Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens – Match preview
-:-
Olympiako Stadio Spyros LouisRound 9
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
64%
16%
PanathinaikosDraw 20%AEK Athens
Bookmaker implied
38%
33%
PanathinaikosDraw 29%AEK Athens
2.1 – 1.0
Expected score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
54%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Panathinaikos
41%2.45
fair 2.450%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
28%3.20
fair 3.58-11%
Last 1030%6/20
AEK Athens
31%2.75
fair 3.21-14%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Panathinaikos
57%1.68
fair 1.76-5%
Last 1036%5/14
AEK Athens
43%1.89
fair 2.31-18%
Last 1064%9/14
Double chance
Panathinaikos or draw
69%1.39
fair 1.45-4%
Last 1055%11/20
Panathinaikos or AEK Athens
72%1.30
fair 1.39-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or AEK Athens
59%1.48
fair 1.69-12%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
55%Yes 1.80
Last 1055%11/20
Panathinaikos clean sheet
26%
model chance
AEK Athens clean sheet
21%
model chance
Panathinaikos goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
AEK Athens goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Panathinaikos corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
AEK Athens corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Panathinaikos cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
AEK Athens cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kings Kangwa Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 3.40 | 3.40 | 32% | 80%4/5 | 80%8/10 | +7% |
Milán Vitális AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | 45% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -26% |
Cyriel Dessers Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | 48% | 80%4/5 | 60%6/10 | -36% |
Andreas Tetteh Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | 43% | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | -40% |
Kings Kangwa Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Assists · 6.00 | 6.00 | 17% | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | +1% |
Răzvan Marin AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.50 | 2.50 | 36% | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | -11% |
Cyriel Dessers Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Goals · 2.62 | 2.62 | 30% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -20% |
Cyriel Dessers Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.10 | 2.10 | 36% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -24% |
V. Taborda Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.83 | 1.83 | 41% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -25% |
V. Taborda Panathinaikos | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.53 | 1.53 | 31% | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | -52% |
Kings Kangwa Panathinaikos | Over 0.5 Goals · 7.00 | 7.00 | 18% | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | +24% |
Kervin Arriaga AEK Athens | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 5.50 | 5.50 | 18% | 20%1/5 | 40%4/10 | -1% |
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026PanathinaikosAEK Athens
- 1
- League position
- 4
- WLWWW
- Last 5
- WWDWD
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.20
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
23
Panathinaikos wins
20
Draws
21
AEK Athens wins
Last 64 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
41%
Over 2.5 goals
10 May 2026
Last meeting
Panathinaikos in the last 5 meetings
LDLLW
Key Players
Super League, this seasonPanathinaikos
Top scorer
Andreas Tetteh
4 goals
Most assists
Davide Calabria
2 assists
Best rated
Imrân Louza
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davide CalabriaDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Stefan de VrijDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | |
| Iñaki PeñaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Rick van DrongelenDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Santino AndinoMidfielder | 7 (7) | 556 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
| Giorgos KiriakopoulosDefender | 6 (6) | 496 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Levi GarcíaMidfielder | 7 (5) | 491 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Andreas TettehAttacker | 7 (5) | 464 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.02 | |
| Étienne CamaraMidfielder | 6 (6) | 452 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×4 |
| Kings KangwaMidfielder | 7 (5) | 418 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.07 | |
| V. TabordaMidfielder | 6 (5) | 359 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.87 | |
| Imrân LouzaMidfielder | 7 (3) | 332 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Azzedine OunahiMidfielder | 6 (4) | 281 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Cyriel DessersAttacker | 6 (2) | 216 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Anass Salah-EddineDefender | 2 (1) | 134 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 |
AEK Athens
Top scorer
Luka Jović
4 goals
Most assists
Răzvan Marin
4 assists
Best rated
Răzvan Marin
7.66
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harold MoukoudiDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Stavros PiliosDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.32 | – |
| Filipe RelvasDefender | 6 (6) | 540 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.36 | – |
| Răzvan MarinMidfielder | 6 (6) | 512 | 1 | 4 | – | 7.66 | – |
| Luka JovićAttacker | 6 (6) | 489 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.36 | |
| Lovro MajerMidfielder | 6 (5) | 447 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.33 | ×3 |
| Lazaros RotaDefender | 5 (5) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Milán VitálisMidfielder | 5 (4) | 301 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.22 | ×2 |
| Mijat GacinovicMidfielder | 5 (4) | 291 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Barnabás VargaAttacker | 4 (3) | 272 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.48 | – |
| Thomas StrakoshaGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Alberto BrignoliGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Aboubakary KoitaAttacker | 5 (3) | 262 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.96 | |
| ZiniAttacker | 6 (1) | 217 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Oleksandr ZubkovMidfielder | 4 (1) | 139 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.77 | 2.02 | — | — |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.77 | 1.96 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 |
| Betano.dk | 3.60 | 1.78 |