AZ vs FC Groningen – Match preview
-:-
AFAS StadionRound 12
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
53%
25%
AZDraw 22%FC Groningen
Bookmaker implied
62%
17%
AZDraw 21%FC Groningen
2.0 – 1.3
Expected score
65%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
60%
19%
AZDraw 21%FC Groningen
First Half Result
45%
19%
AZDraw 36%FC Groningen
Team to Score First
63%
32%
AZNo goal 5%FC Groningen
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
AZ Over 3.5 Goals
15%
AZ Over 1.5 Goals
59%
FC Groningen Over 0.5 Goals
56%
AZ Over 0.5 Goals
85%
Match Result
AZ
58%1.50
model 1.71-12%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
21%4.77
model 4.770%
Last 1025%5/20
FC Groningen
21%5.23
model 4.83disputed
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
AZ
74%1.19
model 1.36-12%
Last 1060%9/15
FC Groningen
26%4.13
model 3.82disputed
Last 1040%6/15
Double chance
AZ or draw
79%1.14
model 1.26-10%
Last 1070%14/20
AZ or FC Groningen
79%1.17
model 1.27-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or FC Groningen
42%2.49
model 2.40+4%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.3 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
65%Yes 1.44
Last 1060%12/20
AZ clean sheet
21%
model chance
FC Groningen clean sheet
17%
model chance
AZ goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 26%
FC Groningen goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
AZ corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 21%
FC Groningen corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
AZ cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
FC Groningen cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Player Props
Best line per player and stat| Player | Line | Odds | Model | L5 | L10 | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thom van Bergen FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 100%5/5 | 80%8/10 | – |
Thom van Bergen FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.20 | 2.20 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Ro-Zangelo Daal AZ | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Brynjólfur Willumsson FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.33 | 1.33 | – | 100%5/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Tika de Jonge FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 80%4/5 | 70%7/10 | – |
Jorg Schreuders FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Thom van Bergen FC Groningen | Over 2.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
David van der Werff FC Groningen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.66 | 1.66 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Tygo Land FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 40%2/5 | 60%6/10 | – |
Wesley Hoedt AZ | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Dave Kwakman AZ | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kees Smit AZ | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.57 | 1.57 | – | 40%2/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
C. Stengs AZ | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Thom van Bergen FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Goals · 3.00 | 3.00 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Hans Hateboer FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 1.72 | 1.72 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Mexx Meerdink AZ | Over 1.5 Shots on target · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Brynjólfur Willumsson FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 2.30 | 2.30 | – | 80%4/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Kees Smit AZ | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.40 | 1.40 | – | 60%3/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
David van der Werff FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.10 | 2.10 | – | 20%1/5 | 50%5/10 | – |
Márk Csinger FC Groningen | Over 0.5 Shots · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 0%0/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Jacob Ondrejka FC Groningen | Over 1.5 Shots · 1.50 | 1.50 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mexx Meerdink AZ | Over 0.5 Score or assist · 1.44 | 1.44 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Mexx Meerdink AZ | Over 0.5 Goals · 1.80 | 1.80 | – | 60%3/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Peer Koopmeiners AZ | Over 0.5 Shots on target · 2.00 | 2.00 | – | 40%2/5 | 40%4/10 | – |
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026AZFC Groningen
- 5
- League position
- 8
- LLDLW
- Last 5
- DLWWD
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 13
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 2.54
- xG for (L5)
- 0.77
- 3.23
- xG against (L5)
- 2.44
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
14
AZ wins
7
Draws
8
FC Groningen wins
Last 29 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
45%
Both teams scored
52%
Over 2.5 goals
22 Mar 2026
Last meeting
AZ in the last 5 meetings
LWWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
AZ
- Jeroen ZoetUnknown Injury
- Jizz HornkampUnknown Injury
- Kees SmitUnknown Injury
- Stije ResinkCruciate Ligament Injury
- Wouter GoesMinor Knock
FC Groningen
- Elvis van der LaanUnknown Injury
- Malcolm JengAchilles tendon rupture
- Rijk JanseCruciate Ligament Tear
- Travis HernesAnkle Injury
- Tyrique MerceraHamstring Injury
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonAZ
Top scorer
Ro-Zangelo Daal
5 goals
Most assists
Mateo Chávez
3 assists
Best rated
Ro-Zangelo Daal
7.51
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jari De BusserGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Peer KoopmeinersMidfielder | 11 (11) | 985 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 7.49 | – |
| Lewis SchoutenDefender | 11 (11) | 985 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Mexx MeerdinkAttacker | 11 (11) | 922 | 4 | 2 | 1.00 | 7.02 | – |
| Elijah DijkstraDefender | 11 (11) | 901 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Ro-Zangelo DaalMidfielder | 11 (11) | 893 | 5 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.51 | ×3 |
| Wouter GoesDefender | 10 (10) | 829 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Mateo ChávezDefender | 11 (10) | 814 | 1 | 3 | 0.03 | 7.01 | |
| Dave KwakmanMidfielder | 10 (9) | 763 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 7.10 | – |
| C. StengsMidfielder | 11 (4) | 530 | 1 | 2 | 0.08 | 6.88 | – |
| Weslley PatatiMidfielder | 10 (7) | 526 | 1 | 0 | 0.30 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Jordy ClasieMidfielder | 7 (4) | 346 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Kees SmitMidfielder | 5 (4) | 343 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Valdemar ByskovMidfielder | 6 (3) | 259 | 0 | 2 | 0.33 | 6.80 | – |
| Ayoub OufkirAttacker | 10 (2) | 245 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.80 | ×4 |
FC Groningen
Top scorer
Brynjólfur Willumsson
8 goals
Most assists
Thom van Bergen
3 assists
Best rated
Thom van Bergen
7.35
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Etienne VaessenGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | |
| Thijmen BlokzijlDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Thom van BergenMidfielder | 10 (10) | 895 | 6 | 3 | 0.08 | 7.35 | |
| Tika de JongeMidfielder | 10 (10) | 868 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.98 | – |
| Jorg SchreudersDefender | 10 (10) | 856 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Pelle ClementMidfielder | 10 (10) | 848 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 6.70 | – |
| David van der WerffMidfielder | 10 (10) | 813 | 2 | 3 | 0.05 | 7.18 | ×3 |
| Brynjólfur WillumssonAttacker | 10 (10) | 755 | 8 | 0 | 0.82 | 7.29 | |
| Tygo LandMidfielder | 10 (6) | 573 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.93 | |
| Márk CsingerDefender | 9 (6) | 556 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | ×2 |
| Wouter PrinsDefender | 8 (6) | 507 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | – |
| Marco RenteDefender | 7 (5) | 387 | 2 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.95 | – |
| Jacob OndrejkaAttacker | 8 (3) | 307 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | |
| Hans HateboerDefender | 4 (3) | 276 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | |
| Elvis van der LaanDefender | 4 (1) | 172 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.80 | 1.93 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.32 | 1.61 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.02 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 | 3.10 |
| Betano.dk | 1.02 | 14.00 |
More on AZ vs FC Groningen
- AZ stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FC Groningen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eredivisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture