Sassuolo vs Fiorentina – Match preview
Sassuolo-:-
FiorentinaMAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
72%
14%
SassuoloDraw 14%Fiorentina
3.4 – 1.6
Expected score
88%
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sassuolo
46%–
fair 2.18–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
25%–
fair 3.92–
Last 1025%5/20
Fiorentina
29%–
fair 3.50–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Sassuolo
62%–
fair 1.62–
Last 1053%8/15
Fiorentina
38%–
fair 2.61–
Last 1047%7/15
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw
71%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1065%13/20
Sassuolo or Fiorentina
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Fiorentina
54%–
fair 1.85–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1075%15/20
Sassuolo clean sheet
22%
model chance
Fiorentina clean sheet
21%
model chance
Sassuolo goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Fiorentina goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Sassuolo corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 42%O5.5 25%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Fiorentina corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 42%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Sassuolo cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Fiorentina cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 42%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SassuoloFiorentina
- 13
- League position
- 18
- LDLWD
- Last 5
- LLDWL
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
4
Sassuolo wins
3
Draws
3
Fiorentina wins
Last 10 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
80%
Both teams scored
70%
Over 2.5 goals
26 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Sassuolo in the last 5 meetings
DWLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Sassuolo
- Fedde LeysenCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ismaël KonéTibia And Fibula Fracture
Fiorentina
No reported absences
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSassuolo
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić
3 goals
Most assists
Darryl Bakola
2 assists
Best rated
Cristian Volpato
7.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arijanet MurićGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Armand LaurientéAttacker | 7 (7) | 623 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | |
| Josh DoigDefender | 7 (7) | 569 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Nemanja MaticMidfielder | 7 (7) | 545 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.99 | |
| Darryl BakolaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 477 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Simone CinquegranoDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Fedde LeysenDefender | 6 (5) | 402 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Domenico BerardiAttacker | 6 (4) | 393 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Kieron BowieAttacker | 7 (3) | 357 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Kristian ThorstvedtMidfielder | 7 (3) | 309 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Vasilije AdžićMidfielder | 6 (4) | 281 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Duje Caleta-CarDefender | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Sebastiano EspositoAttacker | 4 (4) | 269 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Jay IdzesDefender | 3 (3) | 261 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Cas OdenthalDefender | 3 (2) | 244 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
Fiorentina
Top scorer
Franco Mastantuono
3 goals
Most assists
Cher Ndour
2 assists
Best rated
Franco Mastantuono
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David de GeaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Radu DrăgușinDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| Cher NdourMidfielder | 7 (6) | 566 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.94 | |
| Nicolò FagioliMidfielder | 7 (6) | 541 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Franco MastantuonoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 536 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Mateo PellegrinoAttacker | 7 (5) | 467 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Álex JiménezDefender | 6 (5) | 441 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Alieu NjieAttacker | 5 (4) | 373 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| VieryDefender | 6 (4) | 363 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | |
| Víctor ValdepeñasDefender | 6 (3) | 350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Arthur AttaMidfielder | 5 (4) | 335 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Luca RanieriDefender | 4 (4) | 310 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| Wilfried GnontoAttacker | 5 (1) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| João MárioDefender | 3 (2) | 176 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| BetoAttacker | 5 (2) | 174 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.51 | – |