Katowice vs Lech Poznań Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Round 15
Our prediction
Katowice to win (41%)
Katowice 41% · Draw 20% · Lech Poznań 38% · Over 2.5 goals: 81% · Both teams to score: 79%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
42%
38%
KatowiceDraw 20%Lech Poznań
Bookmaker implied
31%
45%
KatowiceDraw 24%Lech Poznań
2.2 – 2.1
Expected score
81%
Over 2.5 goals
79%
Both teams to score
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026KatowiceLech Poznań
- 8
- League position
- 1
- LWLLW
- Last 5
- DWWWW
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 17
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 5.29
- xG for (L5)
- 6.50
- 4.36
- xG against (L5)
- 3.51
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Katowice wins
2
Draws
2
Lech Poznań wins
Last 4 meetings
3.3
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Katowice in the last 4 meetings
DLDL
Key Players
Ekstraklasa, this seasonKatowice
Top scorer
Ilya Shkurin
8 goals
Most assists
Bartosz Nowak
7 assists
Best rated
Bartosz Nowak
7.62
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel KobylakGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1261 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Bartosz NowakAttacker | 14 (14) | 1253 | 7 | 7 | 2.23 | 7.62 | |
| Pau RestaDefender | 14 (13) | 1215 | 1 | 0 | 0.51 | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Ilya ShkurinAttacker | 14 (14) | 1195 | 8 | 2 | 1.28 | 7.26 | – |
| Lukas KlemenzDefender | 13 (12) | 1071 | 0 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.79 | ×6 |
| Kacper LukasiakMidfielder | 12 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Mateusz KowalczykMidfielder | 12 (11) | 885 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Marcin WasielewskiMidfielder | 13 (10) | 865 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | ×3 |
| Alan CzerwinskiDefender | 13 (10) | 822 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Arkadiusz JedrychDefender | 11 (7) | 670 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Mateusz WdowiakMidfielder | 14 (7) | 649 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.70 | |
| Bartosz WolskiMidfielder | 11 (7) | 643 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.90 | – |
| Borja GalánMidfielder | 12 (6) | 574 | 1 | 3 | 0.17 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| Marcel WedrychowskiAttacker | 9 (7) | 519 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Eman MarkovicMidfielder | 10 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.83 |
Lech Poznań
Top scorer
Patrik Wålemark
7 goals
Most assists
Pablo Rodríguez
7 assists
Best rated
Pablo Rodríguez
7.71
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateusz LisGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Michal GurgulDefender | 13 (12) | 1125 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Joel PereiraDefender | 13 (12) | 1096 | 0 | 4 | – | 7.23 | ×2 |
| Radoslaw MurawskiMidfielder | 13 (11) | 957 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Mateusz SkrzypczakDefender | 11 (11) | 946 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.78 | |
| Pablo RodríguezMidfielder | 12 (10) | 903 | 6 | 7 | 0.12 | 7.71 | |
| Patrik WålemarkMidfielder | 13 (11) | 899 | 7 | 3 | 1.99 | 7.23 | ×3 |
| Wojciech MonkaDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Antoni KozubalMidfielder | 9 (8) | 672 | 2 | 0 | 0.75 | 6.88 | – |
| Yannick AgneroAttacker | 13 (6) | 639 | 4 | 0 | 1.29 | 6.66 | – |
| Terry YegbeDefender | 7 (6) | 552 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Luis PalmaMidfielder | 12 (5) | 516 | 2 | 3 | 0.86 | 6.94 | |
| Filip JagielloMidfielder | 11 (6) | 476 | 1 | 0 | 0.41 | 6.74 | |
| Mikael IshakAttacker | 9 (6) | 468 | 3 | 3 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Allahyar SayyadmaneshMidfielder | 8 (6) | 454 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.14 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 2.25 | 1.58 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 1.84 |
| Sbo | 2.00 | 1.88 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 10.50 |
More on Katowice vs Lech Poznań
- Katowice stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Lech Poznań stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ekstraklasa (Poland) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture