AGF vs Horsens – Match preview
-:-
Vejlby StadionRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
39%
40%
AGFDraw 21%Horsens
2.0 – 2.1
Expected score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
50%
25%
AGFDraw 25%Horsens
First Half Result
38%
24%
AGFDraw 38%Horsens
Team to Score First
57%
37%
AGFNo goal 6%Horsens
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Over 3.5 Goals
35%
AGF Over 3.5 Goals
10%
AGF Over 1.5 Goals
50%
Horsens Over 0.5 Goals
64%
AGF Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Match Result
AGF
40%–
model 2.52–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.78–
Last 1035%7/20
Horsens
34%–
model 2.95–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
AGF
54%–
model 1.85–
Last 1046%6/13
Horsens
46%–
model 2.17–
Last 1054%7/13
Double chance
AGF or draw
66%–
model 1.51–
Last 1065%13/20
AGF or Horsens
74%–
model 1.36–
Last 1065%13/20
Draw or Horsens
60%–
model 1.66–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 35% | 65% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%
Last 1065%13/20
AGF clean sheet
21%
model chance
Horsens clean sheet
24%
model chance
AGF goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Horsens goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
AGF corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 31%O7.5 19%
Horsens corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
AGF cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 12%
Horsens cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026AGFHorsens
- 8
- League position
- 6
- WDWDL
- Last 5
- WDDDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 1.96
- xG for (L5)
- 3.28
- 0.91
- xG against (L5)
- 1.41
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
AGF wins
1
Draws
0
Horsens wins
Last 6 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
20 Sept 2026
Last meeting
AGF in the last 5 meetings
DWWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
AGF
- Mikael AndersonKnock
Horsens
- Christian VestergaardCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
Superliga, this seasonAGF
Top scorer
Janni Serra
5 goals
Most assists
Frederik Emmery
3 assists
Best rated
Gift Links
7.46
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristian ArnstadMidfielder | 12 (11) | 971 | 3 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.06 | ×4 |
| Magnus KnudsenMidfielder | 12 (10) | 927 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×4 |
| Frederik EmmeryMidfielder | 12 (11) | 912 | 2 | 3 | 0.79 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Tobias BechAttacker | 12 (9) | 798 | 1 | 1 | 0.37 | 6.84 | – |
| Eric KahlDefender | 11 (6) | 680 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.83 | |
| Mads HedenstadGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Mikael AndersonAttacker | 8 (7) | 565 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Sebastian JørgensenMidfielder | 9 (6) | 562 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Jacob AndersenDefender | 11 (5) | 534 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.60 | – |
| Rasmus CarstensenDefender | 10 (6) | 489 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Janni SerraAttacker | 9 (5) | 486 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.16 | – |
| James BogereAttacker | 11 (5) | 454 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Jesper HansenGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Tobias MölgaardDefender | 6 (5) | 431 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | |
| Daníel Leó GrétarssonDefender | 5 (5) | 414 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.97 | – |
Horsens
Top scorer
Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan
4 goals
Most assists
Yamirou Ouorou
3 assists
Best rated
Alagie Saine
7.02
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alagie SaineDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×4 |
| Matej DelacGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Victor PálssonDefender | 12 (12) | 1072 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.74 | – |
| Julius MadsenMidfielder | 11 (10) | 898 | 2 | 1 | 1.06 | 6.77 | |
| Karlo LusavecMidfielder | 12 (10) | 839 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Ole Martin KolskogenDefender | 9 (9) | 756 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Kelvin EhibhatiomhanAttacker | 10 (8) | 745 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Yamirou OuorouMidfielder | 12 (9) | 699 | 2 | 3 | 0.48 | 6.77 | |
| Adrian JustinussenAttacker | 11 (7) | 656 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Adam HerdonssonMidfielder | 12 (7) | 645 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | ×5 |
| Abdul MoroMidfielder | 12 (7) | 637 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
| Ivan MilicevicDefender | 11 (4) | 448 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.89 | – |
| Jimi TauriainenMidfielder | 11 (4) | 375 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
| Kristian KirkegaardMidfielder | 6 (5) | 340 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.56 | |
| Jakob BondeMidfielder | 5 (3) | 304 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.19 | 4.00 |
More on AGF vs Horsens
- AGF stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Horsens stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Superliga (Denmark) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture