Ceará vs América Mineiro – Match preview
Ceará-:-
América MineiroEstádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo CasteloRound 37
Match Preview
Updated 02 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
59%
17%
CearáDraw 24%América Mineiro
1.7 – 0.8
Expected score
44%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
54%
22%
CearáDraw 24%América Mineiro
First Half Result
36%
18%
CearáDraw 46%América Mineiro
Team to Score First
62%
31%
CearáNo goal 7%América Mineiro
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Ceará Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Ceará Over 1.5 Goals
50%
América Mineiro Over 0.5 Goals
60%
Ceará Over 0.5 Goals
81%
Match Result
Ceará
43%–
model 2.34–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
29%–
model 3.43–
Last 1015%3/20
América Mineiro
28%–
model 3.57–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Ceará
60%–
model 1.66–
Last 1059%10/17
América Mineiro
40%–
model 2.53–
Last 1041%7/17
Double chance
Ceará or draw
72%–
model 1.39–
Last 1065%13/20
Ceará or América Mineiro
71%–
model 1.41–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or América Mineiro
57%–
model 1.75–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Both teams to score
50%
Last 1040%8/20
Ceará clean sheet
30%
model chance
América Mineiro clean sheet
28%
model chance
Ceará goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
América Mineiro goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Ceará corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 20%
América Mineiro corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 29%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Ceará cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
América Mineiro cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 02 Nov 2026CearáAmérica Mineiro
- 16
- League position
- 19
- LDLWW
- Last 5
- WWWLL
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Ceará wins
3
Draws
1
América Mineiro wins
Last 5 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
18 Jul 2026
Last meeting
Ceará in the last 5 meetings
DWDDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Ceará
- ThalissonKnee Problems
América Mineiro
- Gonzalo MastrianiCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonCeará
Top scorer
Luiz Otávio
3 goals
Most assists
Júlio
2 assists
Best rated
Caíque França
7.89
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RichardGoalkeeper | 28 (28) | 2476 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×2 |
| Luiz OtávioDefender | 27 (27) | 2405 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| JúlioDefender | 30 (27) | 2160 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.78 | ×6 |
| ÉderDefender | 22 (21) | 1891 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×8 |
| SánchezDefender | 25 (16) | 1606 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Matheus AraújoMidfielder | 27 (16) | 1427 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.78 | ×6 |
| LuccaAttacker | 21 (12) | 1179 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Rafael RamosDefender | 17 (11) | 984 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| VinaMidfielder | 20 (8) | 904 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Bryan BorgesDefender | 11 (11) | 903 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×5 |
| ZanoceloMidfielder | 12 (10) | 862 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.83 | ×2 |
| RichardsonMidfielder | 17 (10) | 833 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | ×4 |
| FernandoDefender | 12 (12) | 800 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Luiz OtávioDefender | 13 (7) | 798 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Michael Nicolás Ferreira BerrondoMidfielder | 11 (9) | 723 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 |
América Mineiro
Top scorer
Matías Segovia
5 goals
Most assists
Matías Segovia
3 assists
Best rated
Matías Segovia
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rafa BarcelosDefender | 25 (24) | 2152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×9 |
| GustavoGoalkeeper | 22 (21) | 1951 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | ×5 |
| Matías SegoviaMidfielder | 28 (21) | 1864 | 5 | 3 | – | 7.08 | ×4 |
| Willian BigodeAttacker | 30 (20) | 1780 | 5 | 2 | – | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Paulo VictorAttacker | 27 (19) | 1723 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.75 | ×5 |
| Felipe AmaralMidfielder | 30 (23) | 1659 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Ricardo SilvaDefender | 19 (18) | 1614 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| Guilherme ParedeMidfielder | 19 (17) | 1323 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.97 | |
| DalbertDefender | 17 (15) | 1288 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo MastrianiAttacker | 21 (14) | 1268 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| BarretoMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1169 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×5 |
| Tobias OstchegaDefender | 16 (13) | 1164 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Bruno BrígidoGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1019 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Luca SosaDefender | 13 (12) | 1012 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Gabriel BarrosAttacker | 15 (13) | 926 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.74 | – |
More on Ceará vs América Mineiro
- Ceará stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- América Mineiro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie B (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture