Montenegro vs Latvia – Match preview
-:-
Round 5
Match Preview
Updated 05 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
74%
4%
MontenegroDraw 22%Latvia
Bookmaker implied
69%
11%
MontenegroDraw 20%Latvia
1.6 – 0.2
Expected score
28%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
63%
16%
MontenegroDraw 21%Latvia
First Half Result
54%
10%
MontenegroDraw 36%Latvia
Team to Score First
73%
21%
MontenegroNo goal 6%Latvia
Probability
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Montenegro Over 3.5 Goals
15%
Montenegro Over 1.5 Goals
58%
Latvia Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Montenegro Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Match Result
Montenegro
64%1.32
model 1.57-16%
Last 1056%9/16
Draw
21%4.91
model 4.73+4%
Last 1019%3/16
Latvia
15%8.70
model 6.60disputed
Last 1025%4/16
Draw no bet
Montenegro
81%1.05
model 1.24-15%
Last 1069%9/13
Latvia
19%6.93
model 5.20disputed
Last 1031%4/13
Double chance
Montenegro or draw
85%1.04
model 1.18-12%
Last 1075%12/16
Montenegro or Latvia
79%1.15
model 1.27-9%
Last 1081%13/16
Draw or Latvia
36%3.14
model 2.75disputed
Last 1044%7/16
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 88%14/16 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%12/16 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 69%11/16 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 31%5/16 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 19%3/16 | – |
Both teams to score
50%Yes 2.20
Last 1056%9/16
Montenegro clean sheet
27%
model chance
Latvia clean sheet
22%
model chance
Montenegro goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Latvia goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 63%10/16 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 56%9/16 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 44%7/16 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 31%5/16 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 25%4/16 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 13%2/16 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 13%2/16 | – |
Montenegro corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Latvia corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 69%11/16 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 63%10/16 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 31%5/16 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 13%2/16 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 6%1/16 | – |
Montenegro cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Latvia cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026MontenegroLatvia
- 7
- League position
- 48
- DWWW
- Last 5
- LLDL
- 2.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.25
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 7.19
- xG for (L5)
- 3.28
- 3.05
- xG against (L5)
- 6.87
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Montenegro wins
1
Draws
0
Latvia wins
Last 3 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Montenegro in the last 3 meetings
WDW
Injuries & Suspensions
Montenegro
- Marko PerovicLigament Stretching
Latvia
No reported absences
Key Players
UEFA Nations League, this seasonMontenegro
Top scorer
Nikola Krstović
2 goals
Most assists
Risto Radunovic
2 assists
Best rated
Vasilije Adžić
7.43
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsa PopovicGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Nikola KrstovićAttacker | 4 (4) | 337 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.29 | – |
| Milutin OsmajicAttacker | 4 (4) | 318 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Marko JankovicMidfielder | 4 (4) | 302 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Vasilije AdžićMidfielder | 4 (3) | 273 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.43 | – |
| Stefan SavicDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.33 | – |
| Andrija BulatovicMidfielder | 3 (3) | 259 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Milan RoganovicDefender | 3 (3) | 221 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Ognjen GasevicDefender | 3 (3) | 218 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Stevan JovetićAttacker | 4 (2) | 192 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Marko VesovicDefender | 4 (1) | 184 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Stefan LoncarMidfielder | 4 (2) | 183 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Andrej DjuricDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Igor VujacicDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Slobodan RubezicDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
Latvia
Top scorer
Eduards Daskevics
1 goals
Most assists
Vladislavs Gutkovskis
1 assists
Best rated
Rihards Matrevics
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrejs CiganiksDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Deniss MelniksDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Rihards MatrevicsGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.09 | – |
| Dmitrijs ZelenkovsMidfielder | 4 (4) | 346 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Lukass VapneMidfielder | 4 (4) | 316 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Dennis CirkinDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | – |
| Vladislavs GutkovskisAttacker | 4 (3) | 250 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.67 | |
| Antonijs CernomordijsDefender | 3 (3) | 242 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×2 |
| Raivis JurkovskisDefender | 3 (2) | 210 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Roberts UldrikisAttacker | 4 (2) | 207 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Oskars VientiessDefender | 3 (2) | 202 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Eduards DaskevicsMidfielder | 4 (2) | 179 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Markuss StrodsMidfielder | 4 (2) | 138 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Danila PatijcuksMidfielder | 3 (1) | 125 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | |
| Roberts SavalnieksDefender | 2 (2) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.87 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Dafabet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| MansionBet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.92 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Betano.dk | 12.00 | 1.02 |
More on Montenegro vs Latvia
- Montenegro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Latvia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- UEFA Nations League (Europe) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture