Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo – Match preview
Vasco da Gama-:-
FlamengoEstádio Club de Regatas Vasco da GamaRound 33
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
14%
66%
Vasco da GamaDraw 20%Flamengo
Bookmaker implied
26%
47%
Vasco da GamaDraw 27%Flamengo
0.9 – 2.1
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Vasco da Gama
31%–
fair 3.21–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.51–
Last 1020%4/20
Flamengo
40%–
fair 2.48–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw no bet
Vasco da Gama
44%–
fair 2.29–
Last 1031%5/16
Flamengo
56%–
fair 1.77–
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Vasco da Gama or draw
60%–
fair 1.68–
Last 1045%9/20
Vasco da Gama or Flamengo
72%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Flamengo
69%–
fair 1.45–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.2–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1035%7/20
Vasco da Gama clean sheet
21%
model chance
Flamengo clean sheet
33%
model chance
Vasco da Gama goals
O0.5 67%O1.5 30%O2.5 10%
Flamengo goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Vasco da Gama corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Flamengo corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Vasco da Gama cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%
Flamengo cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 68%O2.5 42%O3.5 21%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Vasco da GamaFlamengo
- 15
- League position
- 1
- LDWWW
- Last 5
- WWDWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
6
Vasco da Gama wins
14
Draws
15
Flamengo wins
Last 35 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
31%
Over 2.5 goals
03 May 2026
Last meeting
Vasco da Gama in the last 5 meetings
DDDDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Vasco da Gama
- Carlos CuestaHip Flexor Problems
- Cauan BarrosCut
Flamengo
- Ayrton LucasHamstring Injury
- DaniloFacial Fracture
- Evertton AraújoHamstring Injury
- Giorgian de ArrascaetaWrist Fracture
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonVasco da Gama
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez
5 goals
Most assists
José Luis Rodríguez
4 assists
Best rated
Philippe Coutinho
7.72
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo JardimGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2700 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Robert RenanDefender | 29 (29) | 2610 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Thiago MendesMidfielder | 27 (26) | 2204 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.14 | ×8 |
| Andrés GómezMidfielder | 26 (24) | 2122 | 5 | 3 | – | 6.86 | ×9 |
| Paulo HenriqueDefender | 21 (19) | 1493 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.69 | ×5 |
| CuiabanoDefender | 20 (16) | 1452 | 2 | 3 | – | 7.13 | ×4 |
| Tchê TchêMidfielder | 22 (18) | 1442 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Carlos CuestaDefender | 16 (16) | 1373 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | |
| Cauan BarrosMidfielder | 19 (15) | 1304 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.99 | ×4 |
| José Luis RodríguezDefender | 21 (11) | 1269 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Alan SaldiviaDefender | 14 (13) | 1214 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×4 |
| Lucas PitonDefender | 19 (14) | 1162 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | – |
| DavidAttacker | 24 (13) | 1106 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Nuno MoreiraMidfielder | 21 (12) | 979 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×3 |
| Johan RojasAttacker | 18 (10) | 856 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | ×2 |
Flamengo
Top scorer
Pedro
16 goals
Most assists
Samuel Lino
8 assists
Best rated
Samuel Lino
7.34
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín RossiGoalkeeper | 31 (31) | 2792 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| PedroAttacker | 31 (30) | 2467 | 16 | 6 | – | 7.20 | ×2 |
| Léo PereiraDefender | 26 (26) | 2259 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.20 | ×7 |
| Léo OrtizDefender | 26 (25) | 2167 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Samuel LinoMidfielder | 30 (25) | 2026 | 9 | 8 | – | 7.34 | ×3 |
| Guillermo VarelaDefender | 23 (20) | 1880 | 1 | 4 | – | 6.93 | ×3 |
| JorginhoMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1802 | 3 | 3 | – | 7.06 | ×5 |
| Erick PulgarMidfielder | 21 (19) | 1580 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×8 |
| Alex SandroDefender | 20 (17) | 1526 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×5 |
| Lucas PaquetáMidfielder | 22 (17) | 1456 | 7 | 1 | – | 7.22 | ×4 |
| Jorge CarrascalMidfielder | 25 (16) | 1408 | 6 | 8 | – | 7.26 | ×2 |
| Giorgian de ArrascaetaMidfielder | 21 (16) | 1398 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Ayrton LucasDefender | 18 (13) | 1090 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Emerson RoyalDefender | 15 (12) | 1061 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Evertton AraújoMidfielder | 20 (12) | 996 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
Referee
Bruno Arleu de Araujo
Referee · Brazil
- Cards per game
- 5.58
- Yellow cards per game
- 5.30
- Red cards per game
- 0.28
- Fouls per game
- 25.7
- Penalties per game
- 0.37
- Home wins
- 48%
Averages across 43 completed matches officiated by Bruno Arleu de Araujo in our database.