Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction – Match preview
Septemvri Sofia-:-
Lokomotiv PlovdivStadion Bâlgarska ArmijaRound 15
Our prediction
Septemvri Sofia to win (41%)
Septemvri Sofia 41% · Draw 34% · Lokomotiv Plovdiv 24% · Over 2.5 goals: 23% · Both teams to score: 30%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
41%
25%
Septemvri SofiaDraw 34%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bookmaker implied
34%
36%
Septemvri SofiaDraw 30%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.0 – 0.7
Expected score
23%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
34%
36%
Septemvri SofiaDraw 30%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
First Half Result
27%
25%
Septemvri SofiaDraw 48%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Team to Score First
45%
44%
Septemvri SofiaNo goal 11%Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
Septemvri Sofia Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Septemvri Sofia Over 1.5 Goals
30%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Over 0.5 Goals
67%
Septemvri Sofia Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Septemvri SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
- 12
- League position
- 11
- WLLLL
- Last 5
- WLDDD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 4
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
7
Septemvri Sofia wins
3
Draws
7
Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins
Last 17 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
41%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Septemvri Sofia in the last 5 meetings
LLDWW
Key Players
First League, this seasonSeptemvri Sofia
Top scorer
Frantzety Herard
3 goals
Most assists
Yoan Baurenski
2 assists
Best rated
André Liberal
6.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin HristovDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.12 | ×4 |
| Vladimir IvanovGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.98 | |
| Frantzety HerardAttacker | 14 (14) | 1208 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Pedro FerreiraMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1170 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.30 | ×5 |
| Yoan BaurenskiMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1121 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.32 | ×5 |
| Bozhidar PenchevDefender | 13 (13) | 1036 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Kubrat OnasciDefender | 13 (11) | 1024 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.17 | ×5 |
| Valentine OzornwaforDefender | 10 (8) | 762 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | ×3 |
| Galin IvanovMidfielder | 12 (9) | 686 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.37 | ×2 |
| Sebas WadeDefender | 8 (8) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.25 | ×5 |
| André LiberalAttacker | 14 (8) | 586 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.59 | ×3 |
| A. DzhamovAttacker | 13 (7) | 580 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.50 | – |
| Edney RibeiroAttacker | 10 (5) | 512 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | |
| Pedro IgorMidfielder | 9 (5) | 493 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Nicolas Paul Julien FontaineMidfielder | 7 (3) | 345 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Top scorer
Ryan Leijten
2 goals
Most assists
Lucas Ryan
1 assists
Best rated
Junior Burban
6.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bojan MilosavljevicGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.07 | – |
| Todor PavlovDefender | 14 (14) | 1189 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×4 |
| Lucas RyanDefender | 13 (13) | 1151 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.21 | ×7 |
| Adrián CovaDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Ivaylo Ivaylov IvanovMidfielder | 11 (11) | 949 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.33 | ×3 |
| Parvizdzhon UmarbaevMidfielder | 12 (11) | 883 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.40 | ×2 |
| Efe AliMidfielder | 11 (11) | 870 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×4 |
| Andrei ChindrișDefender | 11 (11) | 842 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 | ×2 |
| Sevi IdrizMidfielder | 11 (10) | 827 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | |
| Julien LamyMidfielder | 11 (6) | 445 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.21 | ×2 |
| Milan PetrovićDefender | 9 (3) | 401 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | |
| Ryan LeijtenMidfielder | 8 (4) | 357 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Miha TrdanMidfielder | 12 (2) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | |
| Cătălin ItuMidfielder | 4 (4) | 347 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.43 | |
| Yulian IlievMidfielder | 4 (4) | 306 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.77 | 2.02 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.69 | 2.06 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.00 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| Betano.dk | 11.00 | 1.02 |
More on Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
- Septemvri Sofia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Lokomotiv Plovdiv stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- First League (Bulgaria) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture