Rwanda vs Mali Prediction – Match preview
Rwanda-:-
MaliStade AmahoroRound 4
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
32%
RwandaDraw 31%Mali
First Half Result
33%
20%
RwandaDraw 47%Mali
Team to Score First
51%
36%
RwandaNo goal 13%Mali
Probability
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
17%
Rwanda Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Rwanda Over 1.5 Goals
30%
Mali Over 0.5 Goals
61%
Rwanda Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Match Result
Rwanda
36%–
model 2.80–
Last 1023%3/13
Draw
29%–
model 3.47–
Last 1031%4/13
Mali
35%–
model 2.82–
Last 1046%6/13
Draw no bet
Rwanda
50%–
model 1.99–
Last 1033%3/9
Mali
50%–
model 2.01–
Last 1067%6/9
Double chance
Rwanda or draw
65%–
model 1.55–
Last 1054%7/13
Rwanda or Mali
71%–
model 1.41–
Last 1069%9/13
Draw or Mali
64%–
model 1.56–
Last 1077%10/13
Expected goals 1.3–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 92%12/13 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 69%9/13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 38%5/13 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 23%3/13 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 8%1/13 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1054%7/13
Rwanda clean sheet
24%
model chance
Mali clean sheet
30%
model chance
Rwanda goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 33%O2.5 12%
Mali goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 50%6/12 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 50%6/12 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 42%5/12 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 42%5/12 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 17%2/12 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 8%1/12 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 8%1/12 | – |
Rwanda corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Mali corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 50%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.2 match cards · Referee Lahlou Benbraham (2.0 cards a match, ×0.92)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%11/13 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 62%8/13 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 54%7/13 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 31%4/13 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 31%4/13 | – |
Rwanda cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 17%
Mali cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026RwandaMali
- 8
- League position
- 9
- WW
- Last 5
- WW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonRwanda
Top scorer
Joy-Lance Mickels
1 goals
Most assists
Joy-Lance Mickels
1 assists
Best rated
Leroy Mickels
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiacre NtwariGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Djihad BizimanaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Joy-Lance MickelsMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | |
| Ange MutsinziDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | |
| Gilbert ByiringiroDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Phanuel KavitaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Claude NiyomugaboDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Bonheur MugishaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Leroy MickelsMidfielder | 2 (2) | 138 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.30 | – |
| Abeddy BiramahireAttacker | 2 (2) | 115 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Jojea KwizeraAttacker | 2 (1) | 101 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Gilbert MugishaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 79 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.25 | – |
| Innocent NshutiAttacker | 2 (0) | 22 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 | |
| Noam EmeranAttacker | 1 (0) | 21 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Kevin MuhireMidfielder | 2 (0) | 11 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
Mali
Top scorer
Martial Tia
2 goals
Most assists
Kamory Doumbia
2 assists
Best rated
Dorgeles Nene
7.83
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djigui DiarraGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Nathan GassamaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.14 | – |
| Mamadou SangaréMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.19 | – |
| Ousmane CamaraDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Lassine SinayokoAttacker | 2 (2) | 174 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Martial TiaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 172 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Dorgeles NeneMidfielder | 2 (2) | 154 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.83 | – |
| Kamory DoumbiaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 153 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Hamari TraoréDefender | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Aliou DiengMidfielder | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Daouda GuindoDefender | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Adama CamaraMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Amadou HaidaraMidfielder | 1 (1) | 61 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Lassana CoulibalyMidfielder | 2 (0) | 27 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Gaoussou DiarraAttacker | 2 (0) | 26 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
Referee
Lahlou Benbraham
Referee · Algeria
- Cards per game
- 2.00
- Yellow cards per game
- 2.00
- Red cards per game
- 0.00
- Fouls per game
- 32.0
- Penalties per game
- 0.00
- Home wins
- 100%
Averages across 2 completed matches officiated by Lahlou Benbraham in our database. Full referee profile and card-line form
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.37 | 2.74 |
More on Rwanda vs Mali
- Rwanda stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Mali stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture