Sassuolo vs Lazio – Match preview
Sassuolo-:-
LazioMAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
5%
76%
SassuoloDraw 19%Lazio
Bookmaker implied
34%
38%
SassuoloDraw 28%Lazio
0.3 – 1.9
Expected score
38%
Over 2.5 goals
23%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sassuolo
34%2.94
fair 2.92+1%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
28%3.30
fair 3.53-7%
Last 1020%4/20
Lazio
37%2.47
fair 2.67-8%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Sassuolo
48%2.05
fair 2.09-2%
Last 1031%5/16
Lazio
52%1.72
fair 1.92-10%
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw
63%1.55
fair 1.60-3%
Last 1045%9/20
Sassuolo or Lazio
72%1.34
fair 1.39-4%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Lazio
66%1.41
fair 1.52-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | 1.73 / 2.13 | 60%12/20 | none |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | 2.75 / 1.45 | 25%5/20 | none |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.61
Last 1060%12/20
Sassuolo clean sheet
21%
model chance
Lazio clean sheet
25%
model chance
Sassuolo goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Lazio goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Sassuolo corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Lazio corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Sassuolo cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Lazio cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 41%O3.5 20%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mattia Zaccagni Lazio | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.40 | 2.40 | 41% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -3% |
Simone Cinquegrano Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 60% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -4% |
Mattia Zaccagni Lazio | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 62% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -12% |
Nicholas Pierini Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | 50% | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | -22% |
Nicholas Pierini Sassuolo | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 50% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -30% |
Kristian Thorstvedt Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.72 | 1.72 | 36% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -39% |
Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 32% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -42% |
Armand Laurienté Sassuolo | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 40% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -44% |
Vasilije Adžić Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.10 | 3.10 | 16% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -49% |
Kieron Bowie Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -49% |
Kristian Thorstvedt Sassuolo | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | 25% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -65% |
Armand Laurienté Sassuolo | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.36 | 1.36 | 54% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -27% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SassuoloLazio
- 13
- League position
- 2
- LDLWD
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
6
Sassuolo wins
5
Draws
14
Lazio wins
Last 25 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
68%
Both teams scored
64%
Over 2.5 goals
09 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Sassuolo in the last 5 meetings
LWDLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Sassuolo
- Daniel BolocaArthroscopy
- Fedde LeysenCruciate Ligament Tear
- Ismaël KonéTibia And Fibula Fracture
Lazio
- Adam MarusicHamstring Injury
- Alessio FurlanettoCruciate Ligament Injury
- Nicolò RovellaCalf Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonSassuolo
Top scorer
Vasilije Adžić
3 goals
Most assists
Darryl Bakola
2 assists
Best rated
Cristian Volpato
7.13
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arijanet MurićGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Armand LaurientéAttacker | 7 (7) | 623 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | |
| Josh DoigDefender | 7 (7) | 569 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Nemanja MaticMidfielder | 7 (7) | 545 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.99 | |
| Darryl BakolaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 477 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Simone CinquegranoDefender | 6 (5) | 461 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Fedde LeysenDefender | 6 (5) | 402 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Domenico BerardiAttacker | 6 (4) | 393 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Kieron BowieAttacker | 7 (3) | 357 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Kristian ThorstvedtMidfielder | 7 (3) | 309 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Vasilije AdžićMidfielder | 6 (4) | 281 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Duje Caleta-CarDefender | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Sebastiano EspositoAttacker | 4 (4) | 269 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Jay IdzesDefender | 3 (3) | 261 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Cas OdenthalDefender | 3 (2) | 244 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
Lazio
Top scorer
Davide Frattesi
3 goals
Most assists
Mattia Zaccagni
3 assists
Best rated
Christos Mandas
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos MandasGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.41 | – |
| Mattia ZaccagniAttacker | 7 (7) | 623 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.34 | ×3 |
| Oliver ProvstgaardDefender | 7 (7) | 600 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Romano Floriani MussoliniDefender | 7 (6) | 583 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Kenneth TaylorMidfielder | 7 (7) | 580 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Davide FrattesiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 536 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Nuno TavaresDefender | 7 (6) | 504 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.32 | – |
| Reda BelahyaneMidfielder | 6 (5) | 503 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | |
| Gustav IsaksenAttacker | 7 (3) | 329 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Tijjani NoslinAttacker | 6 (4) | 327 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Danilho DoekhiDefender | 4 (4) | 323 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | |
| Josip SutaloDefender | 4 (3) | 294 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Matteo CancellieriAttacker | 5 (4) | 293 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | |
| Boulaye DiaAttacker | 2 (2) | 159 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Andrea PinamontiAttacker | 6 (1) | 144 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.15 | 1.82 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 2.05 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.77 | 4.70 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 1.76 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 2.11 | 1.78 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 4.50 | 1.18 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.76 | 2.05 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 2.11 | — | — |
| Sbo | 2.17 | 1.75 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 2.30 | 1.66 |
| bet365 | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 1.25 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.26 | 1.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 3.90 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Away/Away | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 3.82 | 14.20 | 28.00 | 5.85 | 4.60 | 5.20 | 6.65 | 14.00 | 30.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.82 | 14.25 | 28.00 | 5.85 | 4.60 | 5.20 | 6.65 | 14.00 | 30.00 |