Stoke City vs Birmingham City Prediction – Match preview
Stoke City-:-
Birmingham CityBet365 StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Stoke City to win (34%)
Stoke City 34% · Draw 34% · Birmingham City 32% · Over 2.5 goals: 25% · Both teams to score: 34%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
34%
32%
Stoke CityDraw 34%Birmingham City
Bookmaker implied
33%
39%
Stoke CityDraw 28%Birmingham City
0.9 – 0.8
Expected score
25%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
37%
Stoke CityDraw 26%Birmingham City
First Half Result
27%
29%
Stoke CityDraw 44%Birmingham City
Team to Score First
44%
49%
Stoke CityNo goal 7%Birmingham City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Stoke City Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Stoke City Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Birmingham City Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Stoke City Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Stoke CityBirmingham City
- 3
- League position
- 1
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- WWWLW
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 4.90
- xG for (L5)
- 8.70
- 3.08
- xG against (L5)
- 6.12
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Stoke City wins
4
Draws
2
Birmingham City wins
Last 8 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
38%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Stoke City in the last 5 meetings
DWLWD
Key Players
Championship, this seasonStoke City
Top scorer
Jack McGlynn
5 goals
Most assists
Ethan Galbraith
5 assists
Best rated
Jack McGlynn
7.27
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor JohanssonGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Ben WilmotDefender | 15 (15) | 1306 | 3 | 0 | 0.81 | 7.06 | |
| Ben JohnsonMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.83 | – |
| Ethan GalbraithMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1260 | 3 | 5 | 0.15 | 7.05 | ×6 |
| Luke GrahamDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 1 | 0 | 0.59 | 7.02 | ×3 |
| Djibril SoumaréMidfielder | 15 (14) | 1132 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.75 | ×2 |
| Eric-Junior BocatMidfielder | 11 (10) | 839 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.93 | |
| Jack McGlynnAttacker | 11 (9) | 798 | 5 | 2 | 0.58 | 7.27 | |
| Justin DevennyAttacker | 11 (9) | 704 | 2 | 0 | 0.53 | 6.76 | |
| Bosun LawalDefender | 10 (8) | 650 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| George HirstAttacker | 14 (5) | 577 | 1 | 1 | 0.41 | 6.52 | |
| Róbert BoženíkAttacker | 12 (4) | 474 | 1 | 1 | 0.91 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Luca BombinoDefender | 11 (4) | 471 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 6.82 | |
| Maksym TaloverovDefender | 10 (5) | 471 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×2 |
| Lamine CisséAttacker | 8 (6) | 408 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.81 | – |
Birmingham City
Top scorer
August Priske
6 goals
Most assists
Liam Millar
3 assists
Best rated
Phil Neumann
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil NeumannDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 2 | 0 | 1.20 | 7.25 | ×3 |
| Christoph KlarerDefender | 15 (15) | 1350 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Tomoki IwataMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1327 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 6.87 | – |
| Alex CochraneDefender | 15 (14) | 1288 | 2 | 2 | 0.44 | 7.09 | ×4 |
| Jay StansfieldMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1276 | 4 | 1 | 2.04 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| James BeadleGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1125 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Bright Osayi-SamuelDefender | 14 (12) | 1028 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×4 |
| Jhon SolísMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1011 | 0 | 2 | 0.63 | 6.83 | ×3 |
| August PriskeAttacker | 11 (11) | 881 | 6 | 1 | 0.67 | 7.03 | |
| Carlos VicenteMidfielder | 14 (9) | 850 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Liam MillarMidfielder | 11 (11) | 800 | 4 | 3 | 0.68 | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Patrick RobertsMidfielder | 12 (7) | 623 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 6.83 | |
| Seung-ho PaikMidfielder | 9 (4) | 398 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Ethan LairdDefender | 11 (3) | 338 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Max BirdMidfielder | 8 (2) | 293 | 1 | 3 | 1.24 | 7.02 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.71 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.04 | 1.71 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.10 | 1.77 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.80 | 2.08 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Betano.dk | 15.50 | 1.02 |
More on Stoke City vs Birmingham City
- Stoke City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Birmingham City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Championship (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture