Sierra Leone vs Congo DR Prediction – Match preview
Sierra Leone-:-
Congo DRStade Ben Ahmed El AbdiRound 4
Our prediction
Congo DR to win (73%)
Sierra Leone 6% · Draw 13% · Congo DR 73%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
5%
88%
Sierra LeoneDraw 7%Congo DR
Bookmaker implied
8%
71%
Sierra LeoneDraw 21%Congo DR
1.5 – 5.1
Expected score
96%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
23%
51%
Sierra LeoneDraw 26%Congo DR
Probability
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Sierra Leone Over 3.5 Goals
1%
Sierra Leone Over 1.5 Goals
22%
Congo DR Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Sierra Leone Over 0.5 Goals
56%
Match Result
Sierra Leone
33%–
model 3.03–
Last 1029%4/14
Draw
29%–
model 3.40–
Last 1014%2/14
Congo DR
38%–
model 2.66–
Last 1057%8/14
Draw no bet
Sierra Leone
47%–
model 2.14–
Last 1033%4/12
Congo DR
53%–
model 1.88–
Last 1067%8/12
Double chance
Sierra Leone or draw
62%–
model 1.60–
Last 1043%6/14
Sierra Leone or Congo DR
71%–
model 1.42–
Last 1086%12/14
Draw or Congo DR
67%–
model 1.49–
Last 1071%10/14
Expected goals 1.2–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%14/14 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 64%9/14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 43%6/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1050%7/14
Sierra Leone clean sheet
24%
model chance
Congo DR clean sheet
33%
model chance
Sierra Leone goals
O0.5 67%O1.5 30%O2.5 10%
Congo DR goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Corners
Expected 8.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 43%6/14 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 21%3/14 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 14%2/14 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 5% | 95% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
Sierra Leone corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Congo DR corners
O2.5 75%O3.5 55%O4.5 35%O5.5 20%O6.5 10%O7.5 5%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 57%8/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 21%3/14 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 7%1/14 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/14 | – |
Sierra Leone cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Congo DR cards
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026Sierra LeoneCongo DR
- 47
- League position
- 9
- LL
- Last 5
- WW
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 3.00
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Sierra Leone wins
0
Draws
1
Congo DR wins
Last 1 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
0%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Sierra Leone in the last 1 meetings
L
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonSierra Leone
Top scorer
Sallieu Tarawallie
1 goals
Most assists
Sallieu Tarawallie
1 assists
Best rated
Sallieu Tarawallie
7.06
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osman KakayDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.13 | – |
| Mamadou JallohGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
| Idris KanuMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Sallieu TarawallieDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.06 | – |
| A. AlphaDefender | 2 (2) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | – |
| A. ContehAttacker | 2 (2) | 164 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.00 | – |
| Tyrese FornahMidfielder | 2 (2) | 158 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| M. KamaraMidfielder | 2 (2) | 151 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Juma BahDefender | 2 (2) | 146 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Alhassan KoromaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 136 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Saidu Bah KamaraMidfielder | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Saidu FofanahMidfielder | 1 (1) | 57 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Kallum CesayMidfielder | 1 (0) | 44 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.21 | – |
| MJ KamaraDefender | 2 (0) | 42 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.18 | – |
| Azeem AbdullahMidfielder | 1 (0) | 33 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.14 | – |
Congo DR
Top scorer
Yoane Wissa
2 goals
Most assists
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
1 assists
Best rated
Yoane Wissa
7.67
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthieu EpoloGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Axel TuanzebeDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Aaron Wan-BissakaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | |
| Samuel MoutoussamyMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.52 | |
| Chancel MbembaDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.26 | – |
| Nathanaël MbukuMidfielder | 2 (2) | 174 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Yoane WissaAttacker | 2 (2) | 173 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.67 | – |
| Noah SadikiAttacker | 2 (2) | 165 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.20 | – |
| Edo KayembeMidfielder | 2 (1) | 93 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| Joris KayembeDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Arthur MasuakuDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.28 | – |
| Ngal'ayel MukauMidfielder | 2 (1) | 87 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Brian CipengaAttacker | 2 (0) | 75 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Théo BongondaMidfielder | 2 (1) | 64 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Junior KadileAttacker | 2 (1) | 47 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.61 | 2.11 |
More on Sierra Leone vs Congo DR
- Sierra Leone stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Congo DR stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture