Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka – Match preview
-:-
Panasonic Stadium SuitaRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
64%
15%
Gamba OsakaDraw 21%Cerezo Osaka
Bookmaker implied
41%
32%
Gamba OsakaDraw 27%Cerezo Osaka
1.9 – 0.8
Expected score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
47%
27%
Gamba OsakaDraw 26%Cerezo Osaka
First Half Result
36%
24%
Gamba OsakaDraw 40%Cerezo Osaka
Team to Score First
52%
40%
Gamba OsakaNo goal 8%Cerezo Osaka
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
Gamba Osaka Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Gamba Osaka Over 1.5 Goals
45%
Cerezo Osaka Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Gamba Osaka Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Match Result
Gamba Osaka
44%2.30
model 2.28+1%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%3.57
model 3.78-5%
Last 1045%9/20
Cerezo Osaka
30%3.00
model 3.38-11%
Last 1020%4/20
Draw no bet
Gamba Osaka
60%1.66
model 1.67-1%
Last 1064%7/11
Cerezo Osaka
40%2.16
model 2.48-13%
Last 1036%4/11
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw
70%1.40
model 1.42-1%
Last 1080%16/20
Gamba Osaka or Cerezo Osaka
74%1.30
model 1.36-4%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Cerezo Osaka
56%1.63
model 1.78-9%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1060%12/20
Gamba Osaka clean sheet
28%
model chance
Cerezo Osaka clean sheet
21%
model chance
Gamba Osaka goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Cerezo Osaka goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Gamba Osaka corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 57%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cerezo Osaka corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 35%O6.5 21%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 3.6 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Gamba Osaka cards
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%O3.5 8%
Cerezo Osaka cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Gamba OsakaCerezo Osaka
- 16
- League position
- 12
- DWDLL
- Last 5
- LDDLD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 1.80
- xG for (L5)
- 3.27
- 1.56
- xG against (L5)
- 3.24
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Gamba Osaka wins
1
Draws
5
Cerezo Osaka wins
Last 8 meetings
2.1
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
05 Jul 2025
Last meeting
Gamba Osaka in the last 5 meetings
WLLWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Gamba Osaka
- Asahi UenakaMeniscus Injury
- Genta MiuraKnee Injury
- Kanji OkunukiToe Injury
- Riku HandaCruciate Ligament Injury
- Rui ArakiElbow Fracture
- Yuya YokoiCruciate Ligament Injury
Cerezo Osaka
- G. KambayashiAcromioclavicular Joint Dislocation
- M. ShibayamaTorn Knee Ligaments
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonGamba Osaka
Top scorer
Issam Jebali
4 goals
Most assists
Ryoya Yamashita
3 assists
Best rated
Ryoya Yamashita
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnosuke NakataniDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Shuto AbeMidfielder | 11 (10) | 907 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Ryo HatsuseDefender | 12 (9) | 828 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Ryoya YamashitaMidfielder | 9 (9) | 807 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 7.07 | ×2 |
| Jun IchimoriGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 773 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | |
| Takeru KishimotoDefender | 10 (8) | 745 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 6.95 | |
| Issam JebaliMidfielder | 10 (7) | 694 | 4 | 2 | 1.15 | 6.87 | ×2 |
| Rin MitoMidfielder | 9 (8) | 678 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.64 | |
| Ryotaro MeshinoMidfielder | 10 (7) | 576 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Shota FukuokaDefender | 7 (6) | 557 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Deniz HümmetAttacker | 9 (5) | 519 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Shogo SasakiDefender | 8 (4) | 402 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Tokuma SuzukiMidfielder | 6 (5) | 342 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Takashi UsamiAttacker | 8 (4) | 341 | 2 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.99 | – |
| Eli AdamsMidfielder | 7 (2) | 290 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
Cerezo Osaka
Top scorer
Solomon Sakuragawa
4 goals
Most assists
Lucas Fernandes
2 assists
Best rated
Rikito Inoue
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion CoolsDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Kosuke NakamuraGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Rikito InoueDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.04 | – |
| S. TanakaMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1168 | 0 | 1 | 1.09 | 6.92 | – |
| Ayumu OhataMidfielder | 12 (10) | 868 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Jackson IrvineMidfielder | 10 (9) | 849 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.96 | ×4 |
| Solomon SakuragawaAttacker | 12 (7) | 723 | 4 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| H. OkudaMidfielder | 9 (7) | 645 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.80 | |
| S. HatanakaDefender | 8 (8) | 620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Lucas FernandesAttacker | 11 (7) | 593 | 2 | 2 | 0.09 | 6.98 | ×3 |
| Yota KomiAttacker | 9 (6) | 517 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 6.79 | |
| Yumeki YokoyamaMidfielder | 10 (5) | 451 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.73 | – |
| Pablo SabbagAttacker | 11 (5) | 447 | 2 | 0 | 0.47 | 6.73 | ×3 |
| T. NakamuraDefender | 6 (6) | 426 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| S. KagawaMidfielder | 12 (6) | 420 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 2.11 |
| MelBet | 1.64 | 2.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 1.90 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 11.00 | 1.02 |
More on Gamba Osaka vs Cerezo Osaka
- Gamba Osaka stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cerezo Osaka stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- J1 League (Japan) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture