Premier League
England
Premier League predictions this week
No Premier League match this week has a prediction that can be checked against a price yet. Every league is on the mathematical predictions board.
- Result called right
- 43.5%
- Home-win baseline
- 50%
- Settled matches
- 46
- Over/under 2.5 right
- 50%
Record: matches in this league from the last 180 days whose prediction was written before kick-off, settled on the 90-minute score. A hit rate is not a profit; see how the model is judged on its track record.
Frequently Asked Questions
How are these Premier League predictions made?
A goals model gives each side an expected number of goals from its recent attack and defence, then works out the chance of every result. Each Premier League match shows the model's single most likely call across the result, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score, beside the bookmaker's price.
Why are some Premier League matches missing?
Only matches whose prediction can be checked against a bookmaker price, and sits within 15 points of it, are listed. A bigger gap usually means the model is missing team news, so the match is left out rather than shown with a number nobody should trust.
How accurate are the Premier League predictions?
Over the last 180 days the model's most likely result was right in 43.5% of 46 Premier League matches. Always backing the home side would have been right 50% of the time, which is the number to judge it against.