V-Varen Nagasaki vs Tokyo Verdy – Match preview
V-Varen Nagasaki-:-
Tokyo Verdytranscosmos Stadium NagasakiRound 13
Match Preview
Updated 21 Oct 2026FootyPulse model
48%
14%
V-Varen NagasakiDraw 38%Tokyo Verdy
0.9 – 0.3
Expected score
13%
Over 2.5 goals
17%
Both teams to score
Match Result
V-Varen Nagasaki
55%–
fair 1.81–
Last 1046%6/13
Draw
25%–
fair 3.93–
Last 1031%4/13
Tokyo Verdy
19%–
fair 5.17–
Last 1023%3/13
Draw no bet
V-Varen Nagasaki
74%–
fair 1.35–
Last 1067%6/9
Tokyo Verdy
26%–
fair 3.85–
Last 1033%3/9
Double chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or draw
81%–
fair 1.24–
Last 1077%10/13
V-Varen Nagasaki or Tokyo Verdy
75%–
fair 1.34–
Last 1069%9/13
Draw or Tokyo Verdy
45%–
fair 2.23–
Last 1054%7/13
Expected goals 1.8–1.0 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.7 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 85%11/13 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 54%7/13 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 31%4/13 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 31%4/13 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 8%1/13 | – |
Both teams to score
53%
Last 1023%3/13
V-Varen Nagasaki clean sheet
34%
model chance
Tokyo Verdy clean sheet
20%
model chance
V-Varen Nagasaki goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Tokyo Verdy goals
O0.5 66%O1.5 29%O2.5 10%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 62%8/13 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 62%8/13 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 62%8/13 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 40% | 60% | – | 38%5/13 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 38%5/13 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 23%3/13 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 8%1/13 | – |
V-Varen Nagasaki corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Tokyo Verdy corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%9/12 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 33%4/12 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 0%0/12 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 0%0/12 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 0%0/12 | – |
V-Varen Nagasaki cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Tokyo Verdy cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 59%O2.5 32%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 21 Oct 2026V-Varen NagasakiTokyo Verdy
- 15
- League position
- 20
- LDDWL
- Last 5
- LLLDD
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 2
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonV-Varen Nagasaki
Top scorer
Thiago
3 goals
Most assists
Hotaru Yamaguchi
3 assists
Best rated
Matheus Jesus
7.37
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masaaki GotoGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Motoki HasegawaAttacker | 10 (10) | 899 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | |
| Hotaru YamaguchiMidfielder | 10 (10) | 825 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.76 | |
| Hijiri OnagaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 705 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.80 | |
| R. ShindoDefender | 10 (7) | 651 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| ThiagoAttacker | 9 (8) | 635 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Riku YamadaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 626 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Shunya YonedaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 539 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×2 |
| Ikki AraiDefender | 8 (6) | 534 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Yusei EgawaDefender | 7 (5) | 473 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Y. IwasakiAttacker | 6 (6) | 462 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.62 | |
| Matheus JesusAttacker | 7 (4) | 445 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.37 | – |
| Kanta DoiDefender | 7 (5) | 418 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Takuma OminamiDefender | 5 (4) | 364 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Masahiro SekiguchiMidfielder | 6 (4) | 336 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | – |
Tokyo Verdy
Top scorer
Naoki Hayashi
2 goals
Most assists
Itsuki Someno
1 assists
Best rated
Kazuya Miyahara
6.92
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus VidottoGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | |
| Itsuki SomenoAttacker | 10 (10) | 794 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.63 | |
| Kaito SuzukiDefender | 10 (9) | 781 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
| Naoki HayashiDefender | 9 (9) | 766 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Rei HirakawaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 677 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | |
| Yuya FukudaAttacker | 9 (9) | 644 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
| S. MizoguchiMidfielder | 8 (7) | 634 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×2 |
| Yuta AraiMidfielder | 9 (6) | 615 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Ryota InoueDefender | 7 (6) | 566 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Yosuke UchidaMidfielder | 5 (5) | 409 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Kosuke SaitoMidfielder | 6 (5) | 383 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Yuan MatsuhashiMidfielder | 8 (4) | 317 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Maaya SakoDefender | 4 (3) | 314 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Soma MeshinoMidfielder | 5 (3) | 277 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.45 | |
| Kazuya MiyaharaDefender | 3 (3) | 266 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |