Südtirol vs Cesena – Match preview
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Stadio Marco DrusoRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
54%
7%
SüdtirolDraw 39%Cesena
0.9 – 0.2
Expected score
10%
Over 2.5 goals
10%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Südtirol
40%–
fair 2.52–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
30%–
fair 3.34–
Last 1045%9/20
Cesena
30%–
fair 3.29–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Südtirol
57%–
fair 1.77–
Last 1045%5/11
Cesena
43%–
fair 2.31–
Last 1055%6/11
Double chance
Südtirol or draw
70%–
fair 1.44–
Last 1070%14/20
Südtirol or Cesena
70%–
fair 1.43–
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Cesena
60%–
fair 1.66–
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 23% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
49%
Last 1035%7/20
Südtirol clean sheet
29%
model chance
Cesena clean sheet
31%
model chance
Südtirol goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Cesena goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Südtirol corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cesena corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Südtirol cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Cesena cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026SüdtirolCesena
- 5
- League position
- 13
- LDWDW
- Last 5
- DLDDD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Südtirol wins
2
Draws
2
Cesena wins
Last 4 meetings
1.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
06 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Südtirol in the last 4 meetings
DLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Südtirol
- Bjarki BjarkasonMetatarsal Fracture
Cesena
No reported absences
Key Players
Serie B, this seasonSüdtirol
Top scorer
Kenny Mixtur
2 goals
Most assists
Salvatore Molina
2 assists
Best rated
Alessandro Plizzari
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salvatore MolinaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.90 | |
| Alessandro PlizzariGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Simone TronchinMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Andrea GiorginiDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Riccardo StivanelloDefender | 7 (7) | 623 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Fabio RispoliMidfielder | 7 (6) | 545 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.16 | |
| Vasco Rafael Fortes LopesMidfielder | 7 (7) | 440 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Bjarki BjarkasonDefender | 5 (5) | 382 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Giacomo StabileDefender | 5 (5) | 376 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | ×2 |
| Aljosa VasicMidfielder | 6 (5) | 361 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Alvin OkoroAttacker | 6 (5) | 320 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Simone DaviDefender | 7 (2) | 285 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Davide VeroliDefender | 6 (2) | 249 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Rareș BurneteAttacker | 7 (0) | 191 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Silvio MerkajAttacker | 2 (2) | 176 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
Cesena
Top scorer
Cristian Shpendi
6 goals
Most assists
Dimitri Bisoli
2 assists
Best rated
Cristian Shpendi
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alessandro SianoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Dimitri BisoliMidfielder | 7 (7) | 625 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.87 | |
| Andrea CiofiDefender | 7 (7) | 615 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Mihajlo IlićDefender | 7 (7) | 607 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Cristian ShpendiAttacker | 7 (7) | 604 | 6 | 1 | – | 7.19 | ×3 |
| Riccardo PaganoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 550 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Jacopo GelliDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Matteo GuidiMidfielder | 7 (4) | 431 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Antonio FioriMidfielder | 7 (6) | 428 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Gianluca FrabottaDefender | 7 (3) | 388 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Massimiliano MangravitiDefender | 6 (4) | 375 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Xavello DruiventakMidfielder | 6 (4) | 308 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Luca D'AndreaAttacker | 4 (2) | 187 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Marco Dalla VecchiaMidfielder | 4 (2) | 138 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Emil BohinenMidfielder | 3 (2) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 |