Gnistan vs VPS – Match preview
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Mustapekka AreenaRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
51%
24%
GnistanDraw 25%VPS
1.6 – 1.0
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
41%
33%
GnistanDraw 26%VPS
First Half Result
31%
28%
GnistanDraw 41%VPS
Team to Score First
46%
47%
GnistanNo goal 7%VPS
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Gnistan Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Gnistan Over 1.5 Goals
41%
VPS Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Gnistan Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Match Result
Gnistan
47%–
model 2.13–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.62–
Last 1030%6/20
VPS
25%–
model 3.94–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Gnistan
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1057%8/14
VPS
35%–
model 2.85–
Last 1043%6/14
Double chance
Gnistan or draw
75%–
model 1.34–
Last 1070%14/20
Gnistan or VPS
72%–
model 1.38–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or VPS
53%–
model 1.89–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1035%7/20
Gnistan clean sheet
30%
model chance
VPS clean sheet
24%
model chance
Gnistan goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%
VPS goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Gnistan corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
VPS corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Gnistan cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
VPS cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026GnistanVPS
- 5
- League position
- 6
- DLLLD
- Last 5
- DLLWL
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 1
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Gnistan wins
4
Draws
2
VPS wins
Last 8 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
12 Oct 2026
Last meeting
Gnistan in the last 5 meetings
LDDDD
Key Players
Veikkausliiga, this seasonGnistan
Top scorer
Adeleke Akinyemi
12 goals
Most assists
J. Latonen
6 assists
Best rated
O. Lyberopoulos
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. EuropaeusMidfielder | 29 (28) | 2471 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Ayo ObileyeDefender | 29 (28) | 2416 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.79 | ×2 |
| P. GnanouDefender | 29 (29) | 2338 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.71 | – |
| E. Arko-MensahDefender | 24 (23) | 1976 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.68 | ×7 |
| A. JouhiMidfielder | 28 (21) | 1918 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.90 | ×4 |
| J. LatonenAttacker | 30 (19) | 1753 | 6 | 6 | – | 7.09 | ×2 |
| Otto HannulaMidfielder | 26 (19) | 1675 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| R. EremenkoMidfielder | 25 (19) | 1609 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.08 | ×3 |
| S. YlätupaMidfielder | 26 (22) | 1597 | 3 | 3 | – | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Adeleke AkinyemiAttacker | 21 (19) | 1501 | 12 | 1 | – | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Marcelo CostaAttacker | 18 (17) | 1346 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Sergey EremenkoMidfielder | 27 (14) | 1340 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Á. CraninxGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| A. AtarahMidfielder | 24 (7) | 946 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Danny PérezAttacker | 27 (7) | 943 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.66 | ×5 |
VPS
Top scorer
Simon Lindholm
7 goals
Most assists
Jayden Turfkruier
5 assists
Best rated
Jayden Turfkruier
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mamadou JallohGoalkeeper | 29 (29) | 2610 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Lassana ManéDefender | 29 (29) | 2588 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.79 | ×5 |
| E. OkerekeDefender | 29 (29) | 2520 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×4 |
| Paulo LimaMidfielder | 29 (28) | 2370 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Jayden TurfkruierMidfielder | 28 (25) | 2265 | 1 | 5 | – | 7.09 | ×5 |
| Miika NiemiDefender | 26 (20) | 1855 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Martti HaukiojaDefender | 23 (21) | 1823 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.69 | |
| Kevin Kouassivi-BenissanMidfielder | 25 (22) | 1818 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.94 | ×3 |
| Simon LindholmMidfielder | 27 (20) | 1771 | 7 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×5 |
| Antti-Ville RäisänenMidfielder | 28 (16) | 1469 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×4 |
| Yassin DaoussiMidfielder | 23 (17) | 1348 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.70 | ×5 |
| Jonathan MuzingaAttacker | 22 (15) | 1197 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Luka SmythAttacker | 14 (13) | 1072 | 7 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Razak SimpsonDefender | 12 (7) | 628 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Xavier OdhiamboAttacker | 14 (5) | 587 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×2 |
More on Gnistan vs VPS
- Gnistan stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- VPS stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Veikkausliiga (Finland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture