HJK vs Oulu – Match preview
HJK-:-
OuluBolt ArenaRound 10
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
54%
25%
HJKDraw 21%Oulu
2.1 – 1.4
Expected score
67%
Over 2.5 goals
65%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
56%
22%
HJKDraw 22%Oulu
First Half Result
43%
20%
HJKDraw 37%Oulu
Team to Score First
63%
32%
HJKNo goal 5%Oulu
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
HJK Over 3.5 Goals
13%
HJK Over 1.5 Goals
57%
Oulu Over 0.5 Goals
60%
HJK Over 0.5 Goals
84%
Match Result
HJK
53%–
model 1.88–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
24%–
model 4.16–
Last 1025%5/20
Oulu
23%–
model 4.39–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
HJK
70%–
model 1.43–
Last 1067%10/15
Oulu
30%–
model 3.34–
Last 1033%5/15
Double chance
HJK or draw
77%–
model 1.29–
Last 1075%15/20
HJK or Oulu
76%–
model 1.32–
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Oulu
47%–
model 2.14–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%
Last 1055%11/20
HJK clean sheet
26%
model chance
Oulu clean sheet
17%
model chance
HJK goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
Oulu goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
HJK corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Oulu corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
HJK cards
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%O3.5 8%
Oulu cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026HJKOulu
- 1
- League position
- 4
- WDWWW
- Last 5
- DWWLW
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 20
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
9
HJK wins
4
Draws
4
Oulu wins
Last 17 meetings
2.5
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
41%
Over 2.5 goals
12 Oct 2026
Last meeting
HJK in the last 5 meetings
WWLWW
Key Players
Veikkausliiga, this seasonHJK
Top scorer
Mads Borchers
19 goals
Most assists
Teemu Pukki
6 assists
Best rated
Mads Borchers
7.40
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leonel MontanoDefender | 28 (27) | 2346 | 2 | 4 | – | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Ville TikkanenDefender | 26 (26) | 2254 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.86 | ×4 |
| Mads BorchersAttacker | 28 (18) | 1771 | 19 | 5 | – | 7.40 | |
| Matej MarkovićGoalkeeper | 20 (20) | 1764 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Pyry MentuMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1746 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Alfie CicaleMidfielder | 27 (19) | 1741 | 4 | 3 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Alexander RingMidfielder | 24 (20) | 1658 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×3 |
| Lucas LingmanMidfielder | 23 (19) | 1638 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.13 | ×2 |
| L. MöllerMidfielder | 27 (20) | 1552 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.82 | |
| Teemu PukkiAttacker | 27 (17) | 1399 | 6 | 6 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Miska YlitolvaDefender | 17 (13) | 1273 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.85 | – |
| M. BogićevićDefender | 16 (14) | 1267 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.85 | ×4 |
| Till CissokhoDefender | 16 (13) | 1132 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Santeri HaaralaAttacker | 15 (13) | 1106 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Jere KallinenMidfielder | 20 (8) | 948 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | – |
Oulu
Top scorer
Rasmus Karjalainen
12 goals
Most assists
Rasmus Karjalainen
7 assists
Best rated
Julius Körkkö
7.08
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juha PirinenDefender | 29 (29) | 2610 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×7 |
| Rasmus KarjalainenMidfielder | 30 (30) | 2552 | 12 | 7 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Tuomas KaukuaMidfielder | 28 (28) | 2483 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×5 |
| Miguel SantosGoalkeeper | 27 (27) | 2426 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Iiro MendolinMidfielder | 29 (26) | 2295 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.78 | ×2 |
| E. KallioMidfielder | 27 (22) | 1924 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.66 | |
| Julius PaananenMidfielder | 24 (19) | 1738 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.77 | ×4 |
| Mikko PitkänenDefender | 19 (18) | 1610 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Otto KemppainenDefender | 22 (20) | 1609 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.55 | ×3 |
| Lamine GhezaliMidfielder | 26 (15) | 1414 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Julius KörkköAttacker | 13 (12) | 1075 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.08 | |
| Adramane CassamáDefender | 13 (10) | 952 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Markus ArsaloMidfielder | 12 (12) | 950 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | ×4 |
| Alex LietsaDefender | 16 (10) | 915 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | ×2 |
| Camilo Jose Triana FragozoAttacker | 12 (8) | 731 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×3 |
More on HJK vs Oulu
- HJK stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Oulu stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Veikkausliiga (Finland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture