Värnamo vs Norrköping – Match preview
-:-
FinnvedsvallenRound 30
Predictions
Full Time Result
16%
62%
VärnamoDraw 22%Norrköping
First Half Result
17%
43%
VärnamoDraw 40%Norrköping
Team to Score First
31%
64%
VärnamoNo goal 5%Norrköping
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
Värnamo Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Värnamo Over 1.5 Goals
23%
Norrköping Over 0.5 Goals
87%
Värnamo Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Match Result
Värnamo
28%3.87
model 3.56disputed
Last 1047%8/17
Draw
25%3.88
model 4.07-5%
Last 1012%2/17
Norrköping
47%1.82
model 2.11-14%
Last 1041%7/17
Draw no bet
Värnamo
37%2.87
model 2.69disputed
Last 1053%8/15
Norrköping
63%1.35
model 1.59-15%
Last 1047%7/15
Double chance
Värnamo or draw
53%1.94
model 1.90+2%
Last 1059%10/17
Värnamo or Norrköping
75%1.24
model 1.33-6%
Last 1088%15/17
Draw or Norrköping
72%1.24
model 1.39-11%
Last 1053%9/17
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%17/17 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 94%16/17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 71%12/17 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 41%7/17 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 24%4/17 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1053%9/17
Värnamo clean sheet
17%
model chance
Norrköping clean sheet
23%
model chance
Värnamo goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Norrköping goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 82%14/17 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 76%13/17 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 59%10/17 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 59%10/17 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 41%7/17 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 29%5/17 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 12%2/17 | – |
Värnamo corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Norrköping corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%12/16 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 44%7/16 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 31%5/16 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 6%1/16 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 6%1/16 | – |
Värnamo cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Norrköping cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026VärnamoNorrköping
- 4
- League position
- 1
- WL
- Last 5
- WWD
- 1.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.33
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 1
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Värnamo wins
1
Draws
5
Norrköping wins
Last 8 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
21 Jul 2025
Last meeting
Värnamo in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Injuries & Suspensions
Värnamo
No reported absences
Norrköping
- Stephen BolmaKnee Surgery
Key Players
Superettan, this seasonVärnamo
Top scorer
Johan Rapp
2 goals
Most assists
Simon Thern
2 assists
Best rated
Johan Rapp
6.98
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor ClaessonMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Hugo KetoGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.31 | – |
| Z. RåvikDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Erik FreijDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| S. OhlssonDefender | 2 (1) | 167 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Calle JohanssonMidfielder | 2 (2) | 161 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | – |
| August LjungbergMidfielder | 2 (2) | 142 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Marcus AntonssonAttacker | 2 (2) | 100 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Kai MeriluotoAttacker | 2 (1) | 97 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| A. MotaraghebjafarpourDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Johan RappDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Simon ThernMidfielder | 2 (1) | 83 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Douglas BergqvistDefender | 2 (0) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Carl JohanssonMidfielder | 2 (0) | 38 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Logi Hrafn RóbertssonMidfielder | 1 (0) | 19 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
Norrköping
Top scorer
Elias Jemal
2 goals
Most assists
Moutaz Neffati
2 assists
Best rated
Albert Aleksanjan
6.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleksander OpsahlDefender | 3 (3) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Noel SerneliusMidfielder | 3 (3) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Elias JemalMidfielder | 3 (3) | 173 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Axel BronnerMidfielder | 3 (3) | 169 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Ryan NelsonMidfielder | 3 (3) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| T. SandbergDefender | 3 (2) | 114 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.28 | – |
| Albert AleksanjanMidfielder | 3 (2) | 113 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Moutaz NeffatiDefender | 3 (2) | 113 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Alexander FranssonMidfielder | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| David Mitov NilssonGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Theo KrantzGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.88 | – |
| Christoffer NymanAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Jonas Bertheussen WeberDefender | 3 (2) | 89 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Filip DagerstålDefender | 1 (1) | 79 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.05 | – |
| Viktor ChristianssonMidfielder | 3 (2) | 79 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.52 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 1.98 | 1.82 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 9.00 |
More on Värnamo vs Norrköping
- Värnamo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Norrköping stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Superettan (Sweden) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture