Eritrea vs Guinea Prediction – Match preview
Eritrea-:-
GuineaRound 4
Our prediction
Guinea to win (64%)
Eritrea 17% · Draw 19% · Guinea 64%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
26%
53%
EritreaDraw 21%Guinea
Bookmaker implied
7%
76%
EritreaDraw 17%Guinea
1.5 – 2.1
Expected score
70%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
21%
58%
EritreaDraw 21%Guinea
First Half Result
11%
47%
EritreaDraw 42%Guinea
Team to Score First
20%
72%
EritreaNo goal 8%Guinea
Probability
Both Teams to Score
43%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
Eritrea Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Eritrea Over 1.5 Goals
21%
Guinea Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Eritrea Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Match Result
Eritrea
38%–
model 2.64–
Last 1038%3/8
Draw
27%–
model 3.67–
Last 1025%2/8
Guinea
35%–
model 2.86–
Last 1038%3/8
Draw no bet
Eritrea
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1050%3/6
Guinea
48%–
model 2.08–
Last 1050%3/6
Double chance
Eritrea or draw
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1063%5/8
Eritrea or Guinea
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1075%6/8
Draw or Guinea
62%–
model 1.61–
Last 1063%5/8
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%8/8 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 88%7/8 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 63%5/8 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%2/8 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1063%5/8
Eritrea clean sheet
22%
model chance
Guinea clean sheet
26%
model chance
Eritrea goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Guinea goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%6/8 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 63%5/8 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 38%3/8 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 25%2/8 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 13%1/8 | – |
Eritrea corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Guinea corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 57%4/7 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 29%2/7 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/7 | – |
Eritrea cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Guinea cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026EritreaGuinea
- 2
- League position
- 25
- LDWW
- Last 5
- WL
- 1.75
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.50
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 2
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Injuries & Suspensions
Eritrea
No reported absences
Guinea
- Abdoul Karim TraoréMinor Knock
- Serhou GuirassyHamstring Strain
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonEritrea
Top scorer
Nahom Girmai Netabay
1 goals
Most assists
Ali Sulieman
1 assists
Best rated
Nahom Girmai Netabay
6.91
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali SuliemanAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Nahom Girmai NetabayMidfielder | 2 (2) | 167 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Tesfaldet TekieMidfielder | 2 (2) | 157 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
| Jonas IdrisDefender | 2 (2) | 148 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | – |
| Filimon GerezgiherMidfielder | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| N. EmbayeDefender | 2 (2) | 135 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Hennos AsmelashDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.83 | – |
| Victor ForsDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Ablelom TeklezgiMidfielder | 1 (1) | 76 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Maill LundgrenAttacker | 2 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
Guinea
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Seydouba Cissé
7.15
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sekou SyllaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Serhou GuirassyAttacker | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.01 | |
| Ibrahima FofanaDefender | 2 (2) | 153 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Abdoul Karim TraoréAttacker | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Aliou BaldéAttacker | 2 (2) | 150 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Seydouba CisséMidfielder | 2 (2) | 145 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| A. KeitaDefender | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Mohamed SoumahDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Saïdou SowDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | – |
| Soumaïla SyllaGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Mohamed CamaraGoalkeeper | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Yadaly DiabyMidfielder | 1 (1) | 83 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.15 | – |
| Ilaix MoribaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 63 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Lass KouroumaMidfielder | 1 (1) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Aguibou CamaraMidfielder | 2 (0) | 45 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.87 | 1.79 |
More on Eritrea vs Guinea
- Eritrea stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Guinea stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture