Middlesbrough vs Bristol City Prediction – Match preview
Middlesbrough-:-
Bristol CityRiverside StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Middlesbrough to win (60%)
Middlesbrough 60% · Draw 20% · Bristol City 21%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
51%
29%
MiddlesbroughDraw 20%Bristol City
Bookmaker implied
68%
13%
MiddlesbroughDraw 19%Bristol City
2.3 – 1.7
Expected score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
53%
22%
MiddlesbroughDraw 25%Bristol City
First Half Result
44%
18%
MiddlesbroughDraw 38%Bristol City
Team to Score First
64%
29%
MiddlesbroughNo goal 7%Bristol City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Middlesbrough Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Middlesbrough Over 1.5 Goals
49%
Bristol City Over 0.5 Goals
57%
Middlesbrough Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026MiddlesbroughBristol City
- 2
- League position
- 17
- DLWWD
- Last 5
- LLWDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 7.98
- xG for (L5)
- 5.77
- 2.97
- xG against (L5)
- 7.69
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Middlesbrough wins
4
Draws
13
Bristol City wins
Last 21 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
52%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Middlesbrough in the last 5 meetings
DLLLL
Key Players
Championship, this seasonMiddlesbrough
Top scorer
Will Lankshear
13 goals
Most assists
Amario Cozier-Duberry
5 assists
Best rated
Sebastian Berhalter
7.44
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum BrittainDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 1 | 2 | 0.56 | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Radek VitekGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Adilson MalandaDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.01 | |
| Aidan MorrisMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1260 | 2 | 0 | 1.03 | 7.33 | – |
| Will LankshearAttacker | 13 (12) | 1048 | 13 | 0 | 1.78 | 7.39 | ×2 |
| Sebastian BerhalterMidfielder | 15 (12) | 1028 | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 7.44 | ×3 |
| Neto BorgesDefender | 14 (12) | 981 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.98 | |
| Ashley PhillipsDefender | 12 (10) | 938 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Riley McGreeMidfielder | 15 (11) | 894 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Luke AylingDefender | 12 (9) | 775 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Amario Cozier-DuberryMidfielder | 10 (10) | 763 | 3 | 5 | 0.60 | 7.42 | – |
| Tommy ConwayAttacker | 13 (7) | 628 | 1 | 4 | 0.83 | 6.92 | – |
| Max ArfstenDefender | 14 (3) | 511 | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.74 | – |
| Kyle JosephAttacker | 14 (5) | 505 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 6.54 | – |
| Myles Peart-HarrisMidfielder | 13 (3) | 389 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 |
Bristol City
Top scorer
Scott Twine
5 goals
Most assists
Rio Cardines
6 assists
Best rated
Rio Cardines
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason KnightMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1290 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 6.71 | ×3 |
| Rio CardinesDefender | 15 (13) | 1149 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 7.12 | |
| Lisav Naif EissatDefender | 13 (12) | 1048 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| George TannerDefender | 13 (12) | 1021 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.78 | – |
| Sam TickleGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
| Lorent TolajAttacker | 12 (11) | 843 | 2 | 1 | 1.05 | 6.68 | |
| Scott TwineMidfielder | 12 (11) | 822 | 5 | 0 | 1.29 | 7.04 | – |
| Joe WilliamsMidfielder | 11 (9) | 800 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Dominic BallardAttacker | 15 (8) | 784 | 4 | 0 | 1.30 | 6.75 | |
| Yu HirakawaMidfielder | 13 (9) | 770 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.66 | – |
| Cameron PringDefender | 13 (8) | 757 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.61 | |
| Rob DickieDefender | 8 (8) | 706 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Jed WallaceMidfielder | 14 (5) | 599 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 6.62 | – |
| Rob AtkinsonDefender | 7 (5) | 465 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Luke McNallyDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.84 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.80 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.99 | 1.75 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.83 | 2.02 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.88 | 2.00 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.50 | 2.62 |
| Betano.dk | 16.00 | 1.02 |
More on Middlesbrough vs Bristol City
- Middlesbrough stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bristol City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture