Palermo vs Carrarese – Match preview
Palermo-:-
CarrareseStadio Renzo BarberaRound 8
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
44%
20%
PalermoDraw 36%Carrarese
Bookmaker implied
65%
15%
PalermoDraw 20%Carrarese
0.9 – 0.5
Expected score
18%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Palermo
47%–
fair 2.13–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.58–
Last 1020%4/20
Carrarese
25%–
fair 4.00–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Palermo
65%–
fair 1.53–
Last 1063%10/16
Carrarese
35%–
fair 2.88–
Last 1038%6/16
Double chance
Palermo or draw
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1070%14/20
Palermo or Carrarese
72%–
fair 1.39–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Carrarese
53%–
fair 1.89–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1035%7/20
Palermo clean sheet
31%
model chance
Carrarese clean sheet
25%
model chance
Palermo goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Carrarese goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Palermo corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Carrarese corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Palermo cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Carrarese cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026PalermoCarrarese
- 1
- League position
- 14
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- WWLLL
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Palermo wins
1
Draws
1
Carrarese wins
Last 4 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
08 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Palermo in the last 4 meetings
WWDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Palermo
- Jesse JoronenShoulder Injury
Carrarese
No reported absences
Confirmed Line-ups
Palermo
4-2-3-1- 1Mattia PerinGoalkeeper
- 84Tommaso CassandroDefender
- 13Mattia BaniDefender
- 32Pietro CeccaroniDefender
- 3Tommaso AugelloMidfielder
- 8Jacopo SegreMidfielder
- 10Filippo RanocchiaMidfielder
- 9Dominic VavassoriAttacker
- 5Antonio PalumboAttacker
- 17Dennis JohnsenAttacker
- 20Joel PohjanpaloAttacker
Carrarese
3-5-2- 1Semuel PizzignaccoGoalkeeper
- 13Fabio AndreaDefender
- 6Filippo OlianaDefender
- 33Filippo RealeDefender
- 7Niccolò BelloniMidfielder
- 77Gabriele ParlantiMidfielder
- 18Nicolás SchiaviMidfielder
- 23Matthias BraunöderMidfielder
- 73Jonas RouhiMidfielder
- 9Fabio AbiusoAttacker
- 10Tommaso RubinoAttacker
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonPalermo
Top scorer
Dennis Johnsen
4 goals
Most assists
Dennis Johnsen
5 assists
Best rated
Dennis Johnsen
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommaso AugelloDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.23 | |
| Mattia BaniDefender | 7 (7) | 586 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | ×3 |
| Jacopo SegreMidfielder | 7 (7) | 569 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Joel PohjanpaloAttacker | 7 (7) | 567 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Pietro CeccaroniDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Dominic VavassoriMidfielder | 7 (5) | 523 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Dennis JohnsenMidfielder | 7 (6) | 518 | 4 | 5 | – | 7.54 | – |
| Filippo RanocchiaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 508 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Tommaso CassandroDefender | 7 (4) | 433 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Antonio PalumboMidfielder | 5 (4) | 388 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.41 | |
| Mattia FortinGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Mattia PerinGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| HernaniMidfielder | 5 (3) | 225 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Niccolò PierozziDefender | 4 (3) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Nahuel EstévezMidfielder | 7 (0) | 163 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 |
Carrarese
Top scorer
Fabio Abiuso
2 goals
Most assists
Gabriele Parlanti
2 assists
Best rated
Tommaso Rubino
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filippo OlianaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.98 | |
| Filippo RealeDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Jonas RouhiMidfielder | 7 (7) | 597 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Fabio Andrea RuggeriDefender | 7 (7) | 596 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Gabriele ParlantiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 529 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Fabio AbiusoAttacker | 7 (7) | 525 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Nicolás SchiaviMidfielder | 7 (6) | 466 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Semuel PizzignaccoGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Niccolò BelloniMidfielder | 6 (4) | 365 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | |
| Moustapha CisséAttacker | 5 (4) | 313 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Lorenzo RomaniDefender | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Jacopo MartiniMidfielder | 6 (2) | 262 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Luka TopalovićMidfielder | 6 (2) | 217 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | |
| Matthias BraunöderMidfielder | 4 (2) | 212 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Tommaso RubinoAttacker | 4 (3) | 193 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
Referee
Mattia Drigo
Referee · Italy
- Cards per game
- 3.00
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.00
- Red cards per game
- 0.00
- Fouls per game
- 31.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.00
- Home wins
- 50%
Averages across 2 completed matches officiated by Mattia Drigo in our database.