York City vs Northampton Town – Match preview
-:-
LNER Community Stadium
Predictions
Full Time Result
67%
15%
York CityDraw 18%Northampton Town
First Half Result
52%
14%
York CityDraw 34%Northampton Town
Team to Score First
69%
27%
York CityNo goal 4%Northampton Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
York City Over 3.5 Goals
20%
York City Over 1.5 Goals
64%
Northampton Town Over 0.5 Goals
48%
York City Over 0.5 Goals
88%
Match Result
York City
41%–
model 2.42–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.53–
Last 1040%8/20
Northampton Town
30%–
model 3.29–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
York City
58%–
model 1.74–
Last 1050%6/12
Northampton Town
42%–
model 2.36–
Last 1050%6/12
Double chance
York City or draw
70%–
model 1.44–
Last 1070%14/20
York City or Northampton Town
72%–
model 1.40–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Northampton Town
59%–
model 1.70–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%
Last 1050%10/20
York City clean sheet
26%
model chance
Northampton Town clean sheet
27%
model chance
York City goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Northampton Town goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
York City corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 33%O6.5 20%O7.5 10%
Northampton Town corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 75% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
York City cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Northampton Town cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Head to Head
0
York City wins
1
Draws
0
Northampton Town wins
Last 1 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
10 Oct 2026
Last meeting
York City in the last 1 meetings
D
Injuries & Suspensions
York City
- Zech MedleyKnock
Northampton Town
No reported absences
More on York City vs Northampton Town
- York City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Northampton Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FA Cup (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture