Auckland vs Melbourne Victory Prediction – Match preview
Auckland-:-
Melbourne VictoryEden ParkRound 5
Our prediction
Auckland to win (49%)
Auckland 49% · Draw 25% · Melbourne Victory 26%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
61%
15%
AucklandDraw 24%Melbourne Victory
Bookmaker implied
37%
36%
AucklandDraw 27%Melbourne Victory
1.7 – 0.7
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
43%
32%
AucklandDraw 25%Melbourne Victory
First Half Result
29%
30%
AucklandDraw 41%Melbourne Victory
Team to Score First
45%
49%
AucklandNo goal 6%Melbourne Victory
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Auckland Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Auckland Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Melbourne Victory Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Auckland Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026AucklandMelbourne Victory
- 8
- League position
- 9
- DDLW
- Last 5
- DDDL
- 1.25
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.75
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 2.65
- xG for (L5)
- 2.13
- 3.67
- xG against (L5)
- 4.90
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
2
Auckland wins
3
Draws
1
Melbourne Victory wins
Last 6 meetings
1.5
Goals per game
17%
Both teams scored
17%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Auckland in the last 5 meetings
DDLWW
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonAuckland
Top scorer
Lachlan Bayliss
2 goals
Most assists
Francis de Vries
2 assists
Best rated
Lachlan Bayliss
7.26
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nando PijnakerDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 7.01 | – |
| Michael WoudGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Francis de VriesDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.00 | |
| Felipe GallegosMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.46 | – |
| Logan RogersonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 356 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.44 | |
| Hiroki SakaiDefender | 4 (4) | 352 | 1 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.17 | – |
| Lachlan BaylissMidfielder | 4 (4) | 329 | 2 | 0 | 0.49 | 7.26 | – |
| Sam CosgroveAttacker | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.61 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Lachlan BrookMidfielder | 4 (3) | 261 | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.86 | |
| Jake BrimmerMidfielder | 3 (3) | 248 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.61 | – |
| Ronan WynneDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.98 | – |
| Luka VicelichDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.51 | – |
| Callan ElliotDefender | 4 (1) | 106 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.38 | – |
| Jonty BidoisAttacker | 2 (1) | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.72 | – |
| Isa PrinsMidfielder | 3 (0) | 22 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | – |
Melbourne Victory
Top scorer
Jordi Valadon
2 goals
Most assists
Charles Nduka
2 assists
Best rated
Jordi Valadon
7.09
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason DavidsonDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.53 | |
| Jordi ValadonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 7.09 | – |
| Jack DuncanGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Charles NdukaAttacker | 4 (4) | 351 | 1 | 2 | 0.42 | 7.02 | |
| Philipp ZiereisDefender | 4 (3) | 314 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |
| F. LinoDefender | 4 (3) | 289 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.51 | – |
| Guillermo MayMidfielder | 3 (3) | 246 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.85 | – |
| ClarismarioMidfielder | 4 (3) | 244 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.80 | |
| Denis GenreauMidfielder | 4 (2) | 242 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Matthew GrimaldiMidfielder | 4 (3) | 222 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.70 | – |
| Keegan JelacicMidfielder | 4 (3) | 199 | 2 | 0 | 0.74 | 6.96 | – |
| Joshua InserraDefender | 2 (2) | 161 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Louis D'ArrigoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 139 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Tom LockyerDefender | 2 (1) | 118 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.46 | – |
| Harrison ShillingtonDefender | 2 (2) | 103 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.61 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.83 | 1.90 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.94 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.94 | 1.96 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.27 | 9.75 |
More on Auckland vs Melbourne Victory
- Auckland stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Melbourne Victory stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- A-League Men (Australia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture