São Paulo vs Corinthians – Match preview
São Paulo-:-
CorinthiansEstádio Urbano CaldeiraRound 34
Match Preview
Updated 29 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
56%
19%
São PauloDraw 25%Corinthians
Bookmaker implied
46%
24%
São PauloDraw 30%Corinthians
1.6 – 0.8
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
42%
15%
São PauloDraw 43%Corinthians
Double Chance
56%
20%
São PauloDraw 24%Corinthians
Half Time Result
64%
29%
São PauloDraw 7%Corinthians
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
Over 0.5 Goals
51%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
56%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
82%
Match Result
São Paulo
45%2.05
fair 2.23-8%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
29%3.10
fair 3.44-10%
Last 1025%5/20
Corinthians
26%3.70
fair 3.83-3%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
São Paulo
63%1.39
fair 1.58-12%
Last 1047%7/15
Corinthians
37%2.51
fair 2.71-7%
Last 1053%8/15
Double chance
São Paulo or draw
74%1.23
fair 1.35-9%
Last 1060%12/20
São Paulo or Corinthians
71%1.32
fair 1.41-6%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Corinthians
55%1.69
fair 1.81-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
50%Yes 2.10
Last 1070%14/20
São Paulo clean sheet
26%
model chance
Corinthians clean sheet
24%
model chance
São Paulo goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Corinthians goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
São Paulo corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Corinthians corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cards · Referee Raphael Claus (4.0 cards a match, ×0.93)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
São Paulo cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Corinthians cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Ramon São Paulo | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 43% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -32% |
Lucas Moura São Paulo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | 44% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -11% |
Kaio César Corinthians | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.20 | 2.20 | 34% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -24% |
Kaio César Corinthians | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | 33% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -39% |
Pablo Maia São Paulo | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | 43% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -44% |
Jesse Lingard Corinthians | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | 37% | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | -51% |
Rodrigo Garro Corinthians | Over 4.5 Shots · 21.00 | 21.00 | 12% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +147% |
Rodrigo Garro Corinthians | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 9.00 | 9.00 | 11% | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | +3% |
Gustavo Henrique Corinthians | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | 27% | 60%3/5 | 30%3/10 | +2% |
Damián Bobadilla São Paulo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 25% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | 0% |
Jonathan Calleri São Paulo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.25 | 2.25 | 35% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -21% |
Lucas Ramon São Paulo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.75 | 3.75 | 21% | 40%2/5 | 30%3/10 | -23% |
Form Guide
Updated 29 Oct 2026São PauloCorinthians
- 10
- League position
- 18
- LDWWL
- Last 5
- LDLLL
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 13
- 2.47
- xG for (L5)
- 1.43
- 3.14
- xG against (L5)
- 2.12
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
5
São Paulo wins
3
Draws
3
Corinthians wins
Last 11 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
64%
Both teams scored
55%
Over 2.5 goals
10 May 2026
Last meeting
São Paulo in the last 5 meetings
LLWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
São Paulo
- ArturBack Problems
- Aurélio ButaKnee Problems
- DanielzinhoAnkle Injury
- Domingos DuarteTorn Knee Ligaments
- Jonathan CalleriKnee Problems
- Marcos AntônioAnkle Injury
- Nicolas BosshardtMeniscus Injury
Corinthians
- Alex SantanaAnkle Sprain
- Gabriel PaulistaAdductor Injury
- KaykeTorn Knee Ligaments
- Memphis DepayHamstring Muscle Injury
- RanieleArthroscopy
- VitinhoMuscle Fatigue
- Zakaria LabyadCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSão Paulo
Top scorer
Jonathan Calleri
10 goals
Most assists
Damián Bobadilla
3 assists
Best rated
Artur
7.22
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RafaelGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Jonathan CalleriAttacker | 27 (25) | 2154 | 10 | 2 | – | 6.93 | ×5 |
| LucianoAttacker | 26 (24) | 1938 | 9 | 2 | 0.24 | 7.12 | ×6 |
| Marcos AntônioMidfielder | 25 (20) | 1881 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| SabinoDefender | 24 (21) | 1851 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
| ArturMidfielder | 22 (20) | 1763 | 3 | 2 | – | 7.22 | ×2 |
| DanielzinhoMidfielder | 26 (21) | 1714 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.94 | |
| Damián BobadillaMidfielder | 22 (20) | 1645 | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Lucas RamonDefender | 21 (19) | 1580 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.79 | |
| Robert ArboledaDefender | 20 (16) | 1537 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| WendellDefender | 22 (16) | 1450 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Pablo MaiaMidfielder | 23 (14) | 1329 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.72 | ×3 |
| Alan FrancoDefender | 13 (13) | 1077 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Enzo DíazDefender | 13 (11) | 929 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | ×7 |
| Rafael TolóiDefender | 12 (11) | 859 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×3 |
Corinthians
Top scorer
Gustavo Henrique
4 goals
Most assists
Rodrigo Garro
6 assists
Best rated
Tchoca
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo SouzaGoalkeeper | 28 (28) | 2520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Gustavo HenriqueDefender | 27 (27) | 2430 | 4 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.99 | ×4 |
| MatheuzinhoDefender | 27 (25) | 2265 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.94 | ×5 |
| Matheus BiduDefender | 26 (24) | 2115 | 4 | 1 | 0.36 | 6.90 | ×5 |
| Rodrigo GarroMidfielder | 29 (23) | 2038 | 3 | 6 | 0.33 | 7.15 | ×11 |
| Gabriel PaulistaDefender | 23 (23) | 2023 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×7 |
| RanieleMidfielder | 25 (24) | 1991 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×7 |
| Breno BidonMidfielder | 29 (26) | 1980 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.79 | ×5 |
| Yuri AlbertoAttacker | 21 (20) | 1738 | 4 | 2 | 0.44 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| André Luiz Santos DiasMidfielder | 22 (16) | 1362 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
| AllanMidfielder | 23 (12) | 1193 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | ×4 |
| Kaio CésarAttacker | 19 (11) | 1166 | 2 | 2 | 0.19 | 7.02 | ×3 |
| André CarrilloMidfielder | 22 (13) | 1118 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Memphis DepayAttacker | 14 (11) | 924 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Jesse LingardMidfielder | 19 (8) | 797 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
Referee
Raphael Claus
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 3.88
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.70
- Red cards per game
- 0.18
- Fouls per game
- 22.2
- Penalties per game
- 0.27
- Home wins
- 58%
Averages across 56 completed matches officiated by Raphael Claus in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.05 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.76 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.44 | 2.63 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.47 | 2.68 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.50 | 1.50 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 1.06 |