Gnistan vs Oulu – Match preview
-:-
Mustapekka AreenaRound 7
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
38%
37%
GnistanDraw 25%Oulu
Bookmaker implied
43%
30%
GnistanDraw 27%Oulu
1.5 – 1.4
Expected score
56%
Over 2.5 goals
59%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Gnistan
39%–
fair 2.55–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.53–
Last 1025%5/20
Oulu
32%–
fair 3.08–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Gnistan
55%–
fair 1.83–
Last 1040%6/15
Oulu
45%–
fair 2.21–
Last 1060%9/15
Double chance
Gnistan or draw
68%–
fair 1.48–
Last 1055%11/20
Gnistan or Oulu
72%–
fair 1.40–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Oulu
61%–
fair 1.65–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%
Last 1045%9/20
Gnistan clean sheet
25%
model chance
Oulu clean sheet
28%
model chance
Gnistan goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Oulu goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Gnistan corners
O2.5 77%O3.5 58%O4.5 38%O5.5 22%O6.5 12%O7.5 5%
Oulu corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 64%O5.5 47%O6.5 32%O7.5 19%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Gnistan cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Oulu cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026GnistanOulu
- 4
- League position
- 5
- LLDDW
- Last 5
- WLWLL
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
Gnistan wins
1
Draws
1
Oulu wins
Last 8 meetings
3.3
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
12 Sept 2026
Last meeting
Gnistan in the last 5 meetings
WWLWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Gnistan
- E. BashkirovKnee Surgery
Oulu
- Onni TiihonenCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
Veikkausliiga, this seasonGnistan
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi
12 goals
Most assists
J. Latonen
6 assists
Best rated
O. Lyberopoulos
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. EuropaeusMidfielder | 28 (27) | 2381 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| P. GnanouDefender | 28 (28) | 2253 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Ayo ObileyeDefender | 27 (26) | 2236 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| E. Arko-MensahDefender | 24 (23) | 1976 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.68 | ×7 |
| A. JouhiMidfielder | 26 (19) | 1738 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Otto HannulaMidfielder | 24 (18) | 1613 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×3 |
| J. LatonenAttacker | 28 (17) | 1574 | 6 | 6 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| S. YlätupaMidfielder | 25 (21) | 1537 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Adeleke AkinyemiAttacker | 21 (19) | 1501 | 12 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| R. EremenkoMidfielder | 23 (17) | 1433 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Marcelo CostaAttacker | 18 (17) | 1346 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Á. CraninxGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| Sergey EremenkoMidfielder | 25 (12) | 1160 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| A. AtarahMidfielder | 22 (6) | 834 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Danny PérezAttacker | 25 (6) | 823 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×4 |
Oulu
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen
11 goals
Most assists
Rasmus Karjalainen
5 assists
Best rated
Julius Körkkö
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juha PirinenDefender | 27 (27) | 2430 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×7 |
| Miguel SantosGoalkeeper | 27 (27) | 2426 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Rasmus KarjalainenMidfielder | 28 (28) | 2391 | 11 | 5 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Tuomas KaukuaMidfielder | 26 (26) | 2303 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×5 |
| Iiro MendolinMidfielder | 27 (24) | 2115 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| E. KallioMidfielder | 25 (20) | 1757 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.66 | |
| Julius PaananenMidfielder | 24 (19) | 1738 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
| Mikko PitkänenDefender | 18 (17) | 1520 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Otto KemppainenDefender | 20 (18) | 1430 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
| Lamine GhezaliMidfielder | 25 (15) | 1395 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Julius KörkköAttacker | 13 (12) | 1075 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.08 | |
| Adramane CassamáDefender | 13 (10) | 952 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Alex LietsaDefender | 14 (9) | 824 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×2 |
| Markus ArsaloMidfielder | 10 (10) | 770 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | ×4 |
| Niklas JokelainenMidfielder | 21 (7) | 718 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |