Vitória vs Fluminense – Match preview
Vitória-:-
FluminenseEstádio Manoel BarradasRound 34
Match Preview
Updated 31 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
49%
25%
VitóriaDraw 26%Fluminense
Bookmaker implied
31%
40%
VitóriaDraw 29%Fluminense
1.5 – 0.9
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
30%
22%
VitóriaDraw 48%Fluminense
Double Chance
41%
32%
VitóriaDraw 27%Fluminense
Half Time Result
53%
40%
VitóriaDraw 7%Fluminense
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
Over 0.5 Goals
40%
Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)
67%
Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)
74%
Match Result
Vitória
33%3.10
fair 3.04+2%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
29%3.25
fair 3.50-7%
Last 1015%3/20
Fluminense
39%2.30
fair 2.59-11%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Vitória
46%2.15
fair 2.17-1%
Last 1047%8/17
Fluminense
54%1.59
fair 1.85-14%
Last 1053%9/17
Double chance
Vitória or draw
61%1.59
fair 1.63-2%
Last 1055%11/20
Vitória or Fluminense
71%1.32
fair 1.40-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Fluminense
67%1.35
fair 1.49-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.80
Last 1065%13/20
Vitória clean sheet
23%
model chance
Fluminense clean sheet
27%
model chance
Vitória goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Fluminense goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Vitória corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Fluminense corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 5.0 match cards · Referee Rodrigo Pereira (4.8 cards a match, ×1.08)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Vitória cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 42%O3.5 22%
Fluminense cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 74%O2.5 49%O3.5 27%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guilherme Arana Fluminense | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Hulk Fluminense | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Diego Tarzia Vitória | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Agustín Canobbio Fluminense | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Luan Cândido Vitória | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.30 | 1.30 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Hulk Fluminense | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Juan Pablo Freytes Fluminense | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.83 | 1.83 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Hulk Fluminense | Over 0.5 Assists · 4.00 | 4.00 | – | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Rodrigo Castillo Fluminense | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.53 | 1.53 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Luan Cândido Vitória | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Samuel Xavier Fluminense | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Luciano Acosta Fluminense | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 20%1/5 | 30%3/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 31 Oct 2026VitóriaFluminense
- 14
- League position
- 4
- DDLWL
- Last 5
- WLLLW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 1.72
- xG for (L5)
- 2.85
- 0.57
- xG against (L5)
- 1.52
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Vitória wins
2
Draws
1
Fluminense wins
Last 5 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
09 May 2026
Last meeting
Vitória in the last 5 meetings
DLDWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Vitória
- CamutangaBroken Foot
- Dudu RodriguesVertebral Injury
- Edu RibeiroAchilles tendon rupture
- Fabiano Josué de Souza SilvaKnee Injury
- Nathan MendesInflammation Of Ligaments In The Knee
- RamonLeg Injury
Fluminense
- AlissonHip Flexor Problems
- IgnácioYellow Card Suspension
- John KennedyCruciate Ligament Tear
- Julián MillánThigh Problems
- MartinelliKnee Injury
- Matheus ReisInflammation Of Ligaments In The Knee
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonVitória
Top scorer
Renê Sousa
10 goals
Most assists
Erick
6 assists
Best rated
Lucas Arcanjo
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas ArcanjoGoalkeeper | 28 (28) | 2520 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.04 | |
| ErickMidfielder | 30 (26) | 2177 | 5 | 6 | 0.37 | 7.04 | ×2 |
| Caíque GonçalvesMidfielder | 27 (26) | 2078 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×5 |
| Emmanuel MartínezMidfielder | 26 (23) | 1997 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×8 |
| Luan CândidoDefender | 24 (22) | 1985 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.68 | ×3 |
| CacáDefender | 23 (23) | 1973 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×6 |
| MatheuzinhoMidfielder | 29 (25) | 1868 | 5 | 4 | 0.02 | 6.97 | ×5 |
| RamonDefender | 20 (20) | 1708 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×5 |
| Renê SousaAttacker | 24 (19) | 1682 | 10 | 1 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| BaralhasMidfielder | 18 (18) | 1537 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.98 | ×4 |
| JamersonDefender | 20 (15) | 1405 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Zé VitorMidfielder | 21 (14) | 1341 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Diego TarziaDefender | 26 (12) | 1189 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Nathan MendesDefender | 13 (12) | 1064 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Renato KayzerAttacker | 23 (11) | 916 | 5 | 1 | 1.08 | 6.72 | ×4 |
Fluminense
Top scorer
John Kennedy
9 goals
Most assists
Luciano Acosta
5 assists
Best rated
Hulk
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FábioGoalkeeper | 33 (33) | 2958 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| RenêDefender | 23 (19) | 1810 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| MartinelliMidfielder | 22 (22) | 1808 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.10 | ×5 |
| Agustín CanobbioMidfielder | 24 (22) | 1749 | 5 | 3 | 0.23 | 6.97 | ×7 |
| Kevin SernaAttacker | 32 (17) | 1666 | 4 | 4 | 0.14 | 6.83 | |
| HérculesMidfielder | 28 (18) | 1658 | 4 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Juan Pablo FreytesDefender | 19 (18) | 1629 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×6 |
| Luciano AcostaMidfielder | 28 (20) | 1554 | 6 | 5 | 0.92 | 7.09 | ×6 |
| Samuel XavierDefender | 19 (17) | 1442 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×5 |
| Jefferson SavarinoAttacker | 24 (15) | 1400 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.20 | ×3 |
| IgnácioDefender | 18 (15) | 1399 | 3 | 1 | 0.09 | 7.01 | ×7 |
| GugaDefender | 19 (15) | 1372 | 1 | 2 | 0.40 | 6.96 | ×3 |
| JemmesDefender | 19 (16) | 1363 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×3 |
| NonatoMidfielder | 19 (15) | 1313 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.98 | ×6 |
| Guilherme AranaDefender | 20 (14) | 1197 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.90 | ×4 |
Referee
Rodrigo Pereira
Referee · Portugal
- Cards per game
- 4.83
- Yellow cards per game
- 4.67
- Red cards per game
- 0.17
- Fouls per game
- 25.8
- Penalties per game
- 0.17
- Home wins
- 36%
Averages across 12 completed matches officiated by Rodrigo Pereira in our database.
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.00 | 11.60 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 10.00 | — | — |
| BetVictor | 1.39 | 2.70 | — | — |
| Dafabet | 1.84 | 1.94 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 1.00 | 9.20 | — | — |
| MelBet | 2.15 | 1.70 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 11.60 | 1.00 |
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| Betano.dk | 16.50 | 1.01 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 1.05 |
| Marathonbet | 6.15 | 1.06 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Draw | Home/Away | Draw/Away | Draw/Draw | Home/Home | Draw/Home | Away/Home | Away/Draw | Away/Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 14.70 | 30.00 | 5.55 | 4.90 | 4.90 | 6.80 | 34.00 | 14.70 | 3.66 |
| Marathonbet | 14.75 | 30.00 | 5.55 | 4.90 | 4.90 | 6.80 | 34.00 | 14.75 | 3.66 |
More on Vitória vs Fluminense
- Vitória stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Fluminense stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture