Ninh Bình vs Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh – Match preview
-:-
Round 5
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
71%
10%
Ninh BìnhDraw 19%Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
2.1 – 0.7
Expected score
52%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Ninh Bình
52%–
fair 1.92–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
26%–
fair 3.91–
Last 1030%6/20
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
22%–
fair 4.49–
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Ninh Bình
70%–
fair 1.43–
Last 1071%10/14
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
30%–
fair 3.34–
Last 1029%4/14
Double chance
Ninh Bình or draw
78%–
fair 1.29–
Last 1080%16/20
Ninh Bình or Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
74%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
48%–
fair 2.09–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%
Last 1060%12/20
Ninh Bình clean sheet
30%
model chance
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh clean sheet
20%
model chance
Ninh Bình goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Ninh Bình corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 50%O5.5 33%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Ninh Bình cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Ninh BìnhCông an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
- 1
- League position
- 5
- WDWW
- Last 5
- WDLW
- 2.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.75
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Ninh Bình wins
1
Draws
0
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh wins
Last 2 meetings
4.5
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
23 May 2026
Last meeting
Ninh Bình in the last 2 meetings
DW
Injuries & Suspensions
Ninh Bình
- Geovane MagnoAnkle Injury
- MarcielUnknown Injury
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
No reported absences
Key Players
V-League, this seasonNinh Bình
Top scorer
Lucão
5 goals
Most assists
Quoc Viet Nguyen
1 assists
Best rated
Lucão
6.89
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duc Chien NguyenMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | |
| Fred FridayAttacker | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Van Lam DangGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.12 | – |
| Thai Binh HoangDefender | 4 (4) | 337 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Quoc Viet NguyenMidfielder | 4 (4) | 337 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Lucas TurciDefender | 4 (4) | 289 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | |
| Le Phat NguyenAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| LucãoAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| RomeuMidfielder | 3 (3) | 259 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Tien Anh TruongMidfielder | 3 (3) | 237 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Ngoc My NguyenMidfielder | 2 (2) | 147 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Quang Nho DungDefender | 2 (1) | 123 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Lê Ngọc BảoDefender | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Gia Hung PhamAttacker | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Chung Nguyen DoMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
Top scorer
Tien Linh Nguyen
2 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Michael Olaha
6.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quoc Cuong Nguyen ThaiMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Patrik Le GiangGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | – |
| Michael OlahaAttacker | 4 (4) | 360 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Minh Gia Bao KhongDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | |
| Tien Linh NguyenAttacker | 4 (4) | 332 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Duc Phu NguyenMidfielder | 3 (3) | 257 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | |
| Jason CummingsAttacker | 3 (2) | 208 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Nhat Minh NguyenDefender | 3 (2) | 185 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Dirk AbelsDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Lenn-Minh TranDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Quang Kiet DinhDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Quang Hung LeDefender | 2 (2) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Aldaír FerreiraMidfielder | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Lee WilliamsMidfielder | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| K. NgoMidfielder | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |