Machida Zelvia vs Gamba Osaka – Match preview
Machida Zelvia-:-
Gamba OsakaMachida Athletic StadiumRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
75%
11%
Machida ZelviaDraw 14%Gamba Osaka
2.9 – 1.0
Expected score
74%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Machida Zelvia
48%–
fair 2.10–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
28%–
fair 3.63–
Last 1015%3/20
Gamba Osaka
25%–
fair 4.03–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia
66%–
fair 1.52–
Last 1059%10/17
Gamba Osaka
34%–
fair 2.92–
Last 1041%7/17
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw
75%–
fair 1.33–
Last 1065%13/20
Machida Zelvia or Gamba Osaka
72%–
fair 1.38–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Gamba Osaka
52%–
fair 1.91–
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1035%7/20
Machida Zelvia clean sheet
30%
model chance
Gamba Osaka clean sheet
24%
model chance
Machida Zelvia goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 17%
Gamba Osaka goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 42% | 58% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Machida Zelvia corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 67%O4.5 49%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Gamba Osaka corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Machida Zelvia cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Gamba Osaka cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 11%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka
- 2
- League position
- 18
- WWLDW
- Last 5
- DLLLL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 6
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
3
Machida Zelvia wins
1
Draws
1
Gamba Osaka wins
Last 5 meetings
3.2
Goals per game
80%
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
15 Jan 2026
Last meeting
Machida Zelvia in the last 5 meetings
LWWWD
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonMachida Zelvia
Top scorer
Yuki Soma
3 goals
Most assists
Yuki Soma
3 assists
Best rated
Yuta Nakayama
7.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gen ShojiDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.83 | |
| Kosei TaniGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |
| Hiroyuki MaeMidfielder | 10 (10) | 894 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.83 | – |
| Yuki SomaAttacker | 10 (10) | 882 | 3 | 3 | – | 7.39 | – |
| Daihachi OkamuraDefender | 9 (9) | 752 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Takahiro AkimotoMidfielder | 9 (8) | 743 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Tete YengiAttacker | 10 (8) | 670 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.91 | |
| Hotaka NakamuraMidfielder | 9 (8) | 655 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.89 | |
| Koki OgawaAttacker | 7 (5) | 471 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.03 | |
| Henry Heroki MochizukiDefender | 8 (4) | 441 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Neta LaviMidfielder | 7 (5) | 439 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.91 | – |
| Takuma NishimuraAttacker | 10 (4) | 418 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Yuta NakayamaDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.69 | – |
| Mitchell DukeAttacker | 7 (4) | 256 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Ryohei ShirasakiMidfielder | 7 (3) | 234 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 |
Gamba Osaka
Top scorer
Issam Jebali
3 goals
Most assists
Takeru Kishimoto
2 assists
Best rated
Ryoya Yamashita
7.04
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shinnosuke NakataniDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Shuto AbeMidfielder | 9 (9) | 793 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Ryo HatsuseDefender | 10 (8) | 730 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Takeru KishimotoDefender | 8 (7) | 644 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.99 | |
| Jun IchimoriGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
| Ryoya YamashitaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 627 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.04 | ×2 |
| Issam JebaliMidfielder | 8 (6) | 586 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.74 | |
| Ryotaro MeshinoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 569 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Deniz HümmetAttacker | 9 (5) | 519 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Rin MitoMidfielder | 7 (6) | 498 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Shota FukuokaDefender | 5 (4) | 377 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Shogo SasakiDefender | 6 (4) | 372 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.94 | – |
| Eli AdamsMidfielder | 7 (2) | 290 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | – |
| Tokuma SuzukiMidfielder | 5 (4) | 276 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Rui ArakiGoalkeeper | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.93 | – |