Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur Prediction – Match preview
Wellington Phoenix-:-
MacarthurSky StadiumRound 5
Our prediction
Wellington Phoenix to win (52%)
Wellington Phoenix 52% · Draw 33% · Macarthur 16% · Over 2.5 goals: 22% · Both teams to score: 26%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
52%
15%
Wellington PhoenixDraw 33%Macarthur
Bookmaker implied
47%
27%
Wellington PhoenixDraw 26%Macarthur
1.1 – 0.5
Expected score
22%
Over 2.5 goals
26%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
39%
36%
Wellington PhoenixDraw 25%Macarthur
First Half Result
27%
33%
Wellington PhoenixDraw 40%Macarthur
Team to Score First
46%
48%
Wellington PhoenixNo goal 6%Macarthur
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Wellington Phoenix Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Wellington Phoenix Over 1.5 Goals
40%
Macarthur Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Wellington Phoenix Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Wellington PhoenixMacarthur
- 1
- League position
- 7
- DWWW
- Last 5
- LDDW
- 2.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.25
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 1
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 3.60
- xG for (L5)
- 2.68
- 3.63
- xG against (L5)
- 4.78
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
Wellington Phoenix wins
2
Draws
4
Macarthur wins
Last 12 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Wellington Phoenix in the last 5 meetings
LLWLW
Key Players
A-League Men, this seasonWellington Phoenix
Top scorer
Corban Piper
3 goals
Most assists
Kazuki Nagasawa
4 assists
Best rated
Kazuki Nagasawa
7.43
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bill TuilomaDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.09 | – |
| Lukas Kelly-HealdDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.03 | – |
| Henry GrayGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Matt SheridanDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Max AndersonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.86 | – |
| Kazuki NagasawaMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 4 | 0.22 | 7.43 | – |
| Corban PiperAttacker | 4 (4) | 349 | 3 | 0 | 0.96 | 7.09 | |
| Bryce DukeMidfielder | 4 (4) | 349 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 7.08 | – |
| James McGarryDefender | 4 (4) | 332 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.92 | – |
| Alex RuferMidfielder | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Rafael DuranAttacker | 4 (4) | 229 | 1 | 0 | 0.82 | 6.70 | – |
| Nathan WalkerAttacker | 3 (0) | 100 | 1 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.98 | – |
| Riley BidoisAttacker | 4 (0) | 55 | 2 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.87 | – |
| Walter ScottDefender | 1 (0) | 28 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
Macarthur
Top scorer
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
1 goals
Most assists
Ryan Fraser
2 assists
Best rated
Ryan Fraser
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan PaullDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.62 | |
| Liam RoseMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.04 | |
| T. NaraDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| Callum TalbotDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.71 | – |
| Alex RobinsonGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Apostolos StamatelopoulosAttacker | 4 (4) | 306 | 1 | 0 | 0.87 | 6.92 | |
| Jonathan AspropotamitisDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
| Connor PainMidfielder | 4 (4) | 251 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 6.52 | – |
| Luke VickeryMidfielder | 4 (3) | 206 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Dean BosnjakMidfielder | 4 (3) | 190 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.48 | |
| Ben GibsonAttacker | 4 (1) | 170 | 0 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.58 | |
| Musa TouréAttacker | 4 (1) | 167 | 1 | 1 | 0.81 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Ryan FraserAttacker | 4 (0) | 142 | 1 | 2 | 0.19 | 7.28 | – |
| Oliver RandazzoMidfielder | 2 (2) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| BernardoMidfielder | 2 (1) | 91 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.36 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.41 | 2.74 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.44 | 2.79 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.84 | 2.02 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.92 | 1.98 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 14.00 | 1.02 |
More on Wellington Phoenix vs Macarthur
- Wellington Phoenix stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Macarthur stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- A-League Men (Australia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture