Mexico vs Jamaica Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Estadio BBVA Bancomer
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
39%
33%
MexicoDraw 28%Jamaica
First Half Result
24%
31%
MexicoDraw 45%Jamaica
Team to Score First
40%
50%
MexicoNo goal 10%Jamaica
Probability
Both Teams to Score
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Mexico Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Mexico Over 1.5 Goals
33%
Jamaica Over 0.5 Goals
63%
Mexico Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Match Result
Mexico
46%–
model 2.19–
Last 1047%7/15
Draw
28%–
model 3.55–
Last 1020%3/15
Jamaica
26%–
model 3.82–
Last 1033%5/15
Draw no bet
Mexico
64%–
model 1.57–
Last 1058%7/12
Jamaica
36%–
model 2.74–
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
Mexico or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1067%10/15
Mexico or Jamaica
72%–
model 1.39–
Last 1080%12/15
Draw or Jamaica
54%–
model 1.84–
Last 1053%8/15
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 93%14/15 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 67%10/15 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 27%4/15 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%3/15 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 13%2/15 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1027%4/15
Mexico clean sheet
30%
model chance
Jamaica clean sheet
25%
model chance
Mexico goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Jamaica goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 8.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 40%6/15 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 33%5/15 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 33%5/15 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 27%4/15 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 13%2/15 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 7%1/15 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 5% | 95% | – | 7%1/15 | – |
Mexico corners
O2.5 79%O3.5 61%O4.5 41%O5.5 25%O6.5 14%O7.5 7%
Jamaica corners
O2.5 80%O3.5 63%O4.5 43%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 64%9/14 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%7/14 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 36%5/14 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 29%4/14 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 21%3/14 | – |
Mexico cards
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%O3.5 8%
Jamaica cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026MexicoJamaica
- —
- League position
- 18
- —
- Last 5
- DWLW
- —
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.75
- 0
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 0
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
3
Mexico wins
0
Draws
0
Jamaica wins
Last 3 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Mexico in the last 3 meetings
WWW
Key Players
CONCACAF Nations League, this seasonJamaica
Top scorer
Javon East
2 goals
Most assists
Miguel Freckleton
2 assists
Best rated
Miguel Freckleton
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karoy AndersonMidfielder | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Andre BlakeGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Richard KingDefender | 4 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Ronaldo WebsterDefender | 4 (4) | 352 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | |
| Kaheim DixonAttacker | 4 (3) | 314 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Joel LatibeaudiereDefender | 3 (3) | 264 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.77 | |
| Courtney ClarkeMidfielder | 4 (2) | 232 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Tyreece CampbellAttacker | 4 (2) | 227 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Miguel FreckletonDefender | 3 (2) | 224 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.71 | – |
| Javon EastAttacker | 4 (3) | 219 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Damion LoweDefender | 3 (2) | 186 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Bailey CadamarteriAttacker | 3 (2) | 165 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | ×2 |
| Kyle MingMidfielder | 2 (2) | 156 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | |
| Isaac HaydenMidfielder | 2 (2) | 152 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Kasey PalmerMidfielder | 2 (2) | 127 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
More on Mexico vs Jamaica
- Mexico stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Jamaica stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- CONCACAF Nations League (North & Central America) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture