Udinese vs AC Milan – Match preview
Udinese-:-
AC MilanDacia Arena
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
7%
73%
UdineseDraw 20%AC Milan
Bookmaker implied
19%
57%
UdineseDraw 24%AC Milan
0.4 – 1.9
Expected score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
28%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Udinese
23%5.21
fair 4.31disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
25%4.02
fair 4.010%
Last 1020%4/20
AC Milan
52%1.68
fair 1.93-13%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Udinese
31%3.91
fair 3.23disputed
Last 1031%5/16
AC Milan
69%1.26
fair 1.45-13%
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Udinese or draw
48%2.27
fair 2.08disputed
Last 1045%9/20
Udinese or AC Milan
75%1.27
fair 1.33-5%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or AC Milan
77%1.18
fair 1.30-9%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | 1.29 / 3.79 | 85%17/20 | none |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | 1.91 / 1.98 | 60%12/20 | Over +2% |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | 3.24 / 1.36 | 25%5/20 | Over +2% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.80
Last 1060%12/20
Udinese clean sheet
19%
model chance
AC Milan clean sheet
29%
model chance
Udinese goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
AC Milan goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 8.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 52% | 48% | 1.71 / 2.12 | 35%7/20 | Under +2% |
| Over/under 9.5 | 40% | 60% | 2.13 / 1.70 | 35%7/20 | Under +3% |
| Over/under 10.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 5% | 95% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Udinese corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
AC Milan corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cards · Referee Matteo Marcenaro (4.5 cards a match, ×1.02)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 29% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Udinese cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
AC Milan cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%O3.5 9%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Udinese | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.90 | 1.90 | 52% | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | -1% |
Alphadjo Cissè AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Adrien Rabiot AC Milan | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.60 | 2.60 | 36% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -7% |
Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 66% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -12% |
Samuel Chukwueze AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.50 | 1.50 | 52% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -23% |
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp Udinese | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 4.00 | 4.00 | 28% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | +11% |
Jesper Karlström Udinese | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.61 | 1.61 | 52% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -16% |
Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.95 | 1.95 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -17% |
Christian Pulisic AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 59% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -21% |
Oumar Solet Udinese | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 47% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | -22% |
Strahinja Pavlović AC Milan | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | 52% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -25% |
Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | 44% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -31% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026UdineseAC Milan
- 16
- League position
- 4
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- WDWDD
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
14
Udinese wins
9
Draws
21
AC Milan wins
Last 44 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
61%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
11 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Udinese in the last 5 meetings
WLLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Udinese
- Alessandro ZanoliMuscle Fatigue
- Idrissa GueyeAnkle Injury
- Jakub PiotrowskiUnknown Injury
- Vakoun BayoHamstring Muscle Injury
AC Milan
- Alexis SaelemaekersAnkle Surgery
- Matteo GabbiaHamstring Strain
Confirmed Line-ups
Udinese
- 40Maduka OkoyeGoalkeeper
- 28Oumar SoletDefender
- 13Nicolò BertolaDefender
- 77Enzo EbosseDefender
- 23Mërgim VojvodaDefender
- 8Jesper KarlströmMidfielder
- 6Oier ZarragaMidfielder
- 11Hassane KamaraMidfielder
- 32Jurgen EkkelenkampMidfielder
- 30Giorgi ChakvetadzeMidfielder
- 9Keinan DavisAttacker
AC Milan
- 16Mike MaignanGoalkeeper
- 34Mario GilaDefender
- 5Koni De WinterDefender
- 31Strahinja PavlovićDefender
- 21Samuel ChukwuezeMidfielder
- 80Yunus MusahMidfielder
- 14Luka ModrićMidfielder
- 22Diego MoreiraMidfielder
- 12Adrien RabiotMidfielder
- 11Christian PulisicAttacker
- 9Gonçalo RamosAttacker
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonUdinese
Top scorer
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
3 goals
Most assists
Keinan Davis
2 assists
Best rated
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
7.21
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesper KarlströmMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Maduka OkoyeGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Jurgen EkkelenkampAttacker | 7 (7) | 615 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Mërgim VojvodaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 591 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Hassane KamaraMidfielder | 7 (7) | 558 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.02 | |
| Enzo EbosseDefender | 7 (6) | 536 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| James AbankwahDefender | 6 (6) | 496 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Oumar SoletDefender | 5 (5) | 398 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Keinan DavisAttacker | 6 (5) | 369 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.81 | |
| Unai GómezAttacker | 7 (4) | 303 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Lennon MillerMidfielder | 5 (2) | 254 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Giorgi ChakvetadzeMidfielder | 4 (2) | 215 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Christian KabaseleDefender | 3 (2) | 213 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Jakub PiotrowskiMidfielder | 4 (3) | 190 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Idrissa GueyeAttacker | 4 (1) | 176 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
AC Milan
Top scorer
Adrien Rabiot
4 goals
Most assists
Adrien Rabiot
3 assists
Best rated
Adrien Rabiot
7.48
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike MaignanGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Strahinja PavlovićDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×3 |
| Gonçalo RamosAttacker | 7 (7) | 625 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.67 | |
| Koni De WinterDefender | 7 (6) | 610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Mario GilaDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Samuel ChukwuezeMidfielder | 7 (6) | 497 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.23 | – |
| Adrien RabiotMidfielder | 7 (5) | 486 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.48 | |
| Yunus MusahMidfielder | 7 (5) | 481 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Luka ModrićMidfielder | 7 (5) | 431 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Pervis EstupiñánMidfielder | 7 (5) | 342 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Diego MoreiraAttacker | 5 (3) | 306 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Christian PulisicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 266 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Alphadjo CissèMidfielder | 5 (3) | 243 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Ruben Loftus-CheekMidfielder | 6 (3) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Alexis SaelemaekersAttacker | 4 (2) | 185 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | – |
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro
Referee · Italy
- Cards per game
- 4.32
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.94
- Red cards per game
- 0.39
- Fouls per game
- 25.4
- Penalties per game
- 0.13
- Home wins
- 62%
Averages across 31 completed matches officiated by Matteo Marcenaro in our database.
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 2.93 |