Spartak Varna vs Cherno More Prediction – Match preview
Spartak Varna-:-
Cherno MoreStadion LokomotivRound 15
Our prediction
Spartak Varna to win (42%)
Spartak Varna 42% · Draw 30% · Cherno More 28%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
52%
17%
Spartak VarnaDraw 31%Cherno More
Bookmaker implied
32%
38%
Spartak VarnaDraw 30%Cherno More
1.2 – 0.6
Expected score
26%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
27%
45%
Spartak VarnaDraw 28%Cherno More
First Half Result
23%
31%
Spartak VarnaDraw 46%Cherno More
Team to Score First
40%
51%
Spartak VarnaNo goal 9%Cherno More
Probability
Both Teams to Score
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
Spartak Varna Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Spartak Varna Over 1.5 Goals
27%
Cherno More Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Spartak Varna Over 0.5 Goals
61%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Spartak VarnaCherno More
- 7
- League position
- 9
- WLLWL
- Last 5
- DWWLD
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 3
Head to Head
1
Spartak Varna wins
2
Draws
2
Cherno More wins
Last 5 meetings
2.2
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Spartak Varna in the last 5 meetings
WDLDL
Key Players
First League, this seasonSpartak Varna
Top scorer
Boubacar Hanne
2 goals
Most assists
Jota Lopes
4 assists
Best rated
Georg Stojanovski
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plamen IlievGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.03 | |
| Angel GranchovDefender | 12 (12) | 1036 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×5 |
| Boris IvanovDefender | 13 (10) | 1018 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.17 | |
| David ValverdeMidfielder | 13 (10) | 905 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.31 | ×3 |
| Joey TshitokuDefender | 11 (10) | 901 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | ×2 |
| Boubacar HanneMidfielder | 13 (10) | 897 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.42 | |
| Tsvetoslav MarinovMidfielder | 13 (11) | 875 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×4 |
| Sámuel MajorMidfielder | 12 (8) | 805 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×3 |
| Anton IvanovMidfielder | 13 (10) | 775 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.44 | |
| Jota LopesMidfielder | 12 (9) | 757 | 0 | 4 | – | 6.40 | |
| Tomás SilvaMidfielder | 10 (8) | 642 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.34 | – |
| Ahmed AhmedovAttacker | 8 (7) | 530 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Ricardo SousaMidfielder | 10 (4) | 425 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Vasco OliveiraDefender | 6 (4) | 372 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.14 | |
| Dimo KrastevDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.99 | – |
Cherno More
Top scorer
Celso Sidney
3 goals
Most assists
Miguel Barandas
3 assists
Best rated
Georgi Lazarov
6.55
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luciano Gastón SquadroneDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.17 | ×4 |
| David TelesMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1218 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.34 | ×4 |
| Zhivko AtanasovDefender | 13 (13) | 1140 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.15 | ×3 |
| Kristian TomovGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.02 | ×2 |
| Vasil PanayotovMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1009 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.40 | – |
| Ventsislav KerchevDefender | 12 (11) | 989 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | ×4 |
| Celso SidneyAttacker | 13 (11) | 965 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×2 |
| Ertan TombakDefender | 10 (10) | 893 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.17 | ×4 |
| Georgi LazarovAttacker | 13 (10) | 881 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.55 | ×3 |
| Mohamed AchiMidfielder | 13 (10) | 852 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.39 | |
| Miguel BarandasAttacker | 12 (7) | 744 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.49 | |
| Asen DonchevDefender | 9 (7) | 612 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | ×3 |
| I. BounaasMidfielder | 8 (5) | 435 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.45 | |
| Aleksandar KolevAttacker | 4 (4) | 347 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Emanuil NyagolovDefender | 5 (3) | 329 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.14 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.05 | 1.75 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.03 | 1.71 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.09 | 1.74 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.15 | 1.66 |
| Betano.dk | 10.25 | 1.03 |
More on Spartak Varna vs Cherno More
- Spartak Varna stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cherno More stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- First League (Bulgaria) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture