Thun vs Lugano – Match preview
Thun-:-
LuganoStockhorn ArenaRound 11
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
0%
98%
ThunDraw 2%Lugano
Bookmaker implied
27%
50%
ThunDraw 23%Lugano
0.2 – 4.8
Expected score
88%
Over 2.5 goals
27%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Thun
28%3.49
fair 3.59-3%
Last 1010%2/20
Draw
23%4.24
fair 4.29-1%
Last 1010%2/20
Lugano
49%1.88
fair 2.05-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw no bet
Thun
36%2.67
fair 2.75-3%
Last 1011%2/18
Lugano
64%1.44
fair 1.57-8%
Last 1089%16/18
Double chance
Thun or draw
51%1.91
fair 1.96-2%
Last 1020%4/20
Thun or Lugano
77%1.22
fair 1.30-6%
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Lugano
72%1.30
fair 1.39-6%
Last 1090%18/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.8 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | 1.12 / 6.35 | 60%12/20 | Under +3% |
| Over/under 2.5 | 65% | 35% | 1.40 / 2.94 | 50%10/20 | Under +4% |
| Over/under 3.5main | 43% | 57% | 2.02 / 1.83 | 45%9/20 | Under +4% |
| Over/under 4.5 | 25% | 75% | 3.23 / 1.34 | 20%4/20 | none |
Both teams to score
64%Yes 1.40
Last 1045%9/20
Thun clean sheet
14%
model chance
Lugano clean sheet
29%
model chance
Thun goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Lugano goals
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Thun corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Lugano corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Thun cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 74%O2.5 49%O3.5 27%
Lugano cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026ThunLugano
- 9
- League position
- 1
- LWLLL
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 17
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
8
Thun wins
7
Draws
9
Lugano wins
Last 24 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
54%
Over 2.5 goals
25 Apr 2026
Last meeting
Thun in the last 5 meetings
LLLWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Thun
- Fabio SaizUnknown Injury
- Genís MontolioCruciate Ligament Tear
- Jan BamertRed Card Suspension
- Marc GutbubUnknown Injury
- Mats SeilerUnknown Injury
Lugano
- Claudio CassanoCruciate Ligament Tear
- João CarboneUnknown Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Thun
4-4-2- 1Niklas SteffenGoalkeeper
- 47Fabio FehrDefender
- 5Nicolas BürgyDefender
- 2Olivier MambwaDefender
- 18T. StrannegårdDefender
- 30Nico MaierAttacker
- 16Justin RothMidfielder
- 13Nassim ZoukitMidfielder
- 52Adam IlicMidfielder
- 80Simon LengenAttacker
- 9Furkan DursunAttacker
Lugano
3-4-2-1- 16David von BallmoosGoalkeeper
- 6Antonios PapadopoulosDefender
- 17Lukas MaiDefender
- 3Hannes DelcroixDefender
- 2Bekhruz KarimovDefender
- 8Anto GrgicMidfielder
- 25Uran BislimiMidfielder
- 46Mattia ZanottiDefender
- 11Renato SteffenAttacker
- 21Yanis CimignaniMidfielder
- 9Albian AjetiAttacker
Key Players
Super League, this seasonThun
Top scorer
Brighton Labeau
3 goals
Most assists
Furkan Dursun
4 assists
Best rated
Furkan Dursun
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niklas SteffenGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Jan BamertDefender | 10 (10) | 877 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Justin RothMidfielder | 10 (7) | 711 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
| Fabio SaizMidfielder | 9 (8) | 668 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Nils ReichmuthMidfielder | 10 (8) | 636 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.83 | |
| Nicolas BürgyDefender | 7 (7) | 617 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Brighton LabeauAttacker | 9 (7) | 603 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Nassim ZoukitMidfielder | 9 (7) | 547 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Fabio FehrDefender | 8 (6) | 538 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| T. StrannegårdDefender | 7 (6) | 472 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | |
| Lucien DählerDefender | 6 (5) | 469 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Nico MaierMidfielder | 10 (3) | 415 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Furkan DursunAttacker | 7 (5) | 388 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.23 | |
| Dorian DerbaciMidfielder | 5 (4) | 273 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
| Layton StewartAttacker | 3 (3) | 244 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
Lugano
Top scorer
Daniel Dos Santos
4 goals
Most assists
Anto Grgic
4 assists
Best rated
Anto Grgic
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonios PapadopoulosDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.35 | ×2 |
| Anto GrgicMidfielder | 10 (9) | 836 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.51 | |
| Yanis CimignaniMidfielder | 10 (9) | 770 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.09 | ×2 |
| David von BallmoosGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 766 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Lukas MaiDefender | 9 (9) | 731 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.21 | |
| Uran BislimiMidfielder | 9 (8) | 718 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.14 | ×4 |
| Daniel Dos SantosMidfielder | 10 (8) | 669 | 4 | 0 | – | 7.16 | ×2 |
| Hannes DelcroixDefender | 8 (6) | 547 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.47 | – |
| Dereck MoncadaAttacker | 9 (6) | 506 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Renato SteffenAttacker | 8 (7) | 476 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.25 | |
| Mattia ZanottiDefender | 8 (4) | 466 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Bekhruz KarimovMidfielder | 7 (6) | 454 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Elias PihlströmAttacker | 8 (4) | 373 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | |
| Joel BichselDefender | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Ahmed KendouciMidfielder | 9 (3) | 283 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.76 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Away | Home | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.32 | 2.88 | — | — |
| bet365 | — | — | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 1.10 | 6.00 | — | — |
| Betinia | — | — | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Betsonic | — | — | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 1.45 | — | — |
| Campobet | — | — | 1.85 | 1.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 1.94 | — | — |
| Macauslot | 1.87 | 1.91 | — | — |
| MansionBet | 1.92 | 1.96 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | 3.74 | 1.19 | — | — |
| MelBet | 1.41 | 2.52 | — | — |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 3.09 | — | — |
| Sbo | 1.94 | 1.94 | — | — |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 1.06 | 6.20 |
| bet365 | 1.44 | 2.70 |
| Betano.dk | 3.15 | 1.33 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 3.10 |
| Betinia | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| Betsonic | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| Campobet | 1.90 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 5.20 | 1.08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 1.14 |
HT/FT Double
| Bookmaker | Home/Home | Draw/Draw | Draw/Away | Home/Away | Home/Draw | Away/Away | Away/Draw | Away/Home | Draw/Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xbet | 5.45 | 7.20 | 5.40 | 20.00 | 14.50 | 2.71 | 14.20 | 30.00 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 5.45 | 7.20 | 5.40 | 20.50 | 14.50 | 2.71 | 14.25 | 30.00 | 8.80 |