Barrow vs Carlisle United Prediction – Match preview
Barrow-:-
Carlisle UnitedSO Legal StadiumRound 18
Our prediction
Barrow to win (37%)
Barrow 37% · Draw 29% · Carlisle United 34% · Over 2.5 goals: 37% · Both teams to score: 44%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
37%
34%
BarrowDraw 29%Carlisle United
1.1 – 1.1
Expected score
37%
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
36%
BarrowDraw 27%Carlisle United
First Half Result
29%
25%
BarrowDraw 46%Carlisle United
Team to Score First
48%
44%
BarrowNo goal 8%Carlisle United
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Barrow Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Barrow Over 1.5 Goals
36%
Carlisle United Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Barrow Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026BarrowCarlisle United
- 9
- League position
- 8
- DWWWW
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
0
Barrow wins
2
Draws
4
Carlisle United wins
Last 6 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Barrow in the last 5 meetings
LLLDD
Key Players
Enterprise National League, this seasonBarrow
Top scorer
Rekeem Harper
5 goals
Most assists
Keaton Ward
2 assists
Best rated
Mikey Lane
6.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben WinterbottomGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | – |
| Marcel OakleyDefender | 15 (15) | 1242 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.25 | – |
| Paul KalambayiDefender | 14 (14) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.23 | ×5 |
| Thierry Latty-FairweatherDefender | 14 (11) | 901 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Kennedy DigieDefender | 11 (9) | 899 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | |
| Isaac MarriottMidfielder | 12 (10) | 797 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.36 | ×5 |
| Rekeem HarperMidfielder | 13 (10) | 791 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Xavier BenjaminDefender | 9 (8) | 694 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 | ×2 |
| Daniel AmosDefender | 11 (8) | 657 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.24 | |
| George WalkerMidfielder | 11 (11) | 656 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| Keaton WardMidfielder | 12 (7) | 543 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Seb ThompsonMidfielder | 9 (6) | 536 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×2 |
| Alex ReidAttacker | 11 (6) | 524 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.50 | – |
| MJ WilliamsDefender | 7 (7) | 493 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | ×4 |
| Innes CameronAttacker | 12 (5) | 481 | 5 | 2 | – | 6.56 | – |
Carlisle United
Top scorer
Georgie Kelly
4 goals
Most assists
Harvey Bunker
2 assists
Best rated
Georgie Kelly
6.56
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvey BunkerMidfielder | 15 (15) | 1172 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.28 | |
| Adam DesboisGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.09 | ×3 |
| Miguel AzeezMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1150 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.27 | ×3 |
| Brad NicholsonDefender | 15 (14) | 1071 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×4 |
| Leonard DuruDefender | 16 (13) | 1007 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.28 | |
| Georgie KellyAttacker | 11 (11) | 959 | 4 | 2 | – | 6.56 | |
| Ryan GalvinDefender | 14 (10) | 865 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Jack EllisDefender | 12 (10) | 862 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.27 | ×3 |
| M. FeeneyDefender | 13 (10) | 826 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.23 | ×3 |
| David AjiboyeMidfielder | 15 (14) | 814 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Regan LinneyMidfielder | 14 (10) | 733 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.41 | ×4 |
| Teddy JenksMidfielder | 11 (9) | 558 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Josh WilliamsDefender | 14 (8) | 517 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.42 | – |
| Stephen WearneMidfielder | 13 (3) | 435 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| Micah ObieroAttacker | 7 (4) | 302 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
More on Barrow vs Carlisle United
- Barrow stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Carlisle United stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Enterprise National League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture