Roma vs Cagliari – Match preview
Roma-:-
CagliariStadio Olimpico
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
72%
9%
RomaDraw 19%Cagliari
Bookmaker implied
70%
11%
RomaDraw 19%Cagliari
2.0 – 0.5
Expected score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Roma
67%1.34
fair 1.50-11%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
21%4.80
fair 4.73+2%
Last 1020%4/20
Cagliari
12%9.84
fair 8.24disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Roma
85%1.06
fair 1.18-10%
Last 1056%9/16
Cagliari
15%7.79
fair 6.50disputed
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Roma or draw
88%1.05
fair 1.14-8%
Last 1065%13/20
Roma or Cagliari
79%1.18
fair 1.27-7%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Cagliari
33%3.23
fair 3.01+8%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.0 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | 1.71 / 2.16 | 50%10/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | 2.78 / 1.44 | 30%6/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
50%Yes 2.00
Last 1040%8/20
Roma clean sheet
34%
model chance
Cagliari clean sheet
19%
model chance
Roma goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Cagliari goals
O0.5 66%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Roma corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Cagliari corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 62%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Roma cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Cagliari cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Yanis Massolin Cagliari | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 55% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -28% |
Donyell Malen Roma | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.44 | 1.44 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -38% |
Mario Hermoso Roma | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 40% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -37% |
Donyell Malen Roma | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.66 | 1.66 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -47% |
Yerry Mina Cagliari | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | 32% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -51% |
Donyell Malen Roma | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -57% |
Daniel Maldini Cagliari | Over 0.5 Goals · 4.50 | 4.50 | 16% | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | -28% |
Daniel Maldini Cagliari | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.50 | 3.50 | 19% | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | -32% |
Jacopo Fazzini Cagliari | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 37% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -42% |
Adam Obert Cagliari | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.10 | 2.10 | 28% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | -42% |
Daniel Maldini Cagliari | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.66 | 1.66 | 33% | 80%4/5 | 40%4/10 | -45% |
Emanuele Lulli Roma | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 40% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -47% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026RomaCagliari
- 3
- League position
- 7
- WDDWW
- Last 5
- LDWWW
- 2.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
7
Roma wins
1
Draws
2
Cagliari wins
Last 10 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
09 Feb 2026
Last meeting
Roma in the last 5 meetings
WLWDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Roma
- Bryan CristanteInflammation In The Knee
- Lorenzo PellegriniMuscle Injury
- Manu KonéHamstring Muscle Injury
- Mile SvilarBroken Finger
- Paulo DybalaCalf Problems
Cagliari
- Mattia FeliciCruciate Ligament Tear
- Riyad IdrissiCruciate Ligament Tear
- Yael TrepyUnknown Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonRoma
Top scorer
Donyell Malen
6 goals
Most assists
Paulo Dybala
4 assists
Best rated
Paulo Dybala
7.73
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario HermosoDefender | 7 (6) | 506 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.23 | ×2 |
| Paulo DybalaAttacker | 6 (6) | 496 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.73 | – |
| Gianluca ManciniDefender | 6 (6) | 482 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Mile SvilarGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| WesleyMidfielder | 6 (5) | 432 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Bryan CristanteMidfielder | 5 (5) | 424 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Matías SouléAttacker | 7 (4) | 413 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.30 | ×2 |
| Manu KonéMidfielder | 6 (5) | 411 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.29 | ×2 |
| Emanuele LulliMidfielder | 6 (5) | 401 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Donyell MalenAttacker | 6 (6) | 398 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.45 | |
| Evan NdickaDefender | 5 (4) | 367 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Leonardo BalerdiDefender | 5 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Nahuel MolinaDefender | 5 (3) | 298 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Niccolò PisilliMidfielder | 6 (2) | 243 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Rodrigo MoraMidfielder | 5 (3) | 234 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
Cagliari
Top scorer
Daniel Maldini
4 goals
Most assists
Michel Adopo
2 assists
Best rated
Elia Caprile
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michel AdopoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Elia CaprileGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.34 | – |
| Adam ObertDefender | 7 (7) | 621 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Alessandro RomanoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 616 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Harry WinksMidfielder | 7 (7) | 588 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Zé PedroDefender | 7 (7) | 561 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Juan RodríguezDefender | 7 (7) | 531 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Daniel MaldiniMidfielder | 7 (7) | 505 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.06 | – |
| Alessandro DeiolaDefender | 7 (5) | 496 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Yerry MinaDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Jacopo FazziniMidfielder | 5 (4) | 247 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Alieu FaderaAttacker | 6 (0) | 162 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | |
| Kevin CarlosAttacker | 4 (0) | 98 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Yukinari SugawaraDefender | 4 (0) | 97 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| M'Bala NzolaAttacker | 2 (1) | 74 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 2 | 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.86 | 4.07 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| BetVictor | 3.15 | 1.29 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 1.82 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.04 | 1.84 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.76 | 1.79 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.03 | 1.78 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.77 | 1.35 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.85 | 2.05 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.02 | 9.80 |
| bet365 | 2.10 | 1.72 |
| Betano.dk | 1.02 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.31 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 4.00 | 1.19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 1.33 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Home/Away | Away/Draw | Draw/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 7.00 | 1.84 | 3.90 | 26.00 | 22.00 | 16.00 | 60.00 | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| Marathonbet | 7.00 | 1.84 | 3.90 | 26.00 | 22.00 | 16.25 | 64.00 | 22.00 | 18.25 |