Thun vs Basel – Match preview
-:-
Stockhorn ArenaRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
6%
84%
ThunDraw 10%Basel
0.8 – 3.2
Expected score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
33%
44%
ThunDraw 23%Basel
First Half Result
29%
33%
ThunDraw 38%Basel
Team to Score First
45%
51%
ThunNo goal 4%Basel
Probability
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
46%
Thun Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Thun Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Basel Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Thun Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Match Result
Thun
43%2.22
model 2.33-5%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
24%3.83
model 4.11-7%
Last 1015%3/20
Basel
33%2.88
model 3.05-6%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Thun
57%1.64
model 1.76-7%
Last 1041%7/17
Basel
43%2.13
model 2.31-8%
Last 1059%10/17
Double chance
Thun or draw
67%1.41
model 1.49-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Thun or Basel
76%1.25
model 1.32-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Basel
57%1.64
model 1.75-6%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Both teams to score
69%
Last 1070%14/20
Thun clean sheet
16%
model chance
Basel clean sheet
18%
model chance
Thun goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
Basel goals
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Thun corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Basel corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 52%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Thun cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Basel cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026ThunBasel
- 10
- League position
- 7
- LLWLL
- Last 5
- DLLWL
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 2.47
- xG for (L5)
- 1.73
- 2.04
- xG against (L5)
- 1.05
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
7
Thun wins
15
Draws
36
Basel wins
Last 58 meetings
3.4
Goals per game
72%
Both teams scored
64%
Over 2.5 goals
09 Aug 2026
Last meeting
Thun in the last 5 meetings
LLWWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Thun
- Fabio SaizUnknown Injury
- Genís MontolioCruciate Ligament Tear
- Mats SeilerUnknown Injury
Basel
- Aaron MaloudaMuscle Injury
- Asane SowAnkle Injury
- Bennett HochMeniscus Injury
- Gabriel SiguaUnknown Injury
- Kaio EduardoCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Super League, this seasonThun
Top scorer
Brighton Labeau
3 goals
Most assists
Furkan Dursun
4 assists
Best rated
Furkan Dursun
7.22
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas SteffenGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Jan BamertDefender | 10 (10) | 877 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Justin RothMidfielder | 11 (8) | 801 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
| Nils ReichmuthMidfielder | 11 (9) | 717 | 2 | 1 | 0.30 | 6.87 | |
| Nicolas BürgyDefender | 8 (8) | 707 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Brighton LabeauAttacker | 10 (8) | 684 | 3 | 0 | 0.52 | 6.96 | – |
| Fabio SaizMidfielder | 9 (8) | 668 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Nassim ZoukitMidfielder | 10 (8) | 637 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Fabio FehrDefender | 9 (7) | 634 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.84 | ×3 |
| T. StrannegårdDefender | 8 (7) | 562 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Nico MaierMidfielder | 11 (4) | 489 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Lucien DählerDefender | 6 (5) | 469 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Furkan DursunAttacker | 8 (6) | 453 | 2 | 4 | 0.11 | 7.22 | |
| Dorian DerbaciMidfielder | 5 (4) | 273 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Mattias KäitMidfielder | 7 (2) | 247 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 |
Basel
Top scorer
Zan Celar
6 goals
Most assists
Kazeem Olaigbe
4 assists
Best rated
Asane Sow
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flavius DaniliucDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.79 | |
| Zan CelarAttacker | 11 (11) | 947 | 6 | 1 | 0.65 | 6.94 | |
| Akpe VictoryDefender | 11 (10) | 905 | 1 | 1 | 0.45 | 7.22 | ×3 |
| MetinhoMidfielder | 10 (9) | 833 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Keigo TsunemotoDefender | 10 (9) | 820 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Kazeem OlaigbeMidfielder | 11 (10) | 720 | 2 | 4 | 0.05 | 6.83 | ×4 |
| Xherdan ShaqiriMidfielder | 11 (7) | 716 | 3 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.03 | ×3 |
| Mirko SalviGoalkeeper | 8 (7) | 674 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Becir OmeragicMidfielder | 8 (7) | 633 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.86 | |
| Moussa CisséDefender | 9 (7) | 538 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | ×2 |
| Asane SowAttacker | 6 (6) | 525 | 3 | 4 | – | 7.41 | – |
| Philip OteleAttacker | 10 (5) | 480 | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.72 | |
| Ludwig Malachowski ThorellMidfielder | 10 (6) | 417 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Jonas OmlinGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Jonas HarderMidfielder | 9 (4) | 288 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.53 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 1.86 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 10.75 |
More on Thun vs Basel
- Thun stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Basel stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Super League (Switzerland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture