PiccoliMuscle Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonParma
Top scorer
Simone Lontani
2 goals
Most assists
El Bilal Touré
1 assists
Best rated
Giovanni Daffara
7.70
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enrico DelpratoDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Mariano TroiloDefender | 9 (9) | 805 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Mandela KeitaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 795 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.77 | |
| Emanuele ValeriMidfielder | 9 (8) | 750 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Edoardo CorviGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| El Bilal TouréAttacker | 9 (9) | 690 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.76 | – |
| Simone LontaniAttacker | 9 (4) | 434 | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.72 | |
| David RomeroAttacker | 8 (5) | 426 | 2 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.73 | – |
| Diego CarlosDefender | 6 (6) | 425 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Sascha BritschgiMidfielder | 7 (5) | 418 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Dominik DrobnicDefender | 5 (4) | 404 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Adrián BernabéMidfielder | 7 (4) | 399 | 0 | 0 | 0.84 | 6.94 | – |
| Vincent SierroMidfielder | 6 (5) | 386 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.59 | |
| Christian OrdóñezMidfielder | 6 (4) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Giovanni FabbianMidfielder | 7 (3) | 215 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | – |
Bologna
Top scorer
Samuel Mbangula
3 goals
Most assists
Juan Miranda
5 assists
Best rated
Samuel Mbangula
7.52
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis FergusonMidfielder | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Nicolò CambiaghiAttacker | 9 (8) | 634 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.99 | |
| Lukasz SkorupskiGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Federico BernardeschiAttacker | 9 (7) | 610 | 2 | 0 | 1.04 | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Juan MirandaDefender | 8 (6) | 591 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 7.09 | |
| Tommaso PobegaMidfielder | 8 (8) | 542 | 1 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.93 | ×2 |
| Torbjørn HeggemDefender | 7 (6) | 525 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
| Nadir ZorteaMidfielder | 7 (6) | 516 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.54 | – |
| Arthur TheateDefender | 6 (6) | 493 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Roberto PiccoliAttacker | 7 (7) | 450 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Jens OdgaardAttacker | 7 (5) | 425 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 6.63 | |
| Nicolò CasaleDefender | 4 (4) | 349 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.83 | – |
| Matteo DarmianDefender | 4 (4) | 323 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.58 | – |
| Eivind HellandDefender | 6 (3) | 311 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Emil HolmDefender | 5 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 2.63 | 1.49 |
More on Parma vs Bologna
- Parma stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bologna stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Italy) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture