Modena vs Mantova – Match preview
Modena-:-
MantovaStadio Alberto BragliaRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
21%
58%
ModenaDraw 21%Mantova
1.2 – 2.0
Expected score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Modena
40%–
fair 2.53–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%–
fair 3.70–
Last 1010%2/20
Mantova
33%–
fair 2.99–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Modena
54%–
fair 1.85–
Last 1033%6/18
Mantova
46%–
fair 2.18–
Last 1067%12/18
Double chance
Modena or draw
67%–
fair 1.50–
Last 1040%8/20
Modena or Mantova
73%–
fair 1.37–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Mantova
60%–
fair 1.65–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1050%10/20
Modena clean sheet
22%
model chance
Mantova clean sheet
26%
model chance
Modena goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Mantova goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Modena corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Mantova corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 45%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Modena cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Mantova cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ModenaMantova
- 4
- League position
- 2
- LWWDL
- Last 5
- LWDWD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Modena wins
8
Draws
3
Mantova wins
Last 15 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
47%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Modena in the last 5 meetings
WWWDD
Injuries & Suspensions
Modena
- Alessandro SersantiCruciate Ligament Tear
Mantova
No reported absences
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonModena
Top scorer
Giuseppe Caso
3 goals
Most assists
Daniel Tonoli
2 assists
Best rated
Giuseppe Ambrosino
7.45
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryant NielingDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Daniel TonoliDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.20 | – |
| Leandro ChichizolaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Giuseppe AmbrosinoAttacker | 7 (7) | 620 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.45 | |
| Steven NadorDefender | 7 (7) | 592 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Alessandro BiancoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 583 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Giuseppe CasoAttacker | 7 (7) | 569 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.13 | |
| Gastón BrugmanMidfielder | 7 (7) | 523 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Simone SantoroMidfielder | 7 (5) | 476 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Francesco ZampanoDefender | 6 (6) | 446 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Giacomo OlzerAttacker | 6 (5) | 368 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.14 | ×2 |
| Paulo Daniel Dentello AzziMidfielder | 7 (3) | 346 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Andrea BelottiAttacker | 4 (0) | 128 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| Antonio ImputatoAttacker | 3 (1) | 107 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Francesco FolinoDefender | 4 (0) | 82 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Mantova
Top scorer
Francesco Ruocco
5 goals
Most assists
Alessio Castellini
5 assists
Best rated
Francesco Ruocco
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesco BardiGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Stefano CellaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Fahem BenaïssaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Alessio CastelliniDefender | 7 (7) | 616 | 0 | 5 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Bodin TomaševićDefender | 7 (7) | 561 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Francesco RuoccoAttacker | 7 (7) | 507 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.28 | – |
| Jonathan SilvaMidfielder | 6 (6) | 497 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | |
| Lorenzo IgnacchitiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 464 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Rachid KoudaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Rareș IlieAttacker | 7 (7) | 429 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Ettore GliozziAttacker | 7 (4) | 343 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Simone TrimboliMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Davide BragantiniAttacker | 6 (2) | 264 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Vanja VlahovićAttacker | 4 (1) | 142 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Tommaso Del LungoDefender | 3 (1) | 116 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | – |