Kenya vs South Africa Prediction & Stats (17 Nov)

Data provider's forecast

Full Time Result

26%

48%

KenyaDraw 26%South Africa

First Half Result

23%

35%

KenyaDraw 42%South Africa

Team to Score First

41%

50%

KenyaNo goal 9%South Africa

Probability

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 1.5 Goals

72%

Over 2.5 Goals

48%

Over 3.5 Goals

26%

Kenya Over 3.5 Goals

2%

Kenya Over 1.5 Goals

26%

South Africa Over 0.5 Goals

76%

Kenya Over 0.5 Goals

59%

Match Result

Kenya

31%–

model 3.18–

Last 1036%5/14

Draw

29%–

model 3.40–

Last 1014%2/14

South Africa

39%–

model 2.56–

Last 1050%7/14

Draw no bet

Kenya

45%–

model 2.24–

Last 1042%5/12

South Africa

55%–

model 1.81–

Last 1058%7/12

Double chance

Kenya or draw

61%–

model 1.64–

Last 1050%7/14

Kenya or South Africa

71%–

model 1.42–

Last 1086%12/14

Draw or South Africa

69%–

model 1.46–

Last 1064%9/14

Expected goals 1.2–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	92%	8%	–	100%14/14	–
Over/under 1.5	72%	28%	–	64%9/14	–
Over/under 2.5main	46%	54%	–	43%6/14	–
Over/under 3.5	25%	75%	–	14%2/14	–
Over/under 4.5	11%	89%	–	14%2/14	–

Both teams to score

50%

Last 1043%6/14

Kenya clean sheet

23%

model chance

South Africa clean sheet

34%

model chance

Kenya goals

O0.5 66%O1.5 29%O2.5 9%

South Africa goals

O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%

Corners

Expected 8.8 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	65%	35%	–	57%8/14	–
Over/under 8.5main	51%	49%	–	50%7/14	–
Over/under 9.5	38%	62%	–	36%5/14	–
Over/under 10.5	27%	73%	–	14%2/14	–
Over/under 11.5	17%	83%	–	7%1/14	–
Over/under 12.5	11%	89%	–	7%1/14	–
Over/under 13.5	6%	94%	–	7%1/14	–

Kenya corners

O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%

South Africa corners

O2.5 80%O3.5 61%O4.5 42%O5.5 26%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%

Cards

Expected 3.2 match cards · Referee Dahane Beida (2.4 cards a match, ×0.86)Card screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	61%	39%	–	57%8/14	–
Over/under 3.5main	39%	61%	–	36%5/14	–
Over/under 4.5	21%	79%	–	14%2/14	–
Over/under 5.5	10%	90%	–	14%2/14	–
Over/under 6.5	4%	96%	–	7%1/14	–

Kenya cards

O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%O3.5 8%

South Africa cards

O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%O3.5 8%

Form Guide

Updated 08 Nov 2026

KenyaSouth Africa

43
League position: 3; LD
Last 5: WW; 0.50
Points per game (L5): 3.00; 1
Goals scored (L5): 7; 2
Goals conceded (L5): 1; —
xG for (L5): —; —
xG against (L5): —; 0
Clean sheets (L5): 1

Injuries & Suspensions

Kenya

Richard OdadaBroken Fibula

South Africa

Thapelo MasekoHamstring Injury

Key Players

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this season

Kenya

Top scorer

Ryan Ogam

1 goals

Most assists

B. Omondi

1 assists

Best rated

Ryan Ogam

7.28

Kenya squad statistics in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Bryne OdhiamboGoalkeeper	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.86	–
Frank Onyango OdhiamboDefender	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.45	–
D. AbuyaMidfielder	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.94	–
R. OnyangoDefender	2 (2)	169	0	0	–	6.65
Manzur OkwaroMidfielder	2 (2)	160	0	0	–	6.29
Ryan OgamAttacker	2 (1)	134	1	0	–	7.28	–
Micah ObieroMidfielder	2 (2)	125	0	0	–	6.79	–
Job OchiengMidfielder	2 (2)	110	0	0	–	6.42	–
Timothy OumaMidfielder	2 (1)	109	0	0	–	6.42	–
B. OmondiMidfielder	2 (1)	100	0	1	–	6.89	–
Michael KibwageDefender	1 (1)	90	0	0	–	6.81	–
Haniff WesongaDefender	1 (1)	90	0	0	–	6.58	–
Aboud OmarDefender	1 (1)	90	0	0	–	7.17	–
Chrispine EramboMidfielder	1 (1)	87	0	0	–	6.09	–
M. BajaberMidfielder	2 (1)	80	0	0	–	6.55

South Africa

Top scorer

Relebohile Mofokeng

2 goals

Most assists

Oswin Appollis

3 assists

Best rated

Relebohile Mofokeng

8.29

South Africa squad statistics in the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
K. SebelebeleDefender	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.73	–
Ronwen WilliamsGoalkeeper	2 (2)	180	0	0	–	6.87	–
Ime OkonDefender	2 (2)	180	1	0	–	7.35
Oswin AppollisMidfielder	2 (2)	172	0	3	–	7.92	–
Relebohile MofokengMidfielder	2 (2)	172	2	0	–	8.29	–
Yaya SitholeMidfielder	2 (2)	169	1	1	–	7.39	–
Olwethu MakhanyaDefender	2 (2)	164	0	0	–	6.51
Thapelo MasekoMidfielder	2 (2)	156	0	0	–	6.51
Iqraam RaynersAttacker	2 (2)	142	1	0	–	7.15	–
Samukelo KabiniDefender	2 (1)	123	1	1	–	7.02	–
Teboho MokoenaMidfielder	1 (1)	90	0	0	–	6.97	–
B. PoggenpoelMidfielder	1 (0)	78	0	0	–	7.06	–
Aubrey ModibaDefender	1 (1)	57	0	0	–	6.86	–
Luther SinghAttacker	2 (0)	24	1	0	–	7.12	–
Y. MbuthumaAttacker	1 (0)	22	0	1	–	7.14	–

Referee

Dahane Beida

Referee · Mauritania

Cards per game: 2.40
Yellow cards per game: 2.40
Red cards per game: 0.00
Fouls per game: 29.0
Penalties per game: 0.20
Home wins: 80%

Averages across 5 completed matches officiated by Dahane Beida in our database. Full referee profile and card-line form

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	Home	Away
Dafabet	2.00	1.76
Marathonbet	1.47	2.51
MelBet	1.26	3.20

Kenya vs South Africa Prediction – Match preview

Data provider's forecast

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Kenya goals

South Africa goals

Corners

Kenya corners

South Africa corners

Cards

Kenya cards

South Africa cards

Form Guide

Injuries & Suspensions

Kenya

South Africa

Key Players

Kenya

South Africa

Referee

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

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