Sudan vs Senegal Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Juba StadiumRound 4
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
14%
64%
SudanDraw 22%Senegal
Probability
Both Teams to Score
41%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Sudan Over 3.5 Goals
1%
Sudan Over 1.5 Goals
14%
Senegal Over 0.5 Goals
83%
Sudan Over 0.5 Goals
43%
Match Result
Sudan
26%–
model 3.78–
Last 1028%5/18
Draw
27%–
model 3.64–
Last 1011%2/18
Senegal
46%–
model 2.17–
Last 1061%11/18
Draw no bet
Sudan
36%–
model 2.75–
Last 1031%5/16
Senegal
64%–
model 1.57–
Last 1069%11/16
Double chance
Sudan or draw
54%–
model 1.86–
Last 1039%7/18
Sudan or Senegal
73%–
model 1.38–
Last 1089%16/18
Draw or Senegal
74%–
model 1.36–
Last 1072%13/18
Expected goals 1.1–1.6 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 94%17/18 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 56%10/18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 44%8/18 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 39%7/18 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 22%4/18 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1039%7/18
Sudan clean sheet
18%
model chance
Senegal clean sheet
35%
model chance
Sudan goals
O0.5 65%O1.5 28%O2.5 9%
Senegal goals
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%
Corners
Expected 9.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 71%12/17 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 71%12/17 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 53%9/17 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 41%7/17 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 24%4/17 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 12%2/17 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 12%2/17 | – |
Sudan corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 60%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Senegal corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cards · Referee Hillary Hambaba (3.5 cards a match, ×0.96)Card screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 78%14/18 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 72%13/18 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 44%8/18 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 22%4/18 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 11%2/18 | – |
Sudan cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Senegal cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026SudanSenegal
- 33
- League position
- 18
- LW
- Last 5
- WD
- 1.50
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 2
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 1
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Sudan wins
1
Draws
2
Senegal wins
Last 3 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Sudan in the last 3 meetings
LLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Sudan
No reported absences
Senegal
- Abdallah SimaDead Leg
- Rassoul NdiayeDead Leg
Key Players
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications, this seasonSudan
Top scorer
Mo Eisa
1 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
Sheddy Barglan
6.67
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mustafa KarshomDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.26 | – |
| Sheddy BarglanDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Mohamed MustafaGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | – |
| Abdelrazig OmerMidfielder | 2 (2) | 167 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Musa Ali HusseinAttacker | 2 (2) | 163 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Walieldin KhidirMidfielder | 2 (2) | 163 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.15 | – |
| Ammar TaifourMidfielder | 2 (2) | 159 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Mo EisaAttacker | 2 (2) | 154 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Aamir AbdallahMidfielder | 2 (2) | 133 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Ahmed TabanjaDefender | 2 (1) | 119 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.05 | |
| Abdelrahman KukuDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Mohamed Kasri HakeemDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | – |
| Bakhit KhamisDefender | 1 (1) | 61 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Yasir MozamilAttacker | 2 (0) | 47 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Salaheldin AdilMidfielder | 2 (0) | 38 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
Senegal
Top scorer
Nicolas Jackson
1 goals
Most assists
Nicolas Jackson
1 assists
Best rated
Ibrahim Mbaye
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yehvann DioufGoalkeeper | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Sadibou SanéDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Lamine CamaraMidfielder | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| El Hadji Malick DioufDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Moussa NiakhatéDefender | 2 (2) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Nicolas JacksonAttacker | 2 (2) | 173 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.17 | – |
| Abdallah SimaMidfielder | 2 (2) | 155 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Pape GueyeMidfielder | 2 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Assane DiaoAttacker | 2 (2) | 139 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Ibrahim MbayeMidfielder | 2 (1) | 117 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.64 | – |
| Lamine SyDefender | 2 (1) | 91 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | |
| Malang SarrDefender | 1 (1) | 90 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | |
| Pape Matar SarrMidfielder | 1 (1) | 63 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Idrissa GueyeMidfielder | 2 (0) | 41 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | |
| Issa SoumaréAttacker | 1 (0) | 25 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
Referee
Hillary Hambaba
Referee · Zambia
- Cards per game
- 3.50
- Yellow cards per game
- 3.25
- Red cards per game
- 0.25
- Fouls per game
- 26.3
- Penalties per game
- 0.75
- Home wins
- 50%
Averages across 4 completed matches officiated by Hillary Hambaba in our database. Full referee profile and card-line form
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.86 | 1.87 |
| Marathonbet | 1.96 | 1.76 |
| MelBet | 1.96 | 1.76 |
More on Sudan vs Senegal
- Sudan stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Senegal stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture