NEC Nijmegen vs PSV Prediction – Match preview
-:-
GoffertstadionRound 13
Our prediction
PSV to win (62%)
NEC Nijmegen 19% · Draw 18% · PSV 62%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
14%
71%
NEC NijmegenDraw 15%PSV
Bookmaker implied
24%
55%
NEC NijmegenDraw 21%PSV
1.4 – 3.1
Expected score
82%
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
34%
43%
NEC NijmegenDraw 23%PSV
First Half Result
32%
33%
NEC NijmegenDraw 35%PSV
Team to Score First
49%
46%
NEC NijmegenNo goal 5%PSV
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
NEC Nijmegen Over 3.5 Goals
8%
NEC Nijmegen Over 1.5 Goals
41%
PSV Over 0.5 Goals
75%
NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026NEC NijmegenPSV
- 10
- League position
- 1
- WLDDD
- Last 5
- WWDLW
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.00
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 5.71
- xG for (L5)
- 6.44
- 4.46
- xG against (L5)
- 3.47
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
NEC Nijmegen wins
2
Draws
14
PSV wins
Last 19 meetings
4.2
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
84%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
NEC Nijmegen in the last 5 meetings
WWLDL
Key Players
Eredivisie, this seasonNEC Nijmegen
Top scorer
Tjaronn Chery
4 goals
Most assists
Tjaronn Chery
3 assists
Best rated
Tjaronn Chery
7.50
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tjaronn CheryAttacker | 10 (10) | 890 | 4 | 3 | 0.36 | 7.50 | – |
| Noé LebretonMidfielder | 12 (10) | 880 | 2 | 0 | 0.98 | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Gonzalo CrettazGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | – |
| T. StormDefender | 11 (9) | 840 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Darko NejasmicMidfielder | 10 (10) | 831 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 7.13 | – |
| Bryan LinssenAttacker | 11 (9) | 817 | 1 | 0 | 1.07 | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Dušan TadićAttacker | 8 (8) | 708 | 2 | 1 | 0.56 | 7.13 | |
| Clement BischoffMidfielder | 10 (8) | 662 | 1 | 1 | 0.38 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Jamiro MonteiroMidfielder | 11 (7) | 611 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.82 | |
| Deveron FonvilleDefender | 7 (7) | 498 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.73 | – |
| Adam TahauiAttacker | 9 (4) | 402 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Gabriel BrásDefender | 6 (4) | 384 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | |
| Ahmetcan KaplanDefender | 5 (4) | 344 | 0 | 0 | 0.56 | 7.02 | – |
| Kaj SierhuisAttacker | 7 (2) | 308 | 2 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.84 | – |
| P. SchuursDefender | 8 (4) | 306 | 2 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.91 | – |
PSV
Top scorer
Sven Mijnans
9 goals
Most assists
Esmir Bajraktarevic
6 assists
Best rated
Joey Veerman
7.55
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matej KovarGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Armando ObispoDefender | 12 (12) | 1042 | 0 | 1 | 0.37 | 6.89 | ×3 |
| Mauro JúniorDefender | 12 (12) | 990 | 2 | 2 | 0.26 | 7.20 | |
| Sergiño DestDefender | 11 (11) | 955 | 2 | 3 | 0.35 | 7.28 | |
| Guus TilMidfielder | 12 (12) | 940 | 7 | 1 | 0.65 | 7.23 | |
| Kodai SanoMidfielder | 11 (10) | 913 | 2 | 1 | 0.33 | 7.08 | ×2 |
| Ruben van BommelMidfielder | 11 (10) | 745 | 4 | 3 | 1.01 | 7.21 | ×3 |
| Ivan PerišićAttacker | 10 (8) | 661 | 2 | 2 | 0.29 | 7.28 | ×2 |
| Lutsharel GeertruidaDefender | 8 (7) | 614 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Sven MijnansMidfielder | 10 (6) | 597 | 9 | 2 | 0.92 | 7.51 | ×2 |
| Ryan FlamingoDefender | 9 (5) | 525 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Ricardo PepiAttacker | 9 (6) | 491 | 4 | 1 | 0.17 | 6.88 | – |
| Paul WannerMidfielder | 7 (4) | 401 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Esmir BajraktarevicAttacker | 8 (4) | 380 | 1 | 6 | 0.36 | 6.94 | – |
| Noah FernandezMidfielder | 7 (5) | 377 | 1 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.96 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.64 | 2.15 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.45 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.86 | 1.98 |
| Sbo | — | — | 1.94 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 7.40 | 1.02 |
More on NEC Nijmegen vs PSV
- NEC Nijmegen stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- PSV stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eredivisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture