Luxembourg vs Estonia – Match preview
Luxembourg-:-
EstoniaStade de LuxembourgRound 5
Predictions
Full Time Result
42%
32%
LuxembourgDraw 26%Estonia
First Half Result
35%
24%
LuxembourgDraw 41%Estonia
Team to Score First
51%
41%
LuxembourgNo goal 8%Estonia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Luxembourg Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Luxembourg Over 1.5 Goals
40%
Estonia Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Luxembourg Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Match Result
Luxembourg
46%1.85
model 2.16-14%
Last 1029%5/17
Draw
27%3.50
model 3.64-4%
Last 1024%4/17
Estonia
26%3.90
model 3.80+3%
Last 1047%8/17
Draw no bet
Luxembourg
64%1.32
model 1.57-16%
Last 1038%5/13
Estonia
36%2.79
model 2.75+1%
Last 1062%8/13
Double chance
Luxembourg or draw
74%1.21
model 1.36-11%
Last 1053%9/17
Luxembourg or Estonia
73%1.25
model 1.38-9%
Last 1076%13/17
Draw or Estonia
54%1.84
model 1.86-1%
Last 1071%12/17
Expected goals 1.3–1.2 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 88%15/17 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 71%12/17 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%6/17 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 18%3/17 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 6%1/17 | – |
Both teams to score
48%Yes 2.00
Last 1029%5/17
Luxembourg clean sheet
28%
model chance
Estonia clean sheet
31%
model chance
Luxembourg goals
O0.5 69%O1.5 32%O2.5 11%
Estonia goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 71%12/17 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 53%9/17 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 29%5/17 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 6%1/17 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 6%1/17 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 0%0/17 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/17 | – |
Luxembourg corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Estonia corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 81%13/16 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%12/16 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 63%10/16 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 38%6/16 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%4/16 | – |
Luxembourg cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 24%
Estonia cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026LuxembourgEstonia
- 40
- League position
- 24
- LLLW
- Last 5
- DWDD
- 0.75
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.50
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- 3.54
- xG for (L5)
- 4.17
- 5.46
- xG against (L5)
- 4.26
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
0
Luxembourg wins
0
Draws
1
Estonia wins
Last 1 meetings
1.0
Goals per game
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Luxembourg in the last 1 meetings
L
Key Players
UEFA Nations League, this seasonLuxembourg
Top scorer
Vincent Thill
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Leandro Barreiro
7.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk CarlsonDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Florian BohnertDefender | 4 (4) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| Tomás MoreiraMidfielder | 4 (4) | 323 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | |
| Anthony MorisGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Vincent ThillMidfielder | 4 (4) | 297 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Aiman DardariAttacker | 4 (3) | 279 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Enes MahmutovicDefender | 3 (3) | 263 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.40 | ×2 |
| Omar NatamiMidfielder | 3 (2) | 194 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Leandro BarreiroMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Vahid SelimovicDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.99 | |
| Jayson VideiraAttacker | 4 (2) | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Enzo DuarteMidfielder | 3 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Mathias OlesenMidfielder | 4 (1) | 131 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | |
| Laurent JansDefender | 2 (2) | 105 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Timothé RupilMidfielder | 4 (0) | 98 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
Estonia
Top scorer
Maksim Paskotsi
1 goals
Most assists
Rasmus Peetson
1 assists
Best rated
Rasmus Peetson
7.44
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksim PaskotsiDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.27 | |
| Markus PoomMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Michael Schjönning-LarsenDefender | 4 (3) | 299 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Patrik KristalMidfielder | 4 (3) | 277 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Rasmus PeetsonDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.44 | |
| Karol MetsDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Märten KuuskDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Kevor PalumetsMidfielder | 4 (3) | 255 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Mattias KäitMidfielder | 4 (3) | 253 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Matvei IgonenGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Karl HeinGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Erko TougjasDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Karel MustmaaAttacker | 4 (2) | 177 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Mattias MännilaanAttacker | 3 (2) | 171 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Robi SaarmaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 164 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.76 | 1.46 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.34 | 3.22 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| Betano.dk | — | 6.90 |
More on Luxembourg vs Estonia
- Luxembourg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Estonia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- UEFA Nations League (Europe) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture