Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Match preview
Machida Zelvia-:-
Sanfrecce HiroshimaMachida Athletic StadiumRound 14
Match Preview
Updated 01 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
33%
44%
Machida ZelviaDraw 23%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Bookmaker implied
30%
43%
Machida ZelviaDraw 27%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.5 – 1.8
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Both teams to score
Predictions
Full Time Result
34%
41%
Machida ZelviaDraw 25%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
First Half Result
24%
32%
Machida ZelviaDraw 44%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Team to Score First
42%
52%
Machida ZelviaNo goal 6%Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
Machida Zelvia Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Machida Zelvia Over 1.5 Goals
37%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Machida Zelvia Over 0.5 Goals
69%
Match Result
Machida Zelvia
33%3.22
model 3.04+6%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
28%3.47
model 3.64-5%
Last 1020%4/20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
40%2.23
model 2.52-12%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Machida Zelvia
45%2.29
model 2.20+4%
Last 1050%8/16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
55%1.59
model 1.83-13%
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
Machida Zelvia or draw
60%1.67
model 1.66+1%
Last 1060%12/20
Machida Zelvia or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
73%1.32
model 1.38-4%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
67%1.36
model 1.49-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%
Last 1020%4/20
Machida Zelvia clean sheet
24%
model chance
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet
26%
model chance
Machida Zelvia goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Machida Zelvia corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 82%O4.5 67%O5.5 50%O6.5 34%O7.5 21%
Cards
Expected 3.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 6% | 94% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Machida Zelvia cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima cards
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%O3.5 8%
Form Guide
Updated 01 Nov 2026Machida ZelviaSanfrecce Hiroshima
- 4
- League position
- 2
- DWWWL
- Last 5
- WWLWW
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 12
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 1.89
- xG for (L5)
- 3.19
- 1.41
- xG against (L5)
- 0.75
- 4
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 4
Head to Head
0
Machida Zelvia wins
0
Draws
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
Last 4 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
04 Oct 2025
Last meeting
Machida Zelvia in the last 4 meetings
LLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Machida Zelvia
No reported absences
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Taichi YamasakiCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonMachida Zelvia
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura
5 goals
Most assists
Yuki Soma
4 assists
Best rated
Yuta Nakayama
7.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosei TaniGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1083 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.02 | – |
| Gen ShojiDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.00 | |
| Hiroyuki MaeMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1063 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.90 | |
| Yuki SomaAttacker | 12 (12) | 1043 | 3 | 4 | 0.34 | 7.36 | – |
| Takahiro AkimotoMidfielder | 11 (10) | 923 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.18 | ×2 |
| Daihachi OkamuraDefender | 11 (11) | 888 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Hotaka NakamuraMidfielder | 11 (8) | 678 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Tete YengiAttacker | 10 (8) | 670 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.91 | |
| Koki OgawaAttacker | 9 (7) | 651 | 4 | 0 | 0.54 | 7.04 | |
| Henry Heroki MochizukiDefender | 10 (6) | 604 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 7.01 | – |
| Neta LaviMidfielder | 9 (7) | 582 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Takuma NishimuraAttacker | 12 (6) | 574 | 5 | 0 | 0.45 | 6.83 | |
| Thomas OuwejanDefender | 5 (4) | 361 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.99 | – |
| Mitchell DukeAttacker | 9 (4) | 293 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 6.82 | – |
| Ryohei ShirasakiMidfielder | 9 (3) | 271 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.74 |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Top scorer
Akito Suzuki
9 goals
Most assists
Akito Suzuki
4 assists
Best rated
Akito Suzuki
7.52
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shuto NakanoDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 3 | 2 | 0.14 | 7.46 | – |
| Hayato ArakiDefender | 13 (13) | 1155 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 7.08 | |
| Akito SuzukiAttacker | 13 (13) | 1114 | 9 | 4 | 0.44 | 7.52 | |
| Shunki HigashiMidfielder | 13 (11) | 1011 | 1 | 4 | 0.02 | 7.29 | – |
| Hayao KawabeMidfielder | 12 (11) | 994 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.11 | |
| Naoto AraiMidfielder | 13 (10) | 898 | 0 | 1 | 0.68 | 7.16 | – |
| Mutsuki KatoAttacker | 12 (10) | 766 | 3 | 3 | 0.14 | 6.93 | |
| Sho SasakiDefender | 8 (8) | 676 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.31 | |
| Yotaro NakajimaMidfielder | 11 (10) | 637 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Keisuke OsakoGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Shun AyukawaAttacker | 10 (6) | 573 | 3 | 1 | 0.44 | 6.96 | – |
| Sébastien HallerAttacker | 9 (6) | 541 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Issei OuchiGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Taishi MatsumotoMidfielder | 13 (3) | 488 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | 7.03 | |
| Ju-sung KimDefender | 6 (3) | 340 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 6.96 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.23 | 1.60 |
| MelBet | 2.14 | 1.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 2.08 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 11.50 | 1.02 |
More on Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Machida Zelvia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- J1 League (Japan) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture