De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht Prediction – Match preview
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Stadion De VijverbergRound 16
Our prediction
MVV Maastricht to win (49%)
De Graafschap 30% · Draw 21% · MVV Maastricht 49% · Over 2.5 goals: 71% · Both teams to score: 70%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
30%
49%
De GraafschapDraw 21%MVV Maastricht
1.6 – 2.1
Expected score
71%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
59%
20%
De GraafschapDraw 21%MVV Maastricht
First Half Result
45%
22%
De GraafschapDraw 33%MVV Maastricht
Team to Score First
59%
37%
De GraafschapNo goal 4%MVV Maastricht
Probability
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
De Graafschap Over 3.5 Goals
19%
De Graafschap Over 1.5 Goals
63%
MVV Maastricht Over 0.5 Goals
58%
De Graafschap Over 0.5 Goals
86%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026De GraafschapMVV Maastricht
- 15
- League position
- 8
- WDLWD
- Last 5
- WLDLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 2.75
- xG for (L5)
- 4.90
- 3.79
- xG against (L5)
- 3.25
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
De Graafschap wins
3
Draws
2
MVV Maastricht wins
Last 10 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
De Graafschap in the last 5 meetings
DLDDW
Key Players
Eerste Divisie, this seasonDe Graafschap
Top scorer
Julian Kania
5 goals
Most assists
Fedde de Jong
3 assists
Best rated
Mark Diemers
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ties WieggersGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| D. WarmerdamMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1134 | 4 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.99 | ×3 |
| Rowan BesselinkDefender | 12 (12) | 1035 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Fedde de JongMidfielder | 11 (10) | 891 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Nolan MartensDefender | 9 (9) | 771 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Kaya SymonsDefender | 10 (10) | 744 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Thomas KokDefender | 9 (8) | 718 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×3 |
| Toivo MeroAttacker | 10 (7) | 678 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 6.74 | – |
| Julian KaniaAttacker | 11 (8) | 666 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Bjorn van ZijlAttacker | 13 (8) | 640 | 3 | 0 | 1.01 | 6.61 | – |
| Gijs BolkDefender | 8 (6) | 587 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×3 |
| Mark DiemersMidfielder | 6 (5) | 446 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 7.53 | – |
| Jason MeerstadtMidfielder | 6 (6) | 433 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Jannes WieckhoffDefender | 11 (4) | 370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×2 |
| Gabriele FinocchiaroMidfielder | 7 (3) | 345 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.67 | – |
MVV Maastricht
Top scorer
Olivier Dumont
5 goals
Most assists
Finn Dicke
2 assists
Best rated
Ilias Breugelmans
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sil van der WegenDefender | 14 (14) | 1264 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Hugo WentgesGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1259 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Finn DickeDefender | 14 (14) | 1229 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | 6.93 | – |
| Lennerd DaneelsMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1219 | 1 | 2 | 1.00 | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Elias SierraMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1180 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.74 | |
| Olivier DumontMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1142 | 5 | 1 | 0.13 | 6.98 | |
| Delano AsanteAttacker | 14 (11) | 970 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.67 | |
| Sven BoulandDefender | 12 (11) | 969 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | |
| Robert KlaasenMidfielder | 11 (11) | 786 | 1 | 2 | 0.83 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Noa el HamdaouiMidfielder | 11 (8) | 720 | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.65 | – |
| Milan HoflandDefender | 7 (7) | 577 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.99 | |
| Toni VinogradacAttacker | 10 (7) | 488 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Mika LuijendijkMidfielder | 8 (3) | 409 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.58 | – |
| Yael LiesdekDefender | 6 (5) | 406 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.59 | – |
| Stan Van DesselMidfielder | 4 (3) | 296 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | – |
More on De Graafschap vs MVV Maastricht
- De Graafschap stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- MVV Maastricht stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture