Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town – Match preview
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Stadium mk
Predictions
Full Time Result
63%
18%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 19%Swindon Town
First Half Result
44%
18%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 38%Swindon Town
Team to Score First
63%
33%
Milton Keynes DonsNo goal 4%Swindon Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 3.5 Goals
17%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 1.5 Goals
62%
Swindon Town Over 0.5 Goals
53%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 Goals
87%
Match Result
Milton Keynes Dons
46%–
model 2.17–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.81–
Last 1030%6/20
Swindon Town
28%–
model 3.60–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Milton Keynes Dons
62%–
model 1.60–
Last 1057%8/14
Swindon Town
38%–
model 2.66–
Last 1043%6/14
Double chance
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
72%–
model 1.38–
Last 1070%14/20
Milton Keynes Dons or Swindon Town
74%–
model 1.36–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Swindon Town
54%–
model 1.85–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.3 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1060%12/20
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet
25%
model chance
Swindon Town clean sheet
22%
model chance
Milton Keynes Dons goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Swindon Town goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 10.6 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Milton Keynes Dons corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 34%O7.5 21%
Swindon Town corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 3.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Milton Keynes Dons cards
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%O3.5 8%
Swindon Town cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Head to Head
12
Milton Keynes Dons wins
4
Draws
1
Swindon Town wins
Last 17 meetings
3.1
Goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
65%
Over 2.5 goals
14 Mar 2026
Last meeting
Milton Keynes Dons in the last 5 meetings
WWDWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Milton Keynes Dons
- Kane WilsonKnee Injury
- Will DennisAnkle Injury
Swindon Town
No reported absences
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 2.01 |
More on Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town
- Milton Keynes Dons stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Swindon Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FA Cup (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture