Lugano vs Basel – Match preview
Lugano-:-
BaselStadio di CornaredoRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
80%
7%
LuganoDraw 13%Basel
2.8 – 0.7
Expected score
68%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Lugano
61%–
fair 1.64–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw
22%–
fair 4.62–
Last 1010%2/20
Basel
17%–
fair 5.75–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Lugano
78%–
fair 1.29–
Last 1078%14/18
Basel
22%–
fair 4.50–
Last 1022%4/18
Double chance
Lugano or draw
83%–
fair 1.21–
Last 1080%16/20
Lugano or Basel
78%–
fair 1.28–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Basel
39%–
fair 2.56–
Last 1030%6/20
Expected goals 2.2–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1045%9/20
Lugano clean sheet
29%
model chance
Basel clean sheet
14%
model chance
Lugano goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 31%
Basel goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Lugano corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Basel corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 61%O5.5 44%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Lugano cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 46%O3.5 24%
Basel cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026LuganoBasel
- 1
- League position
- 7
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- LLWLL
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 17
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 13
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
9
Lugano wins
4
Draws
7
Basel wins
Last 20 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
06 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Lugano in the last 5 meetings
WWDWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Lugano
No reported absences
Basel
- Andrej BacaninShin Injury
- Bennett HochMeniscus Injury
- Kaio EduardoCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Super League, this seasonLugano
Top scorer
Daniel Dos Santos
4 goals
Most assists
Anto Grgic
4 assists
Best rated
Anto Grgic
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonios PapadopoulosDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.35 | ×2 |
| Anto GrgicMidfielder | 10 (9) | 836 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.51 | |
| Yanis CimignaniMidfielder | 10 (9) | 770 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.09 | ×2 |
| David von BallmoosGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 766 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Lukas MaiDefender | 9 (9) | 731 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.21 | |
| Uran BislimiMidfielder | 9 (8) | 718 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.14 | ×4 |
| Daniel Dos SantosMidfielder | 10 (8) | 669 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.16 | ×2 |
| Hannes DelcroixDefender | 8 (6) | 547 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.47 | – |
| Dereck MoncadaAttacker | 9 (6) | 506 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Renato SteffenAttacker | 8 (7) | 476 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.25 | |
| Mattia ZanottiDefender | 8 (4) | 466 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Bekhruz KarimovMidfielder | 7 (6) | 454 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Elias PihlströmAttacker | 8 (4) | 373 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Joel BichselDefender | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Ahmed KendouciMidfielder | 9 (3) | 283 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.76 |
Basel
Top scorer
Zan Celar
6 goals
Most assists
Kazeem Olaigbe
4 assists
Best rated
Asane Sow
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavius DaniliucDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Zan CelarAttacker | 10 (10) | 857 | 6 | 1 | – | 6.95 | |
| Keigo TsunemotoDefender | 10 (9) | 820 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Akpe VictoryDefender | 10 (9) | 815 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.19 | ×3 |
| MetinhoMidfielder | 9 (8) | 743 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.64 | ×2 |
| Mirko SalviGoalkeeper | 8 (7) | 674 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Kazeem OlaigbeMidfielder | 10 (9) | 650 | 2 | 4 | – | 6.86 | ×3 |
| Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielder | 10 (6) | 626 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Becir OmeragicDefender | 7 (6) | 543 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Asane SowAttacker | 6 (6) | 525 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.41 | – |
| Philip OteleMidfielder | 9 (5) | 460 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| Moussa CisséDefender | 8 (6) | 451 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | ×2 |
| Ludwig Malachowski ThorellMidfielder | 10 (6) | 417 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Jonas HarderMidfielder | 8 (4) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Jonas OmlinGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 226 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |