VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction – Match preview
VfL Wolfsburg-:-
Holstein KielVolkswagen ArenaRound 12
Our prediction
VfL Wolfsburg to win (68%)
VfL Wolfsburg 68% · Draw 18% · Holstein Kiel 13%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
80%
5%
VfL WolfsburgDraw 15%Holstein Kiel
Bookmaker implied
57%
21%
VfL WolfsburgDraw 22%Holstein Kiel
2.2 – 0.4
Expected score
49%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
59%
20%
VfL WolfsburgDraw 21%Holstein Kiel
First Half Result
45%
20%
VfL WolfsburgDraw 35%Holstein Kiel
Team to Score First
62%
34%
VfL WolfsburgNo goal 4%Holstein Kiel
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
VfL Wolfsburg Over 3.5 Goals
16%
VfL Wolfsburg Over 1.5 Goals
60%
Holstein Kiel Over 0.5 Goals
57%
VfL Wolfsburg Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026VfL WolfsburgHolstein Kiel
- 5
- League position
- 18
- LWDWD
- Last 5
- LLWDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 4.16
- xG for (L5)
- 3.91
- 3.79
- xG against (L5)
- 4.18
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
VfL Wolfsburg wins
1
Draws
2
Holstein Kiel wins
Last 4 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
VfL Wolfsburg in the last 4 meetings
LDWL
Key Players
2. Bundesliga, this seasonVfL Wolfsburg
Top scorer
Fabian Reese
5 goals
Most assists
Fabian Reese
7 assists
Best rated
Fabian Reese
7.88
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hauke WahlDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 2 | 0 | 0.58 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Fabian ReeseMidfielder | 11 (11) | 953 | 5 | 7 | 0.96 | 7.88 | |
| Joakim MaehleDefender | 10 (10) | 899 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 6.90 | |
| Vinicius de Souza CostaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 892 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Muhammed DamarMidfielder | 11 (10) | 829 | 4 | 1 | 0.41 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Alexander BernhardssonAttacker | 9 (9) | 727 | 4 | 2 | 0.16 | 7.51 | – |
| Robert GlatzelAttacker | 10 (8) | 647 | 5 | 1 | 0.86 | 7.29 | – |
| Jakub ZielinskiGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Saël KumbediDefender | 7 (7) | 623 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Kilian FischerDefender | 7 (5) | 458 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| CleitonDefender | 6 (6) | 447 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Mathys AngélyDefender | 5 (4) | 423 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Elvis RexhbecajMidfielder | 8 (4) | 421 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Yannick GerhardtMidfielder | 10 (5) | 397 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Timon WellenreutherGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.62 |
Holstein Kiel
Top scorer
Phil Harres
6 goals
Most assists
Phil Harres
3 assists
Best rated
Phil Harres
7.20
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon WeinerGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | |
| Hiroki SekineDefender | 11 (11) | 989 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Phil HarresAttacker | 11 (11) | 988 | 6 | 3 | 1.23 | 7.20 | – |
| Jonas MeffertMidfielder | 11 (11) | 965 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.86 | ×3 |
| A. KaprálikMidfielder | 11 (10) | 884 | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Guillermo BalziMidfielder | 10 (9) | 732 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Leon ParduziDefender | 10 (8) | 664 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.94 | ×4 |
| David ZecDefender | 8 (7) | 654 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×4 |
| Ivan NekicDefender | 8 (7) | 653 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.66 | ×3 |
| Kasper DavidsenMidfielder | 8 (8) | 593 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.60 | ×4 |
| Noah MadsenDefender | 7 (6) | 575 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 7.11 | |
| Jonas TherkelsenMidfielder | 10 (7) | 510 | 2 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Gyan de RegtAttacker | 9 (3) | 393 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.78 | – |
| John TolkinDefender | 5 (3) | 283 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| I. UgohMidfielder | 6 (2) | 238 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.95 | 1.78 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.41 | 1.45 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.81 | 2.05 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.81 | 2.07 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.40 | 2.87 |
| Betano.dk | 14.50 | 1.02 |
More on VfL Wolfsburg vs Holstein Kiel
- VfL Wolfsburg stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Holstein Kiel stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- 2. Bundesliga (Germany) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture